Mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis: A case study in China
This study first presents a mathematical model of TB transmission considering BCG vaccination compartment to investigate the transmission dynamics nowadays. Based on data reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the basic reproduction number is estimated approximately as $\mathcal{R}_...
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2017-05-01
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Online Access: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2017039 |
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author | Siyu Liu Yong Li Yingjie Bi Qingdao Huang |
author_facet | Siyu Liu Yong Li Yingjie Bi Qingdao Huang |
author_sort | Siyu Liu |
collection | DOAJ |
description | This study first presents a mathematical model of TB transmission considering BCG vaccination compartment to investigate the transmission dynamics nowadays. Based on data reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the basic reproduction number is estimated approximately as $\mathcal{R}_{0}=1.1892$. To reach the new End TB goal raised by WHO in 2015, considering the health system in China, we design a mixed vaccination strategy. Theoretical analysis indicates that the infectious population asymptotically tends to zero with the new vaccination strategy which is the combination of constant vaccination and pulse vaccination. We obtain that the control of TB is quicker to achieve with the mixed vaccination. The new strategy can make the best of current constant vaccination, and the periodic routine health examination provides an operable environment for implementing pulse vaccination in China. Numerical simulations are provided to illustrate the theoretical results and help to design the final mixed vaccination strategy once the new vaccine comes out. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-37c1e36437bc40b3ad1c66b0bc34166b |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1551-0018 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2017-05-01 |
publisher | AIMS Press |
record_format | Article |
series | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
spelling | doaj-art-37c1e36437bc40b3ad1c66b0bc34166b2025-01-24T02:39:47ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182017-05-0114369570810.3934/mbe.2017039Mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis: A case study in ChinaSiyu Liu0Yong Li1Yingjie Bi2Qingdao Huang3. College of Mathematics, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China. College of Mathematics, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China. College of Mathematics, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China. College of Mathematics, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, ChinaThis study first presents a mathematical model of TB transmission considering BCG vaccination compartment to investigate the transmission dynamics nowadays. Based on data reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the basic reproduction number is estimated approximately as $\mathcal{R}_{0}=1.1892$. To reach the new End TB goal raised by WHO in 2015, considering the health system in China, we design a mixed vaccination strategy. Theoretical analysis indicates that the infectious population asymptotically tends to zero with the new vaccination strategy which is the combination of constant vaccination and pulse vaccination. We obtain that the control of TB is quicker to achieve with the mixed vaccination. The new strategy can make the best of current constant vaccination, and the periodic routine health examination provides an operable environment for implementing pulse vaccination in China. Numerical simulations are provided to illustrate the theoretical results and help to design the final mixed vaccination strategy once the new vaccine comes out.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2017039tuberculosismixed vaccination strategybasic reproduction numberepidemic model |
spellingShingle | Siyu Liu Yong Li Yingjie Bi Qingdao Huang Mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis: A case study in China Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering tuberculosis mixed vaccination strategy basic reproduction number epidemic model |
title | Mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis: A case study in China |
title_full | Mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis: A case study in China |
title_fullStr | Mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis: A case study in China |
title_full_unstemmed | Mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis: A case study in China |
title_short | Mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis: A case study in China |
title_sort | mixed vaccination strategy for the control of tuberculosis a case study in china |
topic | tuberculosis mixed vaccination strategy basic reproduction number epidemic model |
url | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2017039 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT siyuliu mixedvaccinationstrategyforthecontroloftuberculosisacasestudyinchina AT yongli mixedvaccinationstrategyforthecontroloftuberculosisacasestudyinchina AT yingjiebi mixedvaccinationstrategyforthecontroloftuberculosisacasestudyinchina AT qingdaohuang mixedvaccinationstrategyforthecontroloftuberculosisacasestudyinchina |