Tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality: the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) legacy 20-year follow-up study

Background Left ventricular diastolic function as assessed by tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts cardiovascular event rates at 4 years of follow-up in patients with hypertension. Our aim was to evaluate whether this extends to predicting cardiovascular mortality after 20 years of follow-up.Met...

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Main Authors: Simon Thom, Alice Stanton, Jamil Mayet, Amit Kaura, Darrel Francis, Anoop SV Shah, Andrew Sharp, Alun D Hughes, Neil R Poulter, Anenta Ratneswaren, Tong Wu, Somayeh Rostamian, Devan Wasan, PS Sever
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2025-02-01
Series:Open Heart
Online Access:https://openheart.bmj.com/content/12/1/e002795.full
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author Simon Thom
Alice Stanton
Jamil Mayet
Amit Kaura
Darrel Francis
Anoop SV Shah
Andrew Sharp
Alun D Hughes
Neil R Poulter
Anenta Ratneswaren
Tong Wu
Somayeh Rostamian
Devan Wasan
PS Sever
author_facet Simon Thom
Alice Stanton
Jamil Mayet
Amit Kaura
Darrel Francis
Anoop SV Shah
Andrew Sharp
Alun D Hughes
Neil R Poulter
Anenta Ratneswaren
Tong Wu
Somayeh Rostamian
Devan Wasan
PS Sever
author_sort Simon Thom
collection DOAJ
description Background Left ventricular diastolic function as assessed by tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts cardiovascular event rates at 4 years of follow-up in patients with hypertension. Our aim was to evaluate whether this extends to predicting cardiovascular mortality after 20 years of follow-up.Methods Conventional (E) and tissue Doppler (e′) echocardiography was performed on hypertensive participants in the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) with long-term follow-up ascertained via linkage to the Office of National Statistics. Cardiovascular mortality was defined as death from coronary heart disease, stroke and other cardiovascular aetiology such as heart failure or peripheral vascular disease. Unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression survival models were constructed to investigate the association between tissue Doppler echocardiography measurements and long-term cardiovascular mortality.Results Among 506 hypertensive patients (median age 64, interquartile range (58, 69), 87% male), there were 200 (40%) deaths over a 20-year follow-up period. 60 deaths (12%) were cardiovascular-related.A reduction in e′ was independently associated with increased cardiovascular mortality, after adjusting for the ACC/AHA Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk score, with an inverse HR of 1.22 per 1 cm/s decrease (95% CI 1.04–1.43). A higher E/e′ ratio was independently associated with increased cardiovascular mortality, after adjusting for the ASCVD risk score, with an HR of 1.12 per 1-unit increase (95% CI, 1.02 to 1.23).Conclusions Impaired left ventricular diastolic function, measured using tissue Doppler echocardiography through e′ and E/e′, independently predicts increased cardiovascular mortality over 20 years in hypertensive patients, highlighting its long-term prognostic significance.
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spelling doaj-art-3e23d282608646fcb40c73042fbf5c4c2025-02-05T04:00:13ZengBMJ Publishing GroupOpen Heart2053-36242025-02-0112110.1136/openhrt-2024-002795Tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality: the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) legacy 20-year follow-up studySimon Thom0Alice Stanton1Jamil Mayet2Amit Kaura3Darrel Francis4Anoop SV Shah5Andrew Sharp6Alun D Hughes7Neil R Poulter8Anenta Ratneswaren9Tong Wu10Somayeh Rostamian11Devan Wasan12PS Sever131 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK4 Molecular and Cellular Therapeutics, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK3 Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK2 University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, UK, Cardiff, UK5 University College London, London, UK1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UKBackground Left ventricular diastolic function as assessed by tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts cardiovascular event rates at 4 years of follow-up in patients with hypertension. Our aim was to evaluate whether this extends to predicting cardiovascular mortality after 20 years of follow-up.Methods Conventional (E) and tissue Doppler (e′) echocardiography was performed on hypertensive participants in the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) with long-term follow-up ascertained via linkage to the Office of National Statistics. Cardiovascular mortality was defined as death from coronary heart disease, stroke and other cardiovascular aetiology such as heart failure or peripheral vascular disease. Unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression survival models were constructed to investigate the association between tissue Doppler echocardiography measurements and long-term cardiovascular mortality.Results Among 506 hypertensive patients (median age 64, interquartile range (58, 69), 87% male), there were 200 (40%) deaths over a 20-year follow-up period. 60 deaths (12%) were cardiovascular-related.A reduction in e′ was independently associated with increased cardiovascular mortality, after adjusting for the ACC/AHA Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk score, with an inverse HR of 1.22 per 1 cm/s decrease (95% CI 1.04–1.43). A higher E/e′ ratio was independently associated with increased cardiovascular mortality, after adjusting for the ASCVD risk score, with an HR of 1.12 per 1-unit increase (95% CI, 1.02 to 1.23).Conclusions Impaired left ventricular diastolic function, measured using tissue Doppler echocardiography through e′ and E/e′, independently predicts increased cardiovascular mortality over 20 years in hypertensive patients, highlighting its long-term prognostic significance.https://openheart.bmj.com/content/12/1/e002795.full
spellingShingle Simon Thom
Alice Stanton
Jamil Mayet
Amit Kaura
Darrel Francis
Anoop SV Shah
Andrew Sharp
Alun D Hughes
Neil R Poulter
Anenta Ratneswaren
Tong Wu
Somayeh Rostamian
Devan Wasan
PS Sever
Tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality: the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) legacy 20-year follow-up study
Open Heart
title Tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality: the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) legacy 20-year follow-up study
title_full Tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality: the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) legacy 20-year follow-up study
title_fullStr Tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality: the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) legacy 20-year follow-up study
title_full_unstemmed Tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality: the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) legacy 20-year follow-up study
title_short Tissue Doppler echocardiography predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality: the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT) legacy 20-year follow-up study
title_sort tissue doppler echocardiography predicts long term cardiovascular mortality the anglo scandinavian cardiac outcomes trial ascot legacy 20 year follow up study
url https://openheart.bmj.com/content/12/1/e002795.full
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