Epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditions

The epidemic characteristics, including the epidemic final size, peak, andturning point, of two classical SIR models with disease-induced death are investigated when asmall initial value of the infective population is released. The models have mass-action (i.e.bilinear), or density dependent (i.e. s...

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Main Authors: Jianquan Li, Yiqun Li, Yali Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2016-06-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2016027
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author Jianquan Li
Yiqun Li
Yali Yang
author_facet Jianquan Li
Yiqun Li
Yali Yang
author_sort Jianquan Li
collection DOAJ
description The epidemic characteristics, including the epidemic final size, peak, andturning point, of two classical SIR models with disease-induced death are investigated when asmall initial value of the infective population is released. The models have mass-action (i.e.bilinear), or density dependent (i.e. standard) incidence, respectively. For the two models, theconditions that determining whether the related epidemic characteristics of an epidemicoutbreak appear are explicitly determine by rigorous mathematical analysis. The dependenceof the epidemic final size on the initial values of the infective class is demonstrated. The peak,turning point (if it exists) and the corresponding time are found. The obtained results suggestthat their basic reproduction numbers are one factor determining the epidemic characteristics,but not the only one. The characteristics of the two models depend on the initial values andproportions of various compartments as well. At last, the similarities and differences of theepidemic characteristics between the two models are discussed.
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series Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-3a383adb76dc4ff999a07a1dcba7480f2025-01-24T02:36:57ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182016-06-01135999101010.3934/mbe.2016027Epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditionsJianquan Li0Yiqun Li1Yali Yang2Science College, Air Force Engineering University, Xi'an 710051Science College, Air Force Engineering University, Xi'an 710051College of Mathematics and Information Science, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710062The epidemic characteristics, including the epidemic final size, peak, andturning point, of two classical SIR models with disease-induced death are investigated when asmall initial value of the infective population is released. The models have mass-action (i.e.bilinear), or density dependent (i.e. standard) incidence, respectively. For the two models, theconditions that determining whether the related epidemic characteristics of an epidemicoutbreak appear are explicitly determine by rigorous mathematical analysis. The dependenceof the epidemic final size on the initial values of the infective class is demonstrated. The peak,turning point (if it exists) and the corresponding time are found. The obtained results suggestthat their basic reproduction numbers are one factor determining the epidemic characteristics,but not the only one. The characteristics of the two models depend on the initial values andproportions of various compartments as well. At last, the similarities and differences of theepidemic characteristics between the two models are discussed.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2016027epidemic modelspeakturning point.epidemic final size
spellingShingle Jianquan Li
Yiqun Li
Yali Yang
Epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditions
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
epidemic models
peak
turning point.
epidemic final size
title Epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditions
title_full Epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditions
title_fullStr Epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditions
title_full_unstemmed Epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditions
title_short Epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditions
title_sort epidemic characteristics of two classic models and the dependence on the initial conditions
topic epidemic models
peak
turning point.
epidemic final size
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2016027
work_keys_str_mv AT jianquanli epidemiccharacteristicsoftwoclassicmodelsandthedependenceontheinitialconditions
AT yiqunli epidemiccharacteristicsoftwoclassicmodelsandthedependenceontheinitialconditions
AT yaliyang epidemiccharacteristicsoftwoclassicmodelsandthedependenceontheinitialconditions