Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis
Reliable information on the spatiotemporal dynamics of solar radiation plays a crucial role in studies relating to global climate change. In this study, a new backpropagation neural network (BPNN) model optimized with an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm was developed to generate the ACO-BPNN...
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Wiley
2017-01-01
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Series: | Advances in Meteorology |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/1042603 |
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author | Xiangqian Li Zhijun Tong Enliang Guo Xiaolong Luo |
author_facet | Xiangqian Li Zhijun Tong Enliang Guo Xiaolong Luo |
author_sort | Xiangqian Li |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Reliable information on the spatiotemporal dynamics of solar radiation plays a crucial role in studies relating to global climate change. In this study, a new backpropagation neural network (BPNN) model optimized with an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm was developed to generate the ACO-BPNN model, which had demonstrated superior performance for simulating solar radiation compared to traditional BPNN modelling, for Northeast China. On this basis, we applied an intensity analysis to investigate the spatiotemporal variation of solar radiation from 1982 to 2010 over the study region at three levels: interval, category, and conversion. Research findings revealed that (1) the solar radiation resource in the study region increased from the 1980s to the 2000s and the average annual rate of variation from the 1980s to the 1990s was lower than that from the 1990s to the 2000s and (2) the gains and losses of solar radiation at each level were in different conditions. The poor, normal, and comparatively abundant levels were transferred to higher levels, whereas the abundant level was transferred to lower levels. We believe our findings contribute to implementing ad hoc energy management strategies to optimize the use of solar radiation resources and provide scientific suggestions for policy planning. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-3c7105a981cf4d6bafbd160ea5527171 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1687-9309 1687-9317 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2017-01-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
record_format | Article |
series | Advances in Meteorology |
spelling | doaj-art-3c7105a981cf4d6bafbd160ea55271712025-02-03T05:44:32ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172017-01-01201710.1155/2017/10426031042603Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity AnalysisXiangqian Li0Zhijun Tong1Enliang Guo2Xiaolong Luo3School of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, ChinaSchool of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, ChinaSchool of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, ChinaSchool of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, ChinaReliable information on the spatiotemporal dynamics of solar radiation plays a crucial role in studies relating to global climate change. In this study, a new backpropagation neural network (BPNN) model optimized with an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm was developed to generate the ACO-BPNN model, which had demonstrated superior performance for simulating solar radiation compared to traditional BPNN modelling, for Northeast China. On this basis, we applied an intensity analysis to investigate the spatiotemporal variation of solar radiation from 1982 to 2010 over the study region at three levels: interval, category, and conversion. Research findings revealed that (1) the solar radiation resource in the study region increased from the 1980s to the 2000s and the average annual rate of variation from the 1980s to the 1990s was lower than that from the 1990s to the 2000s and (2) the gains and losses of solar radiation at each level were in different conditions. The poor, normal, and comparatively abundant levels were transferred to higher levels, whereas the abundant level was transferred to lower levels. We believe our findings contribute to implementing ad hoc energy management strategies to optimize the use of solar radiation resources and provide scientific suggestions for policy planning.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/1042603 |
spellingShingle | Xiangqian Li Zhijun Tong Enliang Guo Xiaolong Luo Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis Advances in Meteorology |
title | Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis |
title_full | Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis |
title_fullStr | Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis |
title_full_unstemmed | Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis |
title_short | Quantifying Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Solar Radiation over the Northeast China Based on ACO-BPNN Model and Intensity Analysis |
title_sort | quantifying spatiotemporal dynamics of solar radiation over the northeast china based on aco bpnn model and intensity analysis |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/1042603 |
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