Analyzing Accident Injury Severity via an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Model

Vehicle to vulnerable road user (VRU) crashes occupy a large proportion of traffic crashes in China, and crash injury severity analysis can support traffic managers to understand the implicit rules behind the crashes. Therefore, 554 VRUs-involved crashes are collected from January, 2017, to February...

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Main Authors: Shubo Wu, Quan Yuan, Zhongwei Yan, Qing Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3771640
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author Shubo Wu
Quan Yuan
Zhongwei Yan
Qing Xu
author_facet Shubo Wu
Quan Yuan
Zhongwei Yan
Qing Xu
author_sort Shubo Wu
collection DOAJ
description Vehicle to vulnerable road user (VRU) crashes occupy a large proportion of traffic crashes in China, and crash injury severity analysis can support traffic managers to understand the implicit rules behind the crashes. Therefore, 554 VRUs-involved crashes are collected from January, 2017, to February, 2021, in a city in northern China, including 322 vehicle-pedestrian crashes and 232 vehicle-bicycle crashes. First, a descriptive statistical analysis is conducted to investigate the characteristics of VRUs-involved crashes. Second, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model is introduced to identify the importance of risk factors (i.e., time of day, day of week, rushing hour, crash position, weather, and crash involvements) of VRUs-involved crashes. The statistical analysis demonstrates that the risk factors are closely related to VRUs-involved crash injury severity. Moreover, the results of XGBoost reveal that time of day has the greatest impact on VRUs-involved crashes, and crash position shows the minimum importance among these risk factors.
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institution Kabale University
issn 0197-6729
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language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-2e3028ffefc94c7ba088b7f165e46b732025-02-03T01:04:32ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952021-01-01202110.1155/2021/37716403771640Analyzing Accident Injury Severity via an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) ModelShubo Wu0Quan Yuan1Zhongwei Yan2Qing Xu3Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaMerchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaVehicle to vulnerable road user (VRU) crashes occupy a large proportion of traffic crashes in China, and crash injury severity analysis can support traffic managers to understand the implicit rules behind the crashes. Therefore, 554 VRUs-involved crashes are collected from January, 2017, to February, 2021, in a city in northern China, including 322 vehicle-pedestrian crashes and 232 vehicle-bicycle crashes. First, a descriptive statistical analysis is conducted to investigate the characteristics of VRUs-involved crashes. Second, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model is introduced to identify the importance of risk factors (i.e., time of day, day of week, rushing hour, crash position, weather, and crash involvements) of VRUs-involved crashes. The statistical analysis demonstrates that the risk factors are closely related to VRUs-involved crash injury severity. Moreover, the results of XGBoost reveal that time of day has the greatest impact on VRUs-involved crashes, and crash position shows the minimum importance among these risk factors.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3771640
spellingShingle Shubo Wu
Quan Yuan
Zhongwei Yan
Qing Xu
Analyzing Accident Injury Severity via an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Model
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Analyzing Accident Injury Severity via an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Model
title_full Analyzing Accident Injury Severity via an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Model
title_fullStr Analyzing Accident Injury Severity via an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Model
title_full_unstemmed Analyzing Accident Injury Severity via an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Model
title_short Analyzing Accident Injury Severity via an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Model
title_sort analyzing accident injury severity via an extreme gradient boosting xgboost model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3771640
work_keys_str_mv AT shubowu analyzingaccidentinjuryseverityviaanextremegradientboostingxgboostmodel
AT quanyuan analyzingaccidentinjuryseverityviaanextremegradientboostingxgboostmodel
AT zhongweiyan analyzingaccidentinjuryseverityviaanextremegradientboostingxgboostmodel
AT qingxu analyzingaccidentinjuryseverityviaanextremegradientboostingxgboostmodel