Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size

Immigration will be the key factor determining whether populations in the developed world increase or decrease over the coming century. New policy-based population projections illustrate this for the United States. Expansive immigration policies could increase the US population by hundreds of millio...

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Main Author: Philip Cafaro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The White Horse Press 2025-01-01
Series:The Journal of Population and Sustainability
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.whp-journals.co.uk/JPS/article/view/1221
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author Philip Cafaro
author_facet Philip Cafaro
author_sort Philip Cafaro
collection DOAJ
description Immigration will be the key factor determining whether populations in the developed world increase or decrease over the coming century. New policy-based population projections illustrate this for the United States. Expansive immigration policies could increase the US population by hundreds of millions by 2100, while more restrictive policies could lead to population stabilisation or significant reductions. For the US, there is no plausible high-immigration path to a sustainable population. Because larger populations increase human environmental impacts, sustainability advocates in the US and other countries with high net immigration levels have strong prima facie reasons to support immigration reductions. Such reductions could achieve smaller populations in receiver countries and encourage smaller populations in sender countries, contributing to global ecological sustainability.
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series The Journal of Population and Sustainability
spelling doaj-art-3e79cbb22afe4b74a1aab91918d83d702025-01-31T11:46:33ZengThe White Horse PressThe Journal of Population and Sustainability2398-54882398-54962025-01-0191618410.3197/JPS.637999773464982233Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population sizePhilip Cafaro0 Colorado State UniversityImmigration will be the key factor determining whether populations in the developed world increase or decrease over the coming century. New policy-based population projections illustrate this for the United States. Expansive immigration policies could increase the US population by hundreds of millions by 2100, while more restrictive policies could lead to population stabilisation or significant reductions. For the US, there is no plausible high-immigration path to a sustainable population. Because larger populations increase human environmental impacts, sustainability advocates in the US and other countries with high net immigration levels have strong prima facie reasons to support immigration reductions. Such reductions could achieve smaller populations in receiver countries and encourage smaller populations in sender countries, contributing to global ecological sustainability.https://www.whp-journals.co.uk/JPS/article/view/1221immigrationpopulationoverpopulationpopulation projectionssustainability
spellingShingle Philip Cafaro
Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size
The Journal of Population and Sustainability
immigration
population
overpopulation
population projections
sustainability
title Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size
title_full Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size
title_fullStr Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size
title_short Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size
title_sort impact of immigration policy on future us population size
topic immigration
population
overpopulation
population projections
sustainability
url https://www.whp-journals.co.uk/JPS/article/view/1221
work_keys_str_mv AT philipcafaro impactofimmigrationpolicyonfutureuspopulationsize