Deep Gaussian process with uncertainty estimation for microsatellite instability and immunotherapy response prediction from histology
Abstract Determining tumor microsatellite status has significant clinical value because tumors that are microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) or mismatch repair deficient (dMMR) respond well to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and oftentimes not to chemotherapeutics. We propose MSI-SEER, a deep...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2025-05-01
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| Series: | npj Digital Medicine |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-025-01580-8 |
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| Summary: | Abstract Determining tumor microsatellite status has significant clinical value because tumors that are microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) or mismatch repair deficient (dMMR) respond well to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and oftentimes not to chemotherapeutics. We propose MSI-SEER, a deep Gaussian process-based Bayesian model that analyzes H&E whole-slide images in weakly-supervised-learning to predict microsatellite status in gastric and colorectal cancers. We performed extensive validation using multiple large datasets comprised of patients from diverse racial backgrounds. MSI-SEER achieved state-of-the-art performance with MSI prediction by integrating uncertainty prediction. We achieved high accuracy for predicting ICI responsiveness by combining tumor MSI status with stroma-to-tumor ratio. Finally, MSI-SEER’s tile-level predictions revealed novel insights into the role of spatial distribution of MSI-H regions in the tumor microenvironment and ICI response. |
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| ISSN: | 2398-6352 |