The effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the Persian Gulf

In order to detect climate change, a variety of climate indicators can be used which is often considered temperature and precipitation. In order to investigate the effect of climate change on the amount of precipitation in the north coast of the Persian Gulf, it simulated the precipitable water for...

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Main Authors: Tayebeh Dehghani, mohammad saligheh, Bohloul Alijani
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Kharazmi University 2018-03-01
Series:تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
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Online Access:http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2844-en.pdf
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author Tayebeh Dehghani
mohammad saligheh
Bohloul Alijani
author_facet Tayebeh Dehghani
mohammad saligheh
Bohloul Alijani
author_sort Tayebeh Dehghani
collection DOAJ
description In order to detect climate change, a variety of climate indicators can be used which is often considered temperature and precipitation. In order to investigate the effect of climate change on the amount of precipitation in the north coast of the Persian Gulf, it simulated the precipitable water for 2017-2050 based on the RCP4.5 model of the Hadcm3 model. The NCEP / NCAR base-station data with an arc-value of 0.125 was used to analyze the past and present precipitable water patterns and to reveal the process of this time series. Time series analysis of precipitable water was performed using two SENS tilt estimators and Man-Kendall test. The results indicated that the annual time series of rain water was increasing in the region, every year, 0.05 mm, the precipitated water increased and it tended to become more homogeneous, this increase in the significance level of 0.95. The precipitation rate in the eastern part of the region was higher than other areas. Before 1989, several fluctuations were observed in the rainy season of precipitable water, but none was statistically significant at the confidence level of 95%, but since 1989, the trend has increased significantly at a confidence level of 0.95. This spatial behavior of precipitable water can actually have occurred in response to the increase in the overall temperature of the area and can be considered as a profile of climate change in the region.
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series تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
spelling doaj-art-4599f009bb45444caa7a4fd2462f35482025-01-31T17:24:29ZfasKharazmi Universityتحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی2228-77362588-51382018-03-0118497591The effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the Persian GulfTayebeh Dehghani0mohammad saligheh1Bohloul Alijani2 Ph.D. Student, Climatology, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran. Associate Professor of Climatology, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran full Professor of Climatology, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran. In order to detect climate change, a variety of climate indicators can be used which is often considered temperature and precipitation. In order to investigate the effect of climate change on the amount of precipitation in the north coast of the Persian Gulf, it simulated the precipitable water for 2017-2050 based on the RCP4.5 model of the Hadcm3 model. The NCEP / NCAR base-station data with an arc-value of 0.125 was used to analyze the past and present precipitable water patterns and to reveal the process of this time series. Time series analysis of precipitable water was performed using two SENS tilt estimators and Man-Kendall test. The results indicated that the annual time series of rain water was increasing in the region, every year, 0.05 mm, the precipitated water increased and it tended to become more homogeneous, this increase in the significance level of 0.95. The precipitation rate in the eastern part of the region was higher than other areas. Before 1989, several fluctuations were observed in the rainy season of precipitable water, but none was statistically significant at the confidence level of 95%, but since 1989, the trend has increased significantly at a confidence level of 0.95. This spatial behavior of precipitable water can actually have occurred in response to the increase in the overall temperature of the area and can be considered as a profile of climate change in the region.http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2844-en.pdfclimate changeprecipitable waterhadcm3 modelnorth coast of the persian gulf
spellingShingle Tayebeh Dehghani
mohammad saligheh
Bohloul Alijani
The effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the Persian Gulf
تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
climate change
precipitable water
hadcm3 model
north coast of the persian gulf
title The effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the Persian Gulf
title_full The effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the Persian Gulf
title_fullStr The effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the Persian Gulf
title_full_unstemmed The effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the Persian Gulf
title_short The effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the Persian Gulf
title_sort effect of climate change on the precipitable water content in the north coast of the persian gulf
topic climate change
precipitable water
hadcm3 model
north coast of the persian gulf
url http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2844-en.pdf
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