Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis

Reliable information on the spatiotemporal dynamics of solar radiation plays a crucial role in studies relating to global climate change. In this study, a new backpropagation neural network (BPNN) model optimized with an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm was developed to generate the ACO-BPNN...

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Main Authors: Xiangqian Li, Zhijun Tong, Enliang Guo, Xiaolong Luo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/1042603
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author Xiangqian Li
Zhijun Tong
Enliang Guo
Xiaolong Luo
author_facet Xiangqian Li
Zhijun Tong
Enliang Guo
Xiaolong Luo
author_sort Xiangqian Li
collection DOAJ
description Reliable information on the spatiotemporal dynamics of solar radiation plays a crucial role in studies relating to global climate change. In this study, a new backpropagation neural network (BPNN) model optimized with an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm was developed to generate the ACO-BPNN model, which had demonstrated superior performance for simulating solar radiation compared to traditional BPNN modelling, for Northeast China. On this basis, we applied an intensity analysis to investigate the spatiotemporal variation of solar radiation from 1982 to 2010 over the study region at three levels: interval, category, and conversion. Research findings revealed that (1) the solar radiation resource in the study region increased from the 1980s to the 2000s and the average annual rate of variation from the 1980s to the 1990s was lower than that from the 1990s to the 2000s and (2) the gains and losses of solar radiation at each level were in different conditions. The poor, normal, and comparatively abundant levels were transferred to higher levels, whereas the abundant level was transferred to lower levels. We believe our findings contribute to implementing ad hoc energy management strategies to optimize the use of solar radiation resources and provide scientific suggestions for policy planning.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-9309
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language English
publishDate 2017-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Advances in Meteorology
spelling doaj-art-3c7105a981cf4d6bafbd160ea55271712025-02-03T05:44:32ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172017-01-01201710.1155/2017/10426031042603Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity AnalysisXiangqian Li0Zhijun Tong1Enliang Guo2Xiaolong Luo3School of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, ChinaSchool of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, ChinaSchool of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, ChinaSchool of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, ChinaReliable information on the spatiotemporal dynamics of solar radiation plays a crucial role in studies relating to global climate change. In this study, a new backpropagation neural network (BPNN) model optimized with an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm was developed to generate the ACO-BPNN model, which had demonstrated superior performance for simulating solar radiation compared to traditional BPNN modelling, for Northeast China. On this basis, we applied an intensity analysis to investigate the spatiotemporal variation of solar radiation from 1982 to 2010 over the study region at three levels: interval, category, and conversion. Research findings revealed that (1) the solar radiation resource in the study region increased from the 1980s to the 2000s and the average annual rate of variation from the 1980s to the 1990s was lower than that from the 1990s to the 2000s and (2) the gains and losses of solar radiation at each level were in different conditions. The poor, normal, and comparatively abundant levels were transferred to higher levels, whereas the abundant level was transferred to lower levels. We believe our findings contribute to implementing ad hoc energy management strategies to optimize the use of solar radiation resources and provide scientific suggestions for policy planning.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/1042603
spellingShingle Xiangqian Li
Zhijun Tong
Enliang Guo
Xiaolong Luo
Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis
Advances in Meteorology
title Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis
title_full Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis
title_fullStr Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis
title_short Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis
title_sort quantifying spatiotemporal dynamics of solar radiation over the northeast china based on aco bpnn model and intensity analysis
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/1042603
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AT enliangguo quantifyingspatiotemporaldynamicsofsolarradiationoverthenortheastchinabasedonacobpnnmodelandintensityanalysis
AT xiaolongluo quantifyingspatiotemporaldynamicsofsolarradiationoverthenortheastchinabasedonacobpnnmodelandintensityanalysis