Drought Propagation Patterns under Naturalized Condition Using Daily Hydrometeorological Data

Drought propagation pattern forms a basis for establishing drought monitoring and early warning. Due to its regional disparity, it is necessary and significant to investigate the pattern of drought propagation in a specific region. With the objective of improving understanding of drought propagation...

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Main Authors: Jianzhu Li, Yuangang Guo, Yixuan Wang, Shanlong Lu, Xu Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2469156
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author Jianzhu Li
Yuangang Guo
Yixuan Wang
Shanlong Lu
Xu Chen
author_facet Jianzhu Li
Yuangang Guo
Yixuan Wang
Shanlong Lu
Xu Chen
author_sort Jianzhu Li
collection DOAJ
description Drought propagation pattern forms a basis for establishing drought monitoring and early warning. Due to its regional disparity, it is necessary and significant to investigate the pattern of drought propagation in a specific region. With the objective of improving understanding of drought propagation pattern in the Luanhe River basin, we first simulated soil moisture and streamflow in naturalized situation on daily time scale by using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The threshold level method was utilized in identifying drought events and drought characteristics. Compared with meteorological drought, the number of drought events was less and duration was longer for agricultural and hydrological droughts. The results showed that there were 3 types of drought propagation pattern: from meteorological drought to agricultural/hydrological drought (M-A/H), agricultural/hydrological drought without meteorological drought (NM-A/H), and meteorological drought only (M). To explain the drought propagation pattern, possible driven factors were determined, and the relations between agricultural/hydrological drought and the driven factors were built using multiple regression models with the coefficients of determination of 0.4 and 0.656, respectively. These results could provide valuable information for drought early warning and forecast.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-9309
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language English
publishDate 2018-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Advances in Meteorology
spelling doaj-art-43554c4df4fb4950ba51ecb5eb6b8b982025-02-03T06:12:01ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172018-01-01201810.1155/2018/24691562469156Drought Propagation Patterns under Naturalized Condition Using Daily Hydrometeorological DataJianzhu Li0Yuangang Guo1Yixuan Wang2Shanlong Lu3Xu Chen4State Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety, Tianjin University, Tianjin, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety, Tianjin University, Tianjin, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety, Tianjin University, Tianjin, ChinaInstitute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety, Tianjin University, Tianjin, ChinaDrought propagation pattern forms a basis for establishing drought monitoring and early warning. Due to its regional disparity, it is necessary and significant to investigate the pattern of drought propagation in a specific region. With the objective of improving understanding of drought propagation pattern in the Luanhe River basin, we first simulated soil moisture and streamflow in naturalized situation on daily time scale by using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The threshold level method was utilized in identifying drought events and drought characteristics. Compared with meteorological drought, the number of drought events was less and duration was longer for agricultural and hydrological droughts. The results showed that there were 3 types of drought propagation pattern: from meteorological drought to agricultural/hydrological drought (M-A/H), agricultural/hydrological drought without meteorological drought (NM-A/H), and meteorological drought only (M). To explain the drought propagation pattern, possible driven factors were determined, and the relations between agricultural/hydrological drought and the driven factors were built using multiple regression models with the coefficients of determination of 0.4 and 0.656, respectively. These results could provide valuable information for drought early warning and forecast.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2469156
spellingShingle Jianzhu Li
Yuangang Guo
Yixuan Wang
Shanlong Lu
Xu Chen
Drought Propagation Patterns under Naturalized Condition Using Daily Hydrometeorological Data
Advances in Meteorology
title Drought Propagation Patterns under Naturalized Condition Using Daily Hydrometeorological Data
title_full Drought Propagation Patterns under Naturalized Condition Using Daily Hydrometeorological Data
title_fullStr Drought Propagation Patterns under Naturalized Condition Using Daily Hydrometeorological Data
title_full_unstemmed Drought Propagation Patterns under Naturalized Condition Using Daily Hydrometeorological Data
title_short Drought Propagation Patterns under Naturalized Condition Using Daily Hydrometeorological Data
title_sort drought propagation patterns under naturalized condition using daily hydrometeorological data
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2469156
work_keys_str_mv AT jianzhuli droughtpropagationpatternsundernaturalizedconditionusingdailyhydrometeorologicaldata
AT yuangangguo droughtpropagationpatternsundernaturalizedconditionusingdailyhydrometeorologicaldata
AT yixuanwang droughtpropagationpatternsundernaturalizedconditionusingdailyhydrometeorologicaldata
AT shanlonglu droughtpropagationpatternsundernaturalizedconditionusingdailyhydrometeorologicaldata
AT xuchen droughtpropagationpatternsundernaturalizedconditionusingdailyhydrometeorologicaldata