Enhanced early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning model

Achieving high accuracy in the early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation is challenging owing to the nonlinear and dynamic nature of battery aging. This study introduces a GRU-LSTM ensemble model that combines Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to forecast th...

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Main Authors: Meilia Safitri, Teguh Bharata Adji, Adha Imam Cahyadi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Results in Engineering
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025003214
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author Meilia Safitri
Teguh Bharata Adji
Adha Imam Cahyadi
author_facet Meilia Safitri
Teguh Bharata Adji
Adha Imam Cahyadi
author_sort Meilia Safitri
collection DOAJ
description Achieving high accuracy in the early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation is challenging owing to the nonlinear and dynamic nature of battery aging. This study introduces a GRU-LSTM ensemble model that combines Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to forecast the end-of-life (EoL) of LIBs. The model utilizes features extracted from the voltage and current data during the initial 100 battery cycles and employs a multicycle feature extraction method to enhance computational efficiency without sacrificing predictive accuracy. Hyperparameter tuning via random search and k-fold cross-validation were applied to ensure model robustness. The GRU-LSTM model outperformed the standalone LSTM, GRU, and BiLSTM models across the three input scenarios, achieving the lowest mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 5.12 % and root mean squared error (RMSE) of 64.98 cycles using the combined voltage and current features. These results demonstrate the potential of ensemble models to enhance battery health monitoring and predictive maintenance systems.
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id doaj-art-2b72ef57b05c4a9d966ecd2ddbac1053
institution Kabale University
issn 2590-1230
language English
publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Results in Engineering
spelling doaj-art-2b72ef57b05c4a9d966ecd2ddbac10532025-02-06T05:12:43ZengElsevierResults in Engineering2590-12302025-03-0125104235Enhanced early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning modelMeilia Safitri0Teguh Bharata Adji1Adha Imam Cahyadi2Department of Electrical and Information Engineering, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia; Department of Medical Electronics Technology, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta, Yogyakarta, 55183, IndonesiaDepartment of Electrical and Information Engineering, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia; Corresponding author.Department of Electrical and Information Engineering, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, IndonesiaAchieving high accuracy in the early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation is challenging owing to the nonlinear and dynamic nature of battery aging. This study introduces a GRU-LSTM ensemble model that combines Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to forecast the end-of-life (EoL) of LIBs. The model utilizes features extracted from the voltage and current data during the initial 100 battery cycles and employs a multicycle feature extraction method to enhance computational efficiency without sacrificing predictive accuracy. Hyperparameter tuning via random search and k-fold cross-validation were applied to ensure model robustness. The GRU-LSTM model outperformed the standalone LSTM, GRU, and BiLSTM models across the three input scenarios, achieving the lowest mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 5.12 % and root mean squared error (RMSE) of 64.98 cycles using the combined voltage and current features. These results demonstrate the potential of ensemble models to enhance battery health monitoring and predictive maintenance systems.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025003214GRU-LSTM ensembleLithium-ion battery degradationEarly predictionFeature-based machine learningBattery management system (BMS)
spellingShingle Meilia Safitri
Teguh Bharata Adji
Adha Imam Cahyadi
Enhanced early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning model
Results in Engineering
GRU-LSTM ensemble
Lithium-ion battery degradation
Early prediction
Feature-based machine learning
Battery management system (BMS)
title Enhanced early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning model
title_full Enhanced early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning model
title_fullStr Enhanced early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning model
title_full_unstemmed Enhanced early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning model
title_short Enhanced early prediction of Li-ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning model
title_sort enhanced early prediction of li ion battery degradation using multicycle features and an ensemble deep learning model
topic GRU-LSTM ensemble
Lithium-ion battery degradation
Early prediction
Feature-based machine learning
Battery management system (BMS)
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025003214
work_keys_str_mv AT meiliasafitri enhancedearlypredictionofliionbatterydegradationusingmulticyclefeaturesandanensembledeeplearningmodel
AT teguhbharataadji enhancedearlypredictionofliionbatterydegradationusingmulticyclefeaturesandanensembledeeplearningmodel
AT adhaimamcahyadi enhancedearlypredictionofliionbatterydegradationusingmulticyclefeaturesandanensembledeeplearningmodel