Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts.

<h4>Background</h4>Tobacco smoking is a major risk factor for many diseases. We sought to quantify the burden of tobacco-smoking-related deaths in Asia, in parts of which men's smoking prevalence is among the world's highest.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>We performed...

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Main Authors: Wei Zheng, Dale F McLerran, Betsy A Rolland, Zhenming Fu, Paolo Boffetta, Jiang He, Prakash Chandra Gupta, Kunnambath Ramadas, Shoichiro Tsugane, Fujiko Irie, Akiko Tamakoshi, Yu-Tang Gao, Woon-Puay Koh, Xiao-Ou Shu, Kotaro Ozasa, Yoshikazu Nishino, Ichiro Tsuji, Hideo Tanaka, Chien-Jen Chen, Jian-Min Yuan, Yoon-Ok Ahn, Keun-Young Yoo, Habibul Ahsan, Wen-Harn Pan, You-Lin Qiao, Dongfeng Gu, Mangesh Suryakant Pednekar, Catherine Sauvaget, Norie Sawada, Toshimi Sairenchi, Gong Yang, Renwei Wang, Yong-Bing Xiang, Waka Ohishi, Masako Kakizaki, Takashi Watanabe, Isao Oze, San-Lin You, Yumi Sugawara, Lesley M Butler, Dong-Hyun Kim, Sue K Park, Faruque Parvez, Shao-Yuan Chuang, Jin-Hu Fan, Chen-Yang Shen, Yu Chen, Eric J Grant, Jung Eun Lee, Rashmi Sinha, Keitaro Matsuo, Mark Thornquist, Manami Inoue, Ziding Feng, Daehee Kang, John D Potter
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2014-04-01
Series:PLoS Medicine
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001631
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author Wei Zheng
Dale F McLerran
Betsy A Rolland
Zhenming Fu
Paolo Boffetta
Jiang He
Prakash Chandra Gupta
Kunnambath Ramadas
Shoichiro Tsugane
Fujiko Irie
Akiko Tamakoshi
Yu-Tang Gao
Woon-Puay Koh
Xiao-Ou Shu
Kotaro Ozasa
Yoshikazu Nishino
Ichiro Tsuji
Hideo Tanaka
Chien-Jen Chen
Jian-Min Yuan
Yoon-Ok Ahn
Keun-Young Yoo
Habibul Ahsan
Wen-Harn Pan
You-Lin Qiao
Dongfeng Gu
Mangesh Suryakant Pednekar
Catherine Sauvaget
Norie Sawada
Toshimi Sairenchi
Gong Yang
Renwei Wang
Yong-Bing Xiang
Waka Ohishi
Masako Kakizaki
Takashi Watanabe
Isao Oze
San-Lin You
Yumi Sugawara
Lesley M Butler
Dong-Hyun Kim
Sue K Park
Faruque Parvez
Shao-Yuan Chuang
Jin-Hu Fan
Chen-Yang Shen
Yu Chen
Eric J Grant
Jung Eun Lee
Rashmi Sinha
Keitaro Matsuo
Mark Thornquist
Manami Inoue
Ziding Feng
Daehee Kang
John D Potter
author_facet Wei Zheng
Dale F McLerran
Betsy A Rolland
Zhenming Fu
Paolo Boffetta
Jiang He
Prakash Chandra Gupta
Kunnambath Ramadas
Shoichiro Tsugane
Fujiko Irie
Akiko Tamakoshi
Yu-Tang Gao
Woon-Puay Koh
Xiao-Ou Shu
Kotaro Ozasa
Yoshikazu Nishino
Ichiro Tsuji
Hideo Tanaka
Chien-Jen Chen
Jian-Min Yuan
Yoon-Ok Ahn
Keun-Young Yoo
Habibul Ahsan
Wen-Harn Pan
You-Lin Qiao
Dongfeng Gu
Mangesh Suryakant Pednekar
Catherine Sauvaget
Norie Sawada
Toshimi Sairenchi
Gong Yang
Renwei Wang
Yong-Bing Xiang
Waka Ohishi
Masako Kakizaki
Takashi Watanabe
Isao Oze
San-Lin You
Yumi Sugawara
Lesley M Butler
Dong-Hyun Kim
Sue K Park
Faruque Parvez
Shao-Yuan Chuang
Jin-Hu Fan
Chen-Yang Shen
Yu Chen
Eric J Grant
Jung Eun Lee
Rashmi Sinha
Keitaro Matsuo
Mark Thornquist
Manami Inoue
Ziding Feng
Daehee Kang
John D Potter
author_sort Wei Zheng
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>Tobacco smoking is a major risk factor for many diseases. We sought to quantify the burden of tobacco-smoking-related deaths in Asia, in parts of which men's smoking prevalence is among the world's highest.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>We performed pooled analyses of data from 1,049,929 participants in 21 cohorts in Asia to quantify the risks of total and cause-specific mortality associated with tobacco smoking using adjusted hazard ratios and their 95% confidence intervals. We then estimated smoking-related deaths among adults aged ≥45 y in 2004 in Bangladesh, India, mainland China, Japan, Republic of Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan-accounting for ∼71% of Asia's total population. An approximately 1.44-fold (95% CI = 1.37-1.51) and 1.48-fold (1.38-1.58) elevated risk of death from any cause was found in male and female ever-smokers, respectively. In 2004, active tobacco smoking accounted for approximately 15.8% (95% CI = 14.3%-17.2%) and 3.3% (2.6%-4.0%) of deaths, respectively, in men and women aged ≥45 y in the seven countries/regions combined, with a total number of estimated deaths of ∼1,575,500 (95% CI = 1,398,000-1,744,700). Among men, approximately 11.4%, 30.5%, and 19.8% of deaths due to cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and respiratory diseases, respectively, were attributable to tobacco smoking. Corresponding proportions for East Asian women were 3.7%, 4.6%, and 1.7%, respectively. The strongest association with tobacco smoking was found for lung cancer: a 3- to 4-fold elevated risk, accounting for 60.5% and 16.7% of lung cancer deaths, respectively, in Asian men and East Asian women aged ≥45 y.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Tobacco smoking is associated with a substantially elevated risk of mortality, accounting for approximately 2 million deaths in adults aged ≥45 y throughout Asia in 2004. It is likely that smoking-related deaths in Asia will continue to rise over the next few decades if no effective smoking control programs are implemented. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.
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spelling doaj-art-2f63f30813a64f36ab8c8f926e70e87f2025-08-20T02:31:39ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Medicine1549-12771549-16762014-04-01114e100163110.1371/journal.pmed.1001631Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts.Wei ZhengDale F McLerranBetsy A RollandZhenming FuPaolo BoffettaJiang HePrakash Chandra GuptaKunnambath RamadasShoichiro TsuganeFujiko IrieAkiko TamakoshiYu-Tang GaoWoon-Puay KohXiao-Ou ShuKotaro OzasaYoshikazu NishinoIchiro TsujiHideo TanakaChien-Jen ChenJian-Min YuanYoon-Ok AhnKeun-Young YooHabibul AhsanWen-Harn PanYou-Lin QiaoDongfeng GuMangesh Suryakant PednekarCatherine SauvagetNorie SawadaToshimi SairenchiGong YangRenwei WangYong-Bing XiangWaka OhishiMasako KakizakiTakashi WatanabeIsao OzeSan-Lin YouYumi SugawaraLesley M ButlerDong-Hyun KimSue K ParkFaruque ParvezShao-Yuan ChuangJin-Hu FanChen-Yang ShenYu ChenEric J GrantJung Eun LeeRashmi SinhaKeitaro MatsuoMark ThornquistManami InoueZiding FengDaehee KangJohn D Potter<h4>Background</h4>Tobacco smoking is a major risk factor for many diseases. We sought to quantify the burden of tobacco-smoking-related deaths in Asia, in parts of which men's smoking prevalence is among the world's highest.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>We performed pooled analyses of data from 1,049,929 participants in 21 cohorts in Asia to quantify the risks of total and cause-specific mortality associated with tobacco smoking using adjusted hazard ratios and their 95% confidence intervals. We then estimated smoking-related deaths among adults aged ≥45 y in 2004 in Bangladesh, India, mainland China, Japan, Republic of Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan-accounting for ∼71% of Asia's total population. An approximately 1.44-fold (95% CI = 1.37-1.51) and 1.48-fold (1.38-1.58) elevated risk of death from any cause was found in male and female ever-smokers, respectively. In 2004, active tobacco smoking accounted for approximately 15.8% (95% CI = 14.3%-17.2%) and 3.3% (2.6%-4.0%) of deaths, respectively, in men and women aged ≥45 y in the seven countries/regions combined, with a total number of estimated deaths of ∼1,575,500 (95% CI = 1,398,000-1,744,700). Among men, approximately 11.4%, 30.5%, and 19.8% of deaths due to cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and respiratory diseases, respectively, were attributable to tobacco smoking. Corresponding proportions for East Asian women were 3.7%, 4.6%, and 1.7%, respectively. The strongest association with tobacco smoking was found for lung cancer: a 3- to 4-fold elevated risk, accounting for 60.5% and 16.7% of lung cancer deaths, respectively, in Asian men and East Asian women aged ≥45 y.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Tobacco smoking is associated with a substantially elevated risk of mortality, accounting for approximately 2 million deaths in adults aged ≥45 y throughout Asia in 2004. It is likely that smoking-related deaths in Asia will continue to rise over the next few decades if no effective smoking control programs are implemented. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001631
spellingShingle Wei Zheng
Dale F McLerran
Betsy A Rolland
Zhenming Fu
Paolo Boffetta
Jiang He
Prakash Chandra Gupta
Kunnambath Ramadas
Shoichiro Tsugane
Fujiko Irie
Akiko Tamakoshi
Yu-Tang Gao
Woon-Puay Koh
Xiao-Ou Shu
Kotaro Ozasa
Yoshikazu Nishino
Ichiro Tsuji
Hideo Tanaka
Chien-Jen Chen
Jian-Min Yuan
Yoon-Ok Ahn
Keun-Young Yoo
Habibul Ahsan
Wen-Harn Pan
You-Lin Qiao
Dongfeng Gu
Mangesh Suryakant Pednekar
Catherine Sauvaget
Norie Sawada
Toshimi Sairenchi
Gong Yang
Renwei Wang
Yong-Bing Xiang
Waka Ohishi
Masako Kakizaki
Takashi Watanabe
Isao Oze
San-Lin You
Yumi Sugawara
Lesley M Butler
Dong-Hyun Kim
Sue K Park
Faruque Parvez
Shao-Yuan Chuang
Jin-Hu Fan
Chen-Yang Shen
Yu Chen
Eric J Grant
Jung Eun Lee
Rashmi Sinha
Keitaro Matsuo
Mark Thornquist
Manami Inoue
Ziding Feng
Daehee Kang
John D Potter
Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts.
PLoS Medicine
title Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts.
title_full Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts.
title_fullStr Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts.
title_full_unstemmed Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts.
title_short Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts.
title_sort burden of total and cause specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in asia a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001631
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