Declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the Global North and China offset by the Global South

Abstract Human activities have emitted substantial mercury into the atmosphere, significantly impacting ecosystems and human health worldwide. Currently, consistent methodologies to evaluate long-term mercury emissions across countries and industries are scant, hindering efforts to prioritize emissi...

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Main Authors: Xinran Qiu, Maodian Liu, Yuanzheng Zhang, Qianru Zhang, Huiming Lin, Xingrui Cai, Jin Li, Rong Dai, Shuxiu Zheng, Jinghang Wang, Yaqi Zhu, Huizhong Shen, Guofeng Shen, Xuejun Wang, Shu Tao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56274-2
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author Xinran Qiu
Maodian Liu
Yuanzheng Zhang
Qianru Zhang
Huiming Lin
Xingrui Cai
Jin Li
Rong Dai
Shuxiu Zheng
Jinghang Wang
Yaqi Zhu
Huizhong Shen
Guofeng Shen
Xuejun Wang
Shu Tao
author_facet Xinran Qiu
Maodian Liu
Yuanzheng Zhang
Qianru Zhang
Huiming Lin
Xingrui Cai
Jin Li
Rong Dai
Shuxiu Zheng
Jinghang Wang
Yaqi Zhu
Huizhong Shen
Guofeng Shen
Xuejun Wang
Shu Tao
author_sort Xinran Qiu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Human activities have emitted substantial mercury into the atmosphere, significantly impacting ecosystems and human health worldwide. Currently, consistent methodologies to evaluate long-term mercury emissions across countries and industries are scant, hindering efforts to prioritize emission controls. Here, we develop a high-spatiotemporal-resolution dataset to comprehensively analyze global anthropogenic mercury emission patterns. We show that global emissions increased 330% during 1960–2021, with declines in developed Global North countries since the 1990s and China since the 2010s completely offset by rapid growth in Global South countries (excluding China). Consequently, global emissions have continued to rise slightly since the 2013 Minamata Convention. In 2021, Global South countries produced two-thirds of global emissions, despite comprising only one-fifth of the global economy. We predict that, although large uncertainties exist, continued emission growth in Global South countries under a business-as-usual scenario could increase 10%-50% global mercury emissions by 2030. Our findings demonstrate that global control of anthropogenic mercury emissions has reached a critical juncture, highlighting the urgent need to target reductions in Global South countries to prevent worsening health and environmental impacts.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2041-1723
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Nature Communications
spelling doaj-art-3dd8ae214193422286af6dee05d9e06f2025-02-02T12:32:57ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-01-0116111110.1038/s41467-025-56274-2Declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the Global North and China offset by the Global SouthXinran Qiu0Maodian Liu1Yuanzheng Zhang2Qianru Zhang3Huiming Lin4Xingrui Cai5Jin Li6Rong Dai7Shuxiu Zheng8Jinghang Wang9Yaqi Zhu10Huizhong Shen11Guofeng Shen12Xuejun Wang13Shu Tao14Ministry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityNicholas School of the Environment, Duke UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityShenzhen Key Laboratory of Precision Measurement and Early Warning Technology for Urban Environmental Health Risks, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and TechnologyMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityMinistry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityAbstract Human activities have emitted substantial mercury into the atmosphere, significantly impacting ecosystems and human health worldwide. Currently, consistent methodologies to evaluate long-term mercury emissions across countries and industries are scant, hindering efforts to prioritize emission controls. Here, we develop a high-spatiotemporal-resolution dataset to comprehensively analyze global anthropogenic mercury emission patterns. We show that global emissions increased 330% during 1960–2021, with declines in developed Global North countries since the 1990s and China since the 2010s completely offset by rapid growth in Global South countries (excluding China). Consequently, global emissions have continued to rise slightly since the 2013 Minamata Convention. In 2021, Global South countries produced two-thirds of global emissions, despite comprising only one-fifth of the global economy. We predict that, although large uncertainties exist, continued emission growth in Global South countries under a business-as-usual scenario could increase 10%-50% global mercury emissions by 2030. Our findings demonstrate that global control of anthropogenic mercury emissions has reached a critical juncture, highlighting the urgent need to target reductions in Global South countries to prevent worsening health and environmental impacts.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56274-2
spellingShingle Xinran Qiu
Maodian Liu
Yuanzheng Zhang
Qianru Zhang
Huiming Lin
Xingrui Cai
Jin Li
Rong Dai
Shuxiu Zheng
Jinghang Wang
Yaqi Zhu
Huizhong Shen
Guofeng Shen
Xuejun Wang
Shu Tao
Declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the Global North and China offset by the Global South
Nature Communications
title Declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the Global North and China offset by the Global South
title_full Declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the Global North and China offset by the Global South
title_fullStr Declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the Global North and China offset by the Global South
title_full_unstemmed Declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the Global North and China offset by the Global South
title_short Declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the Global North and China offset by the Global South
title_sort declines in anthropogenic mercury emissions in the global north and china offset by the global south
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56274-2
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