Predictive Value of CCTA Plaque Characteristics for the Progression and Prognosis of Coronary Artery Stenosis

Objective: To investigate the value of qualitative and quantitative plaque characteristics on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in predicting coronary stenosis progression and prognosis. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed the data of66 patients who underwent two CCTA examinatio...

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Main Authors: Zhengteng LI, Min WANG, Dongmei PAN, Xiankai WANG
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editorial Office of Computerized Tomography Theory and Application 2025-01-01
Series:CT Lilun yu yingyong yanjiu
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Online Access:https://www.cttacn.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.15953/j.ctta.2024.172
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author Zhengteng LI
Min WANG
Dongmei PAN
Xiankai WANG
author_facet Zhengteng LI
Min WANG
Dongmei PAN
Xiankai WANG
author_sort Zhengteng LI
collection DOAJ
description Objective: To investigate the value of qualitative and quantitative plaque characteristics on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in predicting coronary stenosis progression and prognosis. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed the data of66 patients who underwent two CCTA examinations in Jining First People’s Hospital from May 2018 to August 2023. Patients were categorized into non-progressive and progressive groups. CCTA images were processed with an artificial intelligence software for plaque analysis, identifying 87 plaques. Analysis parameters included general clinical data; plaque characteristics; stenosis range; plaque length; CT values and volumes of calcified, non-calcified, and low-density components; total plaque volume; total calcification score; equivalent mass of calcified plaque; remodeling index; low-density plaque; positive remodeling; “napkin-ring sign;” and punctate calcification. Prognoses were compared between the progression and non-progression groups and between the vulnerable and non-vulnerable plaque groups. Results: The progression group had a higher proportion of patients with diabetes and vulnerable plaques compared to the non-progression group. The calcification score, calcified component volume, proportion of calcified components, and equivalent mass of calcified plaque in the progression group were lower than those in the non-progression group, whereas punctate calcification incidence was higher than that in the non-progression group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that diabetes (odds ratio OR=3.67, 95% confidence interval CI: 1.21~11.11), vulnerable plaque (OR=3.97, 95% CI: 1.32~11.94), and punctate calcification (OR=5.73, 95% CI: 2.03~16.17) were independent risk factors for stenosis progression, whereas calcification volume (OR=0.986, 95% CI: 0.976~0.997) was an independent protective factor. Survival analysis curve revealed that major adverse cardiovascular event-free survival rate was significantly lower in the progression group than in the non-progression group and similarly lower in the vulnerable plaque group than in the non-vulnerable plaque group. Conclusions: Diabetes, vulnerable plaques, and punctate calcification are independent risk factors for coronary stenosis progression, whereas calcified component volume is an independent protective factor. The qualitative and quantitative characteristics of plaques on coronary CTA provide a good clinical value for predicting the progression and prognosis of coronary stenosis.
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spelling doaj-art-2e892d74f8b140cc8eba1a699c31eb422025-01-21T09:14:43ZengEditorial Office of Computerized Tomography Theory and ApplicationCT Lilun yu yingyong yanjiu1004-41402025-01-01341233010.15953/j.ctta.2024.1722024.172Predictive Value of CCTA Plaque Characteristics for the Progression and Prognosis of Coronary Artery StenosisZhengteng LI0Min WANG1Dongmei PAN2Xiankai WANG3Department of Radiology, Jining No.1 People’s Hospital, Jining 272000, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Jining No.1 People’s Hospital, Jining 272000, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Jining No.1 People’s Hospital, Jining 272000, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Jining No.1 People’s Hospital, Jining 272000, ChinaObjective: To investigate the value of qualitative and quantitative plaque characteristics on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in predicting coronary stenosis progression and prognosis. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed the data of66 patients who underwent two CCTA examinations in Jining First People’s Hospital from May 2018 to August 2023. Patients were categorized into non-progressive and progressive groups. CCTA images were processed with an artificial intelligence software for plaque analysis, identifying 87 plaques. Analysis parameters included general clinical data; plaque characteristics; stenosis range; plaque length; CT values and volumes of calcified, non-calcified, and low-density components; total plaque volume; total calcification score; equivalent mass of calcified plaque; remodeling index; low-density plaque; positive remodeling; “napkin-ring sign;” and punctate calcification. Prognoses were compared between the progression and non-progression groups and between the vulnerable and non-vulnerable plaque groups. Results: The progression group had a higher proportion of patients with diabetes and vulnerable plaques compared to the non-progression group. The calcification score, calcified component volume, proportion of calcified components, and equivalent mass of calcified plaque in the progression group were lower than those in the non-progression group, whereas punctate calcification incidence was higher than that in the non-progression group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that diabetes (odds ratio OR=3.67, 95% confidence interval CI: 1.21~11.11), vulnerable plaque (OR=3.97, 95% CI: 1.32~11.94), and punctate calcification (OR=5.73, 95% CI: 2.03~16.17) were independent risk factors for stenosis progression, whereas calcification volume (OR=0.986, 95% CI: 0.976~0.997) was an independent protective factor. Survival analysis curve revealed that major adverse cardiovascular event-free survival rate was significantly lower in the progression group than in the non-progression group and similarly lower in the vulnerable plaque group than in the non-vulnerable plaque group. Conclusions: Diabetes, vulnerable plaques, and punctate calcification are independent risk factors for coronary stenosis progression, whereas calcified component volume is an independent protective factor. The qualitative and quantitative characteristics of plaques on coronary CTA provide a good clinical value for predicting the progression and prognosis of coronary stenosis.https://www.cttacn.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.15953/j.ctta.2024.172coronary computed tomography angiographycoronary heart diseaseplaque progression
spellingShingle Zhengteng LI
Min WANG
Dongmei PAN
Xiankai WANG
Predictive Value of CCTA Plaque Characteristics for the Progression and Prognosis of Coronary Artery Stenosis
CT Lilun yu yingyong yanjiu
coronary computed tomography angiography
coronary heart disease
plaque progression
title Predictive Value of CCTA Plaque Characteristics for the Progression and Prognosis of Coronary Artery Stenosis
title_full Predictive Value of CCTA Plaque Characteristics for the Progression and Prognosis of Coronary Artery Stenosis
title_fullStr Predictive Value of CCTA Plaque Characteristics for the Progression and Prognosis of Coronary Artery Stenosis
title_full_unstemmed Predictive Value of CCTA Plaque Characteristics for the Progression and Prognosis of Coronary Artery Stenosis
title_short Predictive Value of CCTA Plaque Characteristics for the Progression and Prognosis of Coronary Artery Stenosis
title_sort predictive value of ccta plaque characteristics for the progression and prognosis of coronary artery stenosis
topic coronary computed tomography angiography
coronary heart disease
plaque progression
url https://www.cttacn.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.15953/j.ctta.2024.172
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AT dongmeipan predictivevalueofcctaplaquecharacteristicsfortheprogressionandprognosisofcoronaryarterystenosis
AT xiankaiwang predictivevalueofcctaplaquecharacteristicsfortheprogressionandprognosisofcoronaryarterystenosis