Capturing the Data Uncertainty Change in the Cocaine Consumption in Spain Using an Epidemiologically Based Model
A probabilistic model is proposed to study the transmission dynamics of the cocaine consumption in Spain during the period of 1995–2011. Using the so-called probabilistic fitting technique, we study if the model is able to capture the data uncertainty coming from surveys. The proposed model is formu...
Saved in:
Main Authors: | , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Wiley
2016-01-01
|
Series: | Abstract and Applied Analysis |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/1758459 |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
_version_ | 1832560304885596160 |
---|---|
author | Christopher Anaya Clara Burgos Juan-Carlos Cortés Rafael-J. Villanueva |
author_facet | Christopher Anaya Clara Burgos Juan-Carlos Cortés Rafael-J. Villanueva |
author_sort | Christopher Anaya |
collection | DOAJ |
description | A probabilistic model is proposed to study the transmission dynamics of the cocaine consumption in Spain during the period of 1995–2011. Using the so-called probabilistic fitting technique, we study if the model is able to capture the data uncertainty coming from surveys. The proposed model is formulated through a nonlinear system of difference equations whose coefficients are treated as stochastic processes. A discussion regarding the usefulness and limitations of probabilistic fitting technique in order to capture the data uncertainty of the proposed model is presented. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-33789b0f7992458e8e4673e190039741 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1085-3375 1687-0409 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2016-01-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
record_format | Article |
series | Abstract and Applied Analysis |
spelling | doaj-art-33789b0f7992458e8e4673e1900397412025-02-03T01:27:49ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092016-01-01201610.1155/2016/17584591758459Capturing the Data Uncertainty Change in the Cocaine Consumption in Spain Using an Epidemiologically Based ModelChristopher Anaya0Clara Burgos1Juan-Carlos Cortés2Rafael-J. Villanueva3Instituto Universitario de Matemática Multidisciplinar, Universitat Politècnica de València, Building 8G, Access C, 2nd Floor, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022 València, SpainInstituto Universitario de Matemática Multidisciplinar, Universitat Politècnica de València, Building 8G, Access C, 2nd Floor, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022 València, SpainInstituto Universitario de Matemática Multidisciplinar, Universitat Politècnica de València, Building 8G, Access C, 2nd Floor, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022 València, SpainInstituto Universitario de Matemática Multidisciplinar, Universitat Politècnica de València, Building 8G, Access C, 2nd Floor, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022 València, SpainA probabilistic model is proposed to study the transmission dynamics of the cocaine consumption in Spain during the period of 1995–2011. Using the so-called probabilistic fitting technique, we study if the model is able to capture the data uncertainty coming from surveys. The proposed model is formulated through a nonlinear system of difference equations whose coefficients are treated as stochastic processes. A discussion regarding the usefulness and limitations of probabilistic fitting technique in order to capture the data uncertainty of the proposed model is presented.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/1758459 |
spellingShingle | Christopher Anaya Clara Burgos Juan-Carlos Cortés Rafael-J. Villanueva Capturing the Data Uncertainty Change in the Cocaine Consumption in Spain Using an Epidemiologically Based Model Abstract and Applied Analysis |
title | Capturing the Data Uncertainty Change in the Cocaine Consumption in Spain Using an Epidemiologically Based Model |
title_full | Capturing the Data Uncertainty Change in the Cocaine Consumption in Spain Using an Epidemiologically Based Model |
title_fullStr | Capturing the Data Uncertainty Change in the Cocaine Consumption in Spain Using an Epidemiologically Based Model |
title_full_unstemmed | Capturing the Data Uncertainty Change in the Cocaine Consumption in Spain Using an Epidemiologically Based Model |
title_short | Capturing the Data Uncertainty Change in the Cocaine Consumption in Spain Using an Epidemiologically Based Model |
title_sort | capturing the data uncertainty change in the cocaine consumption in spain using an epidemiologically based model |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/1758459 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT christopheranaya capturingthedatauncertaintychangeinthecocaineconsumptioninspainusinganepidemiologicallybasedmodel AT claraburgos capturingthedatauncertaintychangeinthecocaineconsumptioninspainusinganepidemiologicallybasedmodel AT juancarloscortes capturingthedatauncertaintychangeinthecocaineconsumptioninspainusinganepidemiologicallybasedmodel AT rafaeljvillanueva capturingthedatauncertaintychangeinthecocaineconsumptioninspainusinganepidemiologicallybasedmodel |