Criticism of the Classical Theory of Macroeconomic Modeling

Abstract: Current approaches and methods of modeling of macroeconomic systems do not allow to generate research ideas that could be used in applications. This is largely due to the fact that the dominant economic schools and research directions are building their theories on misconceptions about the...

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Main Author: K. K. Kumehov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MGIMO University Press 2015-10-01
Series:Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/433
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author K. K. Kumehov
author_facet K. K. Kumehov
author_sort K. K. Kumehov
collection DOAJ
description Abstract: Current approaches and methods of modeling of macroeconomic systems do not allow to generate research ideas that could be used in applications. This is largely due to the fact that the dominant economic schools and research directions are building their theories on misconceptions about the economic system as object modeling, and have no common methodological approaches in the design of macroeconomic models. All of them are focused on building a model aimed at establishing equilibrium parameters of supply and demand, production and consumption. At the same time as the underlying factors are not considered resource potential and the needs of society in material and other benefits. In addition, there is no unity in the choice of elements and mechanisms of interaction between them. Not installed, what are the criteria to determine the elements of the model: whether it is the institutions, whether the industry is whether the population, or banks, or classes, etc. From the methodological point of view, the design of the model all the most well-known authors extrapolated to the new models of the past state or past events. As a result, every time the model is ready by the time the situation changes, the last parameters underlying the model are losing relevance, so at best, the researcher may have to interpret the events and parameters that are not feasible in the future. In this paper, based on analysis of the works of famous authors, belonging to different schools and areas revealed weaknesses of their proposed macroeconomic models that do not allow you to use them to solve applied problems of economic development. A fundamentally new approaches and methods by which it is possible the construction of macroeconomic models that take into account the theoretical and applied aspects of modeling, as well as formulated the basic methodological requirements.
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spelling doaj-art-4423eb8f101e49868ea5e693cfd5ade92025-01-30T12:16:13ZengMGIMO University PressVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta2071-81602541-90992015-10-0105(44)18118910.24833/2071-8160-2015-5-44-181-189433Criticism of the Classical Theory of Macroeconomic ModelingK. K. Kumehov0ANOOVO «Odintsovo University for the Humanities»Abstract: Current approaches and methods of modeling of macroeconomic systems do not allow to generate research ideas that could be used in applications. This is largely due to the fact that the dominant economic schools and research directions are building their theories on misconceptions about the economic system as object modeling, and have no common methodological approaches in the design of macroeconomic models. All of them are focused on building a model aimed at establishing equilibrium parameters of supply and demand, production and consumption. At the same time as the underlying factors are not considered resource potential and the needs of society in material and other benefits. In addition, there is no unity in the choice of elements and mechanisms of interaction between them. Not installed, what are the criteria to determine the elements of the model: whether it is the institutions, whether the industry is whether the population, or banks, or classes, etc. From the methodological point of view, the design of the model all the most well-known authors extrapolated to the new models of the past state or past events. As a result, every time the model is ready by the time the situation changes, the last parameters underlying the model are losing relevance, so at best, the researcher may have to interpret the events and parameters that are not feasible in the future. In this paper, based on analysis of the works of famous authors, belonging to different schools and areas revealed weaknesses of their proposed macroeconomic models that do not allow you to use them to solve applied problems of economic development. A fundamentally new approaches and methods by which it is possible the construction of macroeconomic models that take into account the theoretical and applied aspects of modeling, as well as formulated the basic methodological requirements.https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/433macroeconomic modelmodelingsimulationeconomic systemsmodeling factorsthe economic balance
spellingShingle K. K. Kumehov
Criticism of the Classical Theory of Macroeconomic Modeling
Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
macroeconomic model
modeling
simulation
economic systems
modeling factors
the economic balance
title Criticism of the Classical Theory of Macroeconomic Modeling
title_full Criticism of the Classical Theory of Macroeconomic Modeling
title_fullStr Criticism of the Classical Theory of Macroeconomic Modeling
title_full_unstemmed Criticism of the Classical Theory of Macroeconomic Modeling
title_short Criticism of the Classical Theory of Macroeconomic Modeling
title_sort criticism of the classical theory of macroeconomic modeling
topic macroeconomic model
modeling
simulation
economic systems
modeling factors
the economic balance
url https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/433
work_keys_str_mv AT kkkumehov criticismoftheclassicaltheoryofmacroeconomicmodeling