One-Day Prediction of Biometeorological Conditions in a Mediterranean Urban Environment Using Artificial Neural Networks Modeling

The present study, deals with the 24-hour prognosis of the outdoor biometeorological conditions in an urban monitoring site within the Greater Athens area, Greece. For this purpose, artificial neural networks (ANNs) modelling techniques are applied in order to predict the maximum and the minimum val...

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Main Authors: K. P. Moustris, P. T. Nastos, A. G. Paliatsos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/538508
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author K. P. Moustris
P. T. Nastos
A. G. Paliatsos
author_facet K. P. Moustris
P. T. Nastos
A. G. Paliatsos
author_sort K. P. Moustris
collection DOAJ
description The present study, deals with the 24-hour prognosis of the outdoor biometeorological conditions in an urban monitoring site within the Greater Athens area, Greece. For this purpose, artificial neural networks (ANNs) modelling techniques are applied in order to predict the maximum and the minimum value of the physiologically equivalent temperature (PET) one day ahead as well as the persistence of the hours with extreme human biometeorological conditions. The findings of the analysis showed that extreme heat stress appears to be 10.0% of the examined hours within the warm period of the year, against extreme cold stress for 22.8% of the hours during the cold period of the year. Finally, human thermal comfort sensation accounts for 81.8% of the hours during the year. Concerning the PET prognosis, ANNs have a remarkable forecasting ability to predict the extreme daily PET values one day ahead, as well as the persistence of extreme conditions during the day, at a significant statistical level of .
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-9309
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publishDate 2013-01-01
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series Advances in Meteorology
spelling doaj-art-34d27baf185242d7aae35bef693c9d362025-02-03T01:12:40ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172013-01-01201310.1155/2013/538508538508One-Day Prediction of Biometeorological Conditions in a Mediterranean Urban Environment Using Artificial Neural Networks ModelingK. P. Moustris0P. T. Nastos1A. G. Paliatsos2Department of Mechanical Engineering, Technological Educational Institute of Piraeus, 250 Thivon and P. Ralli Street, 122 44 Aegaleo, GreeceLaboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Faculty of Geology and Geoenvironment, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, 157 84 Athens, GreeceGeneral Department of Mathematics, Technological Educational Institute of Piraeus, 250 Thivon and P. Ralli Street, 122 44 Aegaleo, GreeceThe present study, deals with the 24-hour prognosis of the outdoor biometeorological conditions in an urban monitoring site within the Greater Athens area, Greece. For this purpose, artificial neural networks (ANNs) modelling techniques are applied in order to predict the maximum and the minimum value of the physiologically equivalent temperature (PET) one day ahead as well as the persistence of the hours with extreme human biometeorological conditions. The findings of the analysis showed that extreme heat stress appears to be 10.0% of the examined hours within the warm period of the year, against extreme cold stress for 22.8% of the hours during the cold period of the year. Finally, human thermal comfort sensation accounts for 81.8% of the hours during the year. Concerning the PET prognosis, ANNs have a remarkable forecasting ability to predict the extreme daily PET values one day ahead, as well as the persistence of extreme conditions during the day, at a significant statistical level of .http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/538508
spellingShingle K. P. Moustris
P. T. Nastos
A. G. Paliatsos
One-Day Prediction of Biometeorological Conditions in a Mediterranean Urban Environment Using Artificial Neural Networks Modeling
Advances in Meteorology
title One-Day Prediction of Biometeorological Conditions in a Mediterranean Urban Environment Using Artificial Neural Networks Modeling
title_full One-Day Prediction of Biometeorological Conditions in a Mediterranean Urban Environment Using Artificial Neural Networks Modeling
title_fullStr One-Day Prediction of Biometeorological Conditions in a Mediterranean Urban Environment Using Artificial Neural Networks Modeling
title_full_unstemmed One-Day Prediction of Biometeorological Conditions in a Mediterranean Urban Environment Using Artificial Neural Networks Modeling
title_short One-Day Prediction of Biometeorological Conditions in a Mediterranean Urban Environment Using Artificial Neural Networks Modeling
title_sort one day prediction of biometeorological conditions in a mediterranean urban environment using artificial neural networks modeling
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/538508
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