Decarbonization of space heating in the Italian Alpine context: Thermo-economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenarios

The decarbonization of the built environment represents a priority in Europe and requires intervening on energy use for space heating. Although recent strategies have often relied on heat electrification through heat pumps, their effectiveness can be limited in mountain regions due to low temperatur...

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Main Authors: Lorenzo Menin, Gregorio Borelli, Alessandro Prada, Giovanni Pernigotto, Andrea Gasparella, Marco Baratieri
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Energy Conversion and Management: X
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000182
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author Lorenzo Menin
Gregorio Borelli
Alessandro Prada
Giovanni Pernigotto
Andrea Gasparella
Marco Baratieri
author_facet Lorenzo Menin
Gregorio Borelli
Alessandro Prada
Giovanni Pernigotto
Andrea Gasparella
Marco Baratieri
author_sort Lorenzo Menin
collection DOAJ
description The decarbonization of the built environment represents a priority in Europe and requires intervening on energy use for space heating. Although recent strategies have often relied on heat electrification through heat pumps, their effectiveness can be limited in mountain regions due to low temperatures. Nevertheless, mountain contexts offer opportunities for heat decarbonization through bioenergy, as well as other off-the-shelf renewable solutions such as photovoltaics. In this study we conduct a thermo-economic assessment of four scenarios for the near-full electrification of space heating in residential dwellings in South Tyrol, within the coldest Italian climatic zone. Two scenarios rely on biomass gasification combined heat-and-power and (1) air-source or (2) district heat and water-source heat pumps, and two are based on rooftop photovoltaic with air-source heat pumps, (3) with or (4) without battery storage. The results show that scenarios (1), (3) and (4) reduce complementary natural gas consumption to 17.9 % of the total heat energy delivered, while scenario (2) allows eliminating it completely. However, scenario (1) exhibits the highest competitiveness under recent subsidization policies, with a weighted average levelized energy cost of heat of 104 €/MWh, in line with the cost of standalone natural gas combustion in condensing boilers. PV delivers the second most cost-effective solution with strong improvement potential under grid electricity cost reductions. The study shows that current economic conditions already allow for levelized energy costs of heat close to competitiveness with natural gas and delivers useful preliminary results while offering a replicable methodology for the assessment of similar case studies.
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spelling doaj-art-41e75abc580e42c59c6c4b900c3d7e202025-01-24T04:45:39ZengElsevierEnergy Conversion and Management: X2590-17452025-01-0125100886Decarbonization of space heating in the Italian Alpine context: Thermo-economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenariosLorenzo Menin0Gregorio Borelli1Alessandro Prada2Giovanni Pernigotto3Andrea Gasparella4Marco Baratieri5Competence Centre for Mountain Innovation Ecosystems, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Piazza Università 1, Bozen-Bolzano, Italy; Faculty of Engineering, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Via Bruno Buozzi 1, Bozen-Bolzano, ItalyFaculty of Engineering, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Via Bruno Buozzi 1, Bozen-Bolzano, ItalyUniversity of Trento, Via Mesiano, Trento, ItalyCompetence Centre for Mountain Innovation Ecosystems, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Piazza Università 1, Bozen-Bolzano, Italy; Faculty of Engineering, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Via Bruno Buozzi 1, Bozen-Bolzano, ItalyFaculty of Engineering, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Via Bruno Buozzi 1, Bozen-Bolzano, ItalyCompetence Centre for Mountain Innovation Ecosystems, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Piazza Università 1, Bozen-Bolzano, Italy; Faculty of Engineering, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Via Bruno Buozzi 1, Bozen-Bolzano, Italy; Corresponding author.The decarbonization of the built environment represents a priority in Europe and requires intervening on energy use for space heating. Although recent strategies have often relied on heat electrification through heat pumps, their effectiveness can be limited in mountain regions due to low temperatures. Nevertheless, mountain contexts offer opportunities for heat decarbonization through bioenergy, as well as other off-the-shelf renewable solutions such as photovoltaics. In this study we conduct a thermo-economic assessment of four scenarios for the near-full electrification of space heating in residential dwellings in South Tyrol, within the coldest Italian climatic zone. Two scenarios rely on biomass gasification combined heat-and-power and (1) air-source or (2) district heat and water-source heat pumps, and two are based on rooftop photovoltaic with air-source heat pumps, (3) with or (4) without battery storage. The results show that scenarios (1), (3) and (4) reduce complementary natural gas consumption to 17.9 % of the total heat energy delivered, while scenario (2) allows eliminating it completely. However, scenario (1) exhibits the highest competitiveness under recent subsidization policies, with a weighted average levelized energy cost of heat of 104 €/MWh, in line with the cost of standalone natural gas combustion in condensing boilers. PV delivers the second most cost-effective solution with strong improvement potential under grid electricity cost reductions. The study shows that current economic conditions already allow for levelized energy costs of heat close to competitiveness with natural gas and delivers useful preliminary results while offering a replicable methodology for the assessment of similar case studies.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000182BioenergyDistrict heatingPower-to-heatCold climatesBattery storage
spellingShingle Lorenzo Menin
Gregorio Borelli
Alessandro Prada
Giovanni Pernigotto
Andrea Gasparella
Marco Baratieri
Decarbonization of space heating in the Italian Alpine context: Thermo-economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenarios
Energy Conversion and Management: X
Bioenergy
District heating
Power-to-heat
Cold climates
Battery storage
title Decarbonization of space heating in the Italian Alpine context: Thermo-economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenarios
title_full Decarbonization of space heating in the Italian Alpine context: Thermo-economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenarios
title_fullStr Decarbonization of space heating in the Italian Alpine context: Thermo-economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Decarbonization of space heating in the Italian Alpine context: Thermo-economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenarios
title_short Decarbonization of space heating in the Italian Alpine context: Thermo-economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenarios
title_sort decarbonization of space heating in the italian alpine context thermo economic assessment of the levelized energy cost of heating under alternative renewable scenarios
topic Bioenergy
District heating
Power-to-heat
Cold climates
Battery storage
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000182
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