Assessing the COVID-19 Lockdown Impact on Global Air Quality: A Transportation Perspective

To address the COVID-19 pandemic, governments worldwide implemented mandatory restrictions. As an unintended consequence of these responses, significant air pollution reductions have been recorded across the world. We provide cross-national evidence on the causal impact of pandemic-induced lockdowns...

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Main Authors: Meina Zheng, Feng Liu, Meichang Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/1/113
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author Meina Zheng
Feng Liu
Meichang Wang
author_facet Meina Zheng
Feng Liu
Meichang Wang
author_sort Meina Zheng
collection DOAJ
description To address the COVID-19 pandemic, governments worldwide implemented mandatory restrictions. As an unintended consequence of these responses, significant air pollution reductions have been recorded across the world. We provide cross-national evidence on the causal impact of pandemic-induced lockdowns on air quality. Using daily air pollution data between 1 January and 31 December 2020, covering 596 major cities in 77 countries, we analyzed the data with a generalized difference-in-differences approach. The results show that lockdown restrictions reduced global concentrations of NO<sub>2</sub> by 21~35%, PM<sub>10</sub> by 14~26%, PM<sub>2.5</sub> by 9~18%, CO by 6~16%, and SO<sub>2</sub> by 5~16%, while the O<sub>3</sub> concentrations increased by 15~29% under eight specific lockdown measures. Furthermore, a simultaneous equations model suggests that reductions in public and private mobility, measured by changes in public transportation and car ridership, partly explain the observed decreases in air pollution. These findings have significant implications for ongoing global efforts to mitigate air pollution and underscore the pivotal role of public transit in achieving this goal.
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spelling doaj-art-367eba8d00524cacb469d679eb9359392025-01-24T13:22:04ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332025-01-0116111310.3390/atmos16010113Assessing the COVID-19 Lockdown Impact on Global Air Quality: A Transportation PerspectiveMeina Zheng0Feng Liu1Meichang Wang2School of Modern Posts, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing 210003, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, ChinaWu Jinglian School of Economics, Changzhou University, Changzhou 213164, ChinaTo address the COVID-19 pandemic, governments worldwide implemented mandatory restrictions. As an unintended consequence of these responses, significant air pollution reductions have been recorded across the world. We provide cross-national evidence on the causal impact of pandemic-induced lockdowns on air quality. Using daily air pollution data between 1 January and 31 December 2020, covering 596 major cities in 77 countries, we analyzed the data with a generalized difference-in-differences approach. The results show that lockdown restrictions reduced global concentrations of NO<sub>2</sub> by 21~35%, PM<sub>10</sub> by 14~26%, PM<sub>2.5</sub> by 9~18%, CO by 6~16%, and SO<sub>2</sub> by 5~16%, while the O<sub>3</sub> concentrations increased by 15~29% under eight specific lockdown measures. Furthermore, a simultaneous equations model suggests that reductions in public and private mobility, measured by changes in public transportation and car ridership, partly explain the observed decreases in air pollution. These findings have significant implications for ongoing global efforts to mitigate air pollution and underscore the pivotal role of public transit in achieving this goal.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/1/113air qualityCOVID-19lockdownstransportationsimultaneous equations model
spellingShingle Meina Zheng
Feng Liu
Meichang Wang
Assessing the COVID-19 Lockdown Impact on Global Air Quality: A Transportation Perspective
Atmosphere
air quality
COVID-19
lockdowns
transportation
simultaneous equations model
title Assessing the COVID-19 Lockdown Impact on Global Air Quality: A Transportation Perspective
title_full Assessing the COVID-19 Lockdown Impact on Global Air Quality: A Transportation Perspective
title_fullStr Assessing the COVID-19 Lockdown Impact on Global Air Quality: A Transportation Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the COVID-19 Lockdown Impact on Global Air Quality: A Transportation Perspective
title_short Assessing the COVID-19 Lockdown Impact on Global Air Quality: A Transportation Perspective
title_sort assessing the covid 19 lockdown impact on global air quality a transportation perspective
topic air quality
COVID-19
lockdowns
transportation
simultaneous equations model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/1/113
work_keys_str_mv AT meinazheng assessingthecovid19lockdownimpactonglobalairqualityatransportationperspective
AT fengliu assessingthecovid19lockdownimpactonglobalairqualityatransportationperspective
AT meichangwang assessingthecovid19lockdownimpactonglobalairqualityatransportationperspective