Intra-specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental change

Environmental changes are a growing concern, as they exert pressures on ecosystems. In some cases, such changes lead to shifts in ecosystem structure. However, species can adapt to changes through evolution, and it is unclear how evolution interacts with regime shifts, which restricts ecosystem mana...

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Main Authors: Thomas Imbert, Jean-Christophe Poggiale, Mathias Gauduchon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2024-12-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024342
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author Thomas Imbert
Jean-Christophe Poggiale
Mathias Gauduchon
author_facet Thomas Imbert
Jean-Christophe Poggiale
Mathias Gauduchon
author_sort Thomas Imbert
collection DOAJ
description Environmental changes are a growing concern, as they exert pressures on ecosystems. In some cases, such changes lead to shifts in ecosystem structure. However, species can adapt to changes through evolution, and it is unclear how evolution interacts with regime shifts, which restricts ecosystem management strategies. Here, we used a model of prey population with evolution and intra-specific trait diversity, and simulated regime shifts through changes in predation pressure. We then explored interactions between evolution, diversity, and shifts in population density. Evolution induced delayed or early regime shifts, and altered the recovery of populations. Such changes depended on the relative speed of evolution and change of predation pressure, as well as on the initial state of the population. Evolution also influenced population resilience, which was important when considering strong environmental variability. For instance, storms can spontaneously increase mortality and induce shifts. Furthermore, environmental variability induced even higher mortality if the phenotypic diversity of populations is large. Some phenotypes were more vulnerable to environmental changes, and such increases in mortality favor shifts to decreases in density. Thus, population management needs to consider diversity, evolution, and environmental change altogether to better anticipate regime shifts on eco-evolutionary time scales. Here, evolution and diversity showed complex interactions with population shift dynamics. Investigating the influence of higher diversity levels, such as diversity at a community level, should be another step towards anticipating changes in ecosystems and communities.
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spelling doaj-art-3ec8c0ffd0484bd0ae058ad4705f2b512025-01-23T05:05:30ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182024-12-0121127783780410.3934/mbe.2024342Intra-specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental changeThomas Imbert0Jean-Christophe Poggiale1Mathias Gauduchon2Institute of Coastal Systems - Analysis and Modeling, Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Max-Planck-Str. 1, Geesthacht 21502, GermanyAix Marseille Univ, Université de Toulon, CNRS, IRD, MIO, Marseille, FranceAix Marseille Univ, Université de Toulon, CNRS, IRD, MIO, Marseille, FranceEnvironmental changes are a growing concern, as they exert pressures on ecosystems. In some cases, such changes lead to shifts in ecosystem structure. However, species can adapt to changes through evolution, and it is unclear how evolution interacts with regime shifts, which restricts ecosystem management strategies. Here, we used a model of prey population with evolution and intra-specific trait diversity, and simulated regime shifts through changes in predation pressure. We then explored interactions between evolution, diversity, and shifts in population density. Evolution induced delayed or early regime shifts, and altered the recovery of populations. Such changes depended on the relative speed of evolution and change of predation pressure, as well as on the initial state of the population. Evolution also influenced population resilience, which was important when considering strong environmental variability. For instance, storms can spontaneously increase mortality and induce shifts. Furthermore, environmental variability induced even higher mortality if the phenotypic diversity of populations is large. Some phenotypes were more vulnerable to environmental changes, and such increases in mortality favor shifts to decreases in density. Thus, population management needs to consider diversity, evolution, and environmental change altogether to better anticipate regime shifts on eco-evolutionary time scales. Here, evolution and diversity showed complex interactions with population shift dynamics. Investigating the influence of higher diversity levels, such as diversity at a community level, should be another step towards anticipating changes in ecosystems and communities.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024342adaptive dynamicseco-evolutionenvironmental changegenetic diversitypderesilienceregime shifts
spellingShingle Thomas Imbert
Jean-Christophe Poggiale
Mathias Gauduchon
Intra-specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental change
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
adaptive dynamics
eco-evolution
environmental change
genetic diversity
pde
resilience
regime shifts
title Intra-specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental change
title_full Intra-specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental change
title_fullStr Intra-specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental change
title_full_unstemmed Intra-specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental change
title_short Intra-specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental change
title_sort intra specific diversity and adaptation modify regime shifts dynamics under environmental change
topic adaptive dynamics
eco-evolution
environmental change
genetic diversity
pde
resilience
regime shifts
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024342
work_keys_str_mv AT thomasimbert intraspecificdiversityandadaptationmodifyregimeshiftsdynamicsunderenvironmentalchange
AT jeanchristophepoggiale intraspecificdiversityandadaptationmodifyregimeshiftsdynamicsunderenvironmentalchange
AT mathiasgauduchon intraspecificdiversityandadaptationmodifyregimeshiftsdynamicsunderenvironmentalchange