Ebola outbreak in West Africa: real-time estimation and multiple-wave prediction

Based on the reported data until 18 March 2015 and numerical fitting via a simple formula of cumulative case number, we provide real-time estimation on basic reproduction number, inflection point, peak time and final outbreak size of ongoing Ebola outbreak in West Africa. From our simulation, we con...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xiang-Sheng Wang, Luoyi Zhong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2015-05-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2015.12.1055
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