INVESTIGATION OF RATIONAL BUBBLES AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS IN COMMODITY MARKETS: EVIDENCES FROM PRECIOUS METALS
Price bubbles which can be expressed as thedeviation of the price of an asset from its fundamental value, have significantimpacts on markets. The effects of the financial crisis that started with theburst of the housing bubbles in the USA in 2008 have spread all over the worldand turned into a globa...
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Mehmet Akif Ersoy University
2019-12-01
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| Series: | Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi |
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| author | İsmail Çelik Hilmi Tunahan Akkuş Nazlıgül Gülcan |
| author_facet | İsmail Çelik Hilmi Tunahan Akkuş Nazlıgül Gülcan |
| author_sort | İsmail Çelik |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Price bubbles which can be expressed as thedeviation of the price of an asset from its fundamental value, have significantimpacts on markets. The effects of the financial crisis that started with theburst of the housing bubbles in the USA in 2008 have spread all over the worldand turned into a global crisis. In this study, the price bubbles of gold, silver,platinum and palladium in the commodity markets for the period between01.01.2010-19.02.2019 were investigated. RtADF, SADF and GSADF methods wereused to determine the formation and burst periods of price bubbles. As a resultof the analysis, price bubbles were found in gold, silver and platinum, whereasno bubbles were found in palladium prices. Due to the close formation dates ofthese bubbles, whether there was any return or volatility spillover betweengold, silver and platinum markets was investigated with VAR-EGARCH method. As aresult of the study, it was found that there was a multiple spillover betweenthe gold, silver and platinum returns. Thus, it was concluded that the pricebubbles formed in precious metals triggered each other. Findings regarding thepresence of price bubbles in the precious metal markets are crucial for tradersin terms of trading timing. However, the findings related to the volatilityspillover among precious metals are also important in terms of considering theeffect of this spillover for the investors who provide hedging by preciousmetals. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-3bf5d8fd315b4780b1c4f3973767b6be |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2149-1658 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2019-12-01 |
| publisher | Mehmet Akif Ersoy University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi |
| spelling | doaj-art-3bf5d8fd315b4780b1c4f3973767b6be2025-01-27T14:13:51ZengMehmet Akif Ersoy UniversityMehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi2149-16582019-12-016393695110.30798/makuiibf.586527273INVESTIGATION OF RATIONAL BUBBLES AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS IN COMMODITY MARKETS: EVIDENCES FROM PRECIOUS METALSİsmail Çelik0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6330-754XHilmi Tunahan Akkuş1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8407-1580Nazlıgül Gülcan2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1390-0820BURDUR MEHMET AKİF ERSOY ÜNİVERSİTESİBALIKESİR ÜNİVERSİTESİBURDUR MEHMET AKİF ERSOY ÜNİVERSİTESİPrice bubbles which can be expressed as thedeviation of the price of an asset from its fundamental value, have significantimpacts on markets. The effects of the financial crisis that started with theburst of the housing bubbles in the USA in 2008 have spread all over the worldand turned into a global crisis. In this study, the price bubbles of gold, silver,platinum and palladium in the commodity markets for the period between01.01.2010-19.02.2019 were investigated. RtADF, SADF and GSADF methods wereused to determine the formation and burst periods of price bubbles. As a resultof the analysis, price bubbles were found in gold, silver and platinum, whereasno bubbles were found in palladium prices. Due to the close formation dates ofthese bubbles, whether there was any return or volatility spillover betweengold, silver and platinum markets was investigated with VAR-EGARCH method. As aresult of the study, it was found that there was a multiple spillover betweenthe gold, silver and platinum returns. Thus, it was concluded that the pricebubbles formed in precious metals triggered each other. Findings regarding thepresence of price bubbles in the precious metal markets are crucial for tradersin terms of trading timing. However, the findings related to the volatilityspillover among precious metals are also important in terms of considering theeffect of this spillover for the investors who provide hedging by preciousmetals.https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/913845rasyonel fiyat balonlarıdeğerli metalleremtia piyasalarırational price bubblesprecious metalscommodity markets |
| spellingShingle | İsmail Çelik Hilmi Tunahan Akkuş Nazlıgül Gülcan INVESTIGATION OF RATIONAL BUBBLES AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS IN COMMODITY MARKETS: EVIDENCES FROM PRECIOUS METALS Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi rasyonel fiyat balonları değerli metaller emtia piyasaları rational price bubbles precious metals commodity markets |
| title | INVESTIGATION OF RATIONAL BUBBLES AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS IN COMMODITY MARKETS: EVIDENCES FROM PRECIOUS METALS |
| title_full | INVESTIGATION OF RATIONAL BUBBLES AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS IN COMMODITY MARKETS: EVIDENCES FROM PRECIOUS METALS |
| title_fullStr | INVESTIGATION OF RATIONAL BUBBLES AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS IN COMMODITY MARKETS: EVIDENCES FROM PRECIOUS METALS |
| title_full_unstemmed | INVESTIGATION OF RATIONAL BUBBLES AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS IN COMMODITY MARKETS: EVIDENCES FROM PRECIOUS METALS |
| title_short | INVESTIGATION OF RATIONAL BUBBLES AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS IN COMMODITY MARKETS: EVIDENCES FROM PRECIOUS METALS |
| title_sort | investigation of rational bubbles and volatility spillovers in commodity markets evidences from precious metals |
| topic | rasyonel fiyat balonları değerli metaller emtia piyasaları rational price bubbles precious metals commodity markets |
| url | https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/913845 |
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