Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM

Abstract The restrictions of the NiGEM initial model and their relevance over the last decade and a half have produced oft-cited economic policy advice that can hardly be justified empirically: Wage increases will result in significant employment losses. But with statistically validated modification...

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Main Authors: Thomas Theobald, Rudolf Zwiener, Camille Logeay
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2020-10-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-020-2767-3
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author Thomas Theobald
Rudolf Zwiener
Camille Logeay
author_facet Thomas Theobald
Rudolf Zwiener
Camille Logeay
author_sort Thomas Theobald
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The restrictions of the NiGEM initial model and their relevance over the last decade and a half have produced oft-cited economic policy advice that can hardly be justified empirically: Wage increases will result in significant employment losses. But with statistically validated modifications, the results and the economic policy statements of the simulations by the German Council of Economic Experts and the Deutsche Bundesbank find that a higher wage path now stimulates domestic demand more strongly because the set employment losses do not materialise. There are no noticeable losses in growth and employment for the German economy.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 0043-6275
1613-978X
language deu
publishDate 2020-10-01
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series Wirtschaftsdienst
spelling doaj-art-2e37cc4087754a7f9912fcd41f92021a2025-02-02T01:04:36ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst0043-62751613-978X2020-10-011001080381010.1007/s10273-020-2767-3Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEMThomas Theobald0Rudolf Zwiener1Camille Logeay2Finanzmärkte und Konjunktur, IMK der Hans-Böckler-StiftungIMK der Hans-Böckler-StiftungCampus Treskowallee, Gebäude C, Hochschule für Technik und Wirtschaft BerlinAbstract The restrictions of the NiGEM initial model and their relevance over the last decade and a half have produced oft-cited economic policy advice that can hardly be justified empirically: Wage increases will result in significant employment losses. But with statistically validated modifications, the results and the economic policy statements of the simulations by the German Council of Economic Experts and the Deutsche Bundesbank find that a higher wage path now stimulates domestic demand more strongly because the set employment losses do not materialise. There are no noticeable losses in growth and employment for the German economy.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-020-2767-3
spellingShingle Thomas Theobald
Rudolf Zwiener
Camille Logeay
Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM
Wirtschaftsdienst
title Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM
title_full Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM
title_fullStr Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM
title_full_unstemmed Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM
title_short Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM
title_sort wage levels and employment on economic policy advice using the multi country model nigem
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-020-2767-3
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AT rudolfzwiener wagelevelsandemploymentoneconomicpolicyadviceusingthemulticountrymodelnigem
AT camillelogeay wagelevelsandemploymentoneconomicpolicyadviceusingthemulticountrymodelnigem