Ebola outbreak in West Africa: real-time estimation and multiple-wave prediction
Based on the reported data until 18 March 2015 and numerical fitting via a simple formula of cumulative case number, we provide real-time estimation on basic reproduction number, inflection point, peak time and final outbreak size of ongoing Ebola outbreak in West Africa. From our simulation, we con...
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Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
AIMS Press
2015-05-01
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Series: | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2015.12.1055 |
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