Spurious Regression

The spurious regression phenomenon in least squares occurs for a wide range of data generating processes, such as driftless unit roots, unit roots with drift, long memory, trend and broken-trend stationarity. Indeed, spurious regressions have played a fundamental role in the building of modern time...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: D. Ventosa-Santaulària
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2009-01-01
Series:Journal of Probability and Statistics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2009/802975
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Summary:The spurious regression phenomenon in least squares occurs for a wide range of data generating processes, such as driftless unit roots, unit roots with drift, long memory, trend and broken-trend stationarity. Indeed, spurious regressions have played a fundamental role in the building of modern time series econometrics and have revolutionized many of the procedures used in applied macroeconomics. Spin-offs from this research range from unit-root tests to cointegration and error-correction models. This paper provides an overview of results about spurious regression, pulled from disperse sources, and explains their implications.
ISSN:1687-952X
1687-9538