Real-Time Prediction of the Trend of Ground Motion Intensity Based on Deep Learning

In order to predict the intensity of earthquake damage in advance and improve the effectiveness of earthquake emergency measures, this paper proposes a deep learning model for real-time prediction of the trend of ground motion intensity. The input sample is the real-time monitoring recordings of the...

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Main Authors: Tao Liu, Zhijun Dai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Shock and Vibration
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5518204
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author Tao Liu
Zhijun Dai
author_facet Tao Liu
Zhijun Dai
author_sort Tao Liu
collection DOAJ
description In order to predict the intensity of earthquake damage in advance and improve the effectiveness of earthquake emergency measures, this paper proposes a deep learning model for real-time prediction of the trend of ground motion intensity. The input sample is the real-time monitoring recordings of the current received ground motion acceleration. According to the different sampling frequencies, the neural network is constructed by several subnetworks, and the output of each subnetwork is combined into one. After the training and verification of the model, the results show that the model has an accuracy rate of 75% on the testing set, which is effective on real-time prediction of the ground motion intensity. Moreover, the correlation between the Arias intensity and structural damage is stronger than the correlation between peak acceleration and structural damage, so the model is useful for determining real-time response measures on earthquake disaster prevention and mitigation compared with the current more common antiseismic measures based on predictive PGA.
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institution Kabale University
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1875-9203
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publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Shock and Vibration
spelling doaj-art-3ef1e55c398d44e9a60a43bc3c4320602025-02-03T06:12:01ZengWileyShock and Vibration1070-96221875-92032021-01-01202110.1155/2021/55182045518204Real-Time Prediction of the Trend of Ground Motion Intensity Based on Deep LearningTao Liu0Zhijun Dai1Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100081, ChinaInstitute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100081, ChinaIn order to predict the intensity of earthquake damage in advance and improve the effectiveness of earthquake emergency measures, this paper proposes a deep learning model for real-time prediction of the trend of ground motion intensity. The input sample is the real-time monitoring recordings of the current received ground motion acceleration. According to the different sampling frequencies, the neural network is constructed by several subnetworks, and the output of each subnetwork is combined into one. After the training and verification of the model, the results show that the model has an accuracy rate of 75% on the testing set, which is effective on real-time prediction of the ground motion intensity. Moreover, the correlation between the Arias intensity and structural damage is stronger than the correlation between peak acceleration and structural damage, so the model is useful for determining real-time response measures on earthquake disaster prevention and mitigation compared with the current more common antiseismic measures based on predictive PGA.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5518204
spellingShingle Tao Liu
Zhijun Dai
Real-Time Prediction of the Trend of Ground Motion Intensity Based on Deep Learning
Shock and Vibration
title Real-Time Prediction of the Trend of Ground Motion Intensity Based on Deep Learning
title_full Real-Time Prediction of the Trend of Ground Motion Intensity Based on Deep Learning
title_fullStr Real-Time Prediction of the Trend of Ground Motion Intensity Based on Deep Learning
title_full_unstemmed Real-Time Prediction of the Trend of Ground Motion Intensity Based on Deep Learning
title_short Real-Time Prediction of the Trend of Ground Motion Intensity Based on Deep Learning
title_sort real time prediction of the trend of ground motion intensity based on deep learning
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5518204
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AT zhijundai realtimepredictionofthetrendofgroundmotionintensitybasedondeeplearning