Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies

In this study, we proposed and analyzed a nonlinear deterministic mathematical model of malaria transmission dynamics. In addition to the previous approaches, we incorporated the class of aware people and other control measures. We established the wellposedness of the model, and the asymptotic behav...

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Main Authors: Alemzewde Ayalew, Yezbalem Molla, Amsalu Woldegbreal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-01-01
Series:Abstract and Applied Analysis
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/8837744
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author Alemzewde Ayalew
Yezbalem Molla
Amsalu Woldegbreal
author_facet Alemzewde Ayalew
Yezbalem Molla
Amsalu Woldegbreal
author_sort Alemzewde Ayalew
collection DOAJ
description In this study, we proposed and analyzed a nonlinear deterministic mathematical model of malaria transmission dynamics. In addition to the previous approaches, we incorporated the class of aware people and other control measures. We established the wellposedness of the model, and the asymptotic behavior of the solutions is rigorously studied depending on the basic reproduction number R0. The model system admits two equilibrium points: disease-free and disease-persistent equilibrium points. The analytical result of the model system revealed that the disease-free equilibrium point is both locally as well as globally asymptotically stable whenever R0<1 while the disease-persistence equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable whenever R0>1. Moreover, the forward bifurcation phenomenon of the model system for R0=1 was analyzed by using center manifold theory. A sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number was performed to identify parameters that will cause to trigger the transmission of malaria disease and should be targeted by control strategies. Then, the model was extended to the optimal control problem, with the use of three time-dependent controls, namely, preventive measures(treated bednets and indoor residual spraying), continuous awareness campaigns to susceptible individuals, and treatment for infected individuals. By using Pontryan’s maximum principle, necessary conditions for the transmission of malaria disease were derived. Numerical simulations are illustrated by using MATLAB ode45 to validate the theoretical results of the model. The numerical findings of the optimal model suggested that integrated control strategies are better than a sole intervention to eliminate malaria disease.
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publishDate 2024-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-32f28da9a1ca4c28849be2b58a5632a92025-02-03T06:06:37ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1687-04092024-01-01202410.1155/2024/8837744Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control StrategiesAlemzewde Ayalew0Yezbalem Molla1Amsalu Woldegbreal2Department of MathematicsDepartment of MathematicsDepartment of MathematicsIn this study, we proposed and analyzed a nonlinear deterministic mathematical model of malaria transmission dynamics. In addition to the previous approaches, we incorporated the class of aware people and other control measures. We established the wellposedness of the model, and the asymptotic behavior of the solutions is rigorously studied depending on the basic reproduction number R0. The model system admits two equilibrium points: disease-free and disease-persistent equilibrium points. The analytical result of the model system revealed that the disease-free equilibrium point is both locally as well as globally asymptotically stable whenever R0<1 while the disease-persistence equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable whenever R0>1. Moreover, the forward bifurcation phenomenon of the model system for R0=1 was analyzed by using center manifold theory. A sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number was performed to identify parameters that will cause to trigger the transmission of malaria disease and should be targeted by control strategies. Then, the model was extended to the optimal control problem, with the use of three time-dependent controls, namely, preventive measures(treated bednets and indoor residual spraying), continuous awareness campaigns to susceptible individuals, and treatment for infected individuals. By using Pontryan’s maximum principle, necessary conditions for the transmission of malaria disease were derived. Numerical simulations are illustrated by using MATLAB ode45 to validate the theoretical results of the model. The numerical findings of the optimal model suggested that integrated control strategies are better than a sole intervention to eliminate malaria disease.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/8837744
spellingShingle Alemzewde Ayalew
Yezbalem Molla
Amsalu Woldegbreal
Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies
Abstract and Applied Analysis
title Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies
title_full Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies
title_fullStr Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies
title_full_unstemmed Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies
title_short Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies
title_sort modeling and stability analysis of the dynamics of malaria disease transmission with some control strategies
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/8837744
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