Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan
The total fertility rate in Taiwan has fallen below 1.3 since 2003. The objective of the study is to use perturbation analysis with census data from 1992 to 2017 to identify which demographic parameters are most important to target for population management. The research shows that the fertility of...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2020-01-01
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| Series: | Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8308504 |
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| _version_ | 1832546866540052480 |
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| author | Shun-Chieh Hsieh |
| author_facet | Shun-Chieh Hsieh |
| author_sort | Shun-Chieh Hsieh |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The total fertility rate in Taiwan has fallen below 1.3 since 2003. The objective of the study is to use perturbation analysis with census data from 1992 to 2017 to identify which demographic parameters are most important to target for population management. The research shows that the fertility of older ages plays an important role for declining population in Taiwan. From a practical viewpoint, population management policy having a substantial impact on the survival of prereproductive females and the fertility of order females is likely to produce the most dramatic change in population trends. Therefore, the perturbation analysis is useful in understanding the relative importance of vital rates to increase management effectiveness. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-41462e7683ea43deaffd363360470d51 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1026-0226 1607-887X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| spelling | doaj-art-41462e7683ea43deaffd363360470d512025-02-03T06:46:39ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2020-01-01202010.1155/2020/83085048308504Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in TaiwanShun-Chieh Hsieh0Department of Land Management and Development, Chang Jung Christian University, Tainan 71101, TaiwanThe total fertility rate in Taiwan has fallen below 1.3 since 2003. The objective of the study is to use perturbation analysis with census data from 1992 to 2017 to identify which demographic parameters are most important to target for population management. The research shows that the fertility of older ages plays an important role for declining population in Taiwan. From a practical viewpoint, population management policy having a substantial impact on the survival of prereproductive females and the fertility of order females is likely to produce the most dramatic change in population trends. Therefore, the perturbation analysis is useful in understanding the relative importance of vital rates to increase management effectiveness.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8308504 |
| spellingShingle | Shun-Chieh Hsieh Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| title | Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan |
| title_full | Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan |
| title_fullStr | Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan |
| title_short | Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan |
| title_sort | perturbation analysis of population growth rates in taiwan |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8308504 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT shunchiehhsieh perturbationanalysisofpopulationgrowthratesintaiwan |