Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting Through Dual-Attention RNN: Integrating Satellite Infrared and Radar VIL Data

Traditional deep learning-based prediction methods predominantly rely on weather radar data to quantify precipitation, often neglecting the integration of the thermal processes involved in the formation and dissipation of precipitation, which leads to reduced prediction accuracy. To address this lim...

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Main Authors: Hao Wang, Rong Yang, Jianxin He, Qiangyu Zeng, Taisong Xiong, Zhihao Liu, Hongfei Jin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Remote Sensing
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/2/238
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author Hao Wang
Rong Yang
Jianxin He
Qiangyu Zeng
Taisong Xiong
Zhihao Liu
Hongfei Jin
author_facet Hao Wang
Rong Yang
Jianxin He
Qiangyu Zeng
Taisong Xiong
Zhihao Liu
Hongfei Jin
author_sort Hao Wang
collection DOAJ
description Traditional deep learning-based prediction methods predominantly rely on weather radar data to quantify precipitation, often neglecting the integration of the thermal processes involved in the formation and dissipation of precipitation, which leads to reduced prediction accuracy. To address this limitation, we introduce the Dual-Attention Recurrent Neural Network (DA-RNN), a model that combines satellite infrared (IR) data with radar-derived vertically integrated liquid (VIL) content. This model leverages the fundamental physical relationship between temperature and precipitation in a predictive framework that captures thermal and water vapor dynamics, thereby enhancing prediction accuracy. The results of experimental evaluations on the SEVIR dataset demonstrate that the DA-RNN model surpasses traditional methods on the test set. Notably, the DA-TrajGRU model achieves reductions in mean squared error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of 30 (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>9.3</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>) and 89 (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>6.4</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>), respectively, compared with those of the conventional TrajGRU model. Furthermore, our DA-RNN exhibits robust false alarm rates (FAR) for various thresholds, with only slight decreases in the critical success index (CSI) and Heidke skill score (HSS) when increasing the threshold. Additionally, we present a visualization of precipitation nowcasting, illustrating that the integration of multiple data sources effectively avoids overestimation of VIL values, further increasing the precision of precipitation forecasts.
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spelling doaj-art-41daed3cad764222925d61c98a7b3cdd2025-01-24T13:47:50ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922025-01-0117223810.3390/rs17020238Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting Through Dual-Attention RNN: Integrating Satellite Infrared and Radar VIL DataHao Wang0Rong Yang1Jianxin He2Qiangyu Zeng3Taisong Xiong4Zhihao Liu5Hongfei Jin6College of Atmospheric Sounding, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sounding, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sounding, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sounding, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sounding, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sounding, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sounding, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, ChinaTraditional deep learning-based prediction methods predominantly rely on weather radar data to quantify precipitation, often neglecting the integration of the thermal processes involved in the formation and dissipation of precipitation, which leads to reduced prediction accuracy. To address this limitation, we introduce the Dual-Attention Recurrent Neural Network (DA-RNN), a model that combines satellite infrared (IR) data with radar-derived vertically integrated liquid (VIL) content. This model leverages the fundamental physical relationship between temperature and precipitation in a predictive framework that captures thermal and water vapor dynamics, thereby enhancing prediction accuracy. The results of experimental evaluations on the SEVIR dataset demonstrate that the DA-RNN model surpasses traditional methods on the test set. Notably, the DA-TrajGRU model achieves reductions in mean squared error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of 30 (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>9.3</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>) and 89 (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>6.4</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>), respectively, compared with those of the conventional TrajGRU model. Furthermore, our DA-RNN exhibits robust false alarm rates (FAR) for various thresholds, with only slight decreases in the critical success index (CSI) and Heidke skill score (HSS) when increasing the threshold. Additionally, we present a visualization of precipitation nowcasting, illustrating that the integration of multiple data sources effectively avoids overestimation of VIL values, further increasing the precision of precipitation forecasts.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/2/238relationshiptemperaturenowcastingmultiple data sources
spellingShingle Hao Wang
Rong Yang
Jianxin He
Qiangyu Zeng
Taisong Xiong
Zhihao Liu
Hongfei Jin
Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting Through Dual-Attention RNN: Integrating Satellite Infrared and Radar VIL Data
Remote Sensing
relationship
temperature
nowcasting
multiple data sources
title Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting Through Dual-Attention RNN: Integrating Satellite Infrared and Radar VIL Data
title_full Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting Through Dual-Attention RNN: Integrating Satellite Infrared and Radar VIL Data
title_fullStr Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting Through Dual-Attention RNN: Integrating Satellite Infrared and Radar VIL Data
title_full_unstemmed Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting Through Dual-Attention RNN: Integrating Satellite Infrared and Radar VIL Data
title_short Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting Through Dual-Attention RNN: Integrating Satellite Infrared and Radar VIL Data
title_sort enhancing precipitation nowcasting through dual attention rnn integrating satellite infrared and radar vil data
topic relationship
temperature
nowcasting
multiple data sources
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/2/238
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AT jianxinhe enhancingprecipitationnowcastingthroughdualattentionrnnintegratingsatelliteinfraredandradarvildata
AT qiangyuzeng enhancingprecipitationnowcastingthroughdualattentionrnnintegratingsatelliteinfraredandradarvildata
AT taisongxiong enhancingprecipitationnowcastingthroughdualattentionrnnintegratingsatelliteinfraredandradarvildata
AT zhihaoliu enhancingprecipitationnowcastingthroughdualattentionrnnintegratingsatelliteinfraredandradarvildata
AT hongfeijin enhancingprecipitationnowcastingthroughdualattentionrnnintegratingsatelliteinfraredandradarvildata