Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change Scenarios
According to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, air temperature and humidity of the future are expected to gradually increase over the current. In this study, future PMPs are estimated by using future dew point temperature projection data which are obtained from RCM data provided by the Korea Meteoro...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2016-01-01
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| Series: | Advances in Meteorology |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3818236 |
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| author | Okjeong Lee Yoonkyung Park Eung Seok Kim Sangdan Kim |
| author_facet | Okjeong Lee Yoonkyung Park Eung Seok Kim Sangdan Kim |
| author_sort | Okjeong Lee |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | According to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, air temperature and humidity of the future are expected to gradually increase over the current. In this study, future PMPs are estimated by using future dew point temperature projection data which are obtained from RCM data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. First, bias included in future dew point temperature projection data which is provided on a daily basis is corrected through a quantile-mapping method. Next, using a scale-invariance technique, 12-hour duration 100-year return period dew point temperatures which are essential input data for PMPs estimation are estimated from bias-corrected future dew point temperature data. After estimating future PMPs, it can be shown that PMPs in all future climate change scenarios (AR5 RCP2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5) are very likely to increase. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-2abde630f1b2476683a4b7cbbfe50a54 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1687-9309 1687-9317 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2016-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Advances in Meteorology |
| spelling | doaj-art-2abde630f1b2476683a4b7cbbfe50a542025-02-03T01:12:55ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172016-01-01201610.1155/2016/38182363818236Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change ScenariosOkjeong Lee0Yoonkyung Park1Eung Seok Kim2Sangdan Kim3Division of Earth Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Republic of KoreaDivision of Earth Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Civil Engineering, Sunmoon University, Chunman 31460, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Environmental Engineering, Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Republic of KoreaAccording to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, air temperature and humidity of the future are expected to gradually increase over the current. In this study, future PMPs are estimated by using future dew point temperature projection data which are obtained from RCM data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. First, bias included in future dew point temperature projection data which is provided on a daily basis is corrected through a quantile-mapping method. Next, using a scale-invariance technique, 12-hour duration 100-year return period dew point temperatures which are essential input data for PMPs estimation are estimated from bias-corrected future dew point temperature data. After estimating future PMPs, it can be shown that PMPs in all future climate change scenarios (AR5 RCP2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5) are very likely to increase.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3818236 |
| spellingShingle | Okjeong Lee Yoonkyung Park Eung Seok Kim Sangdan Kim Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change Scenarios Advances in Meteorology |
| title | Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_full | Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_fullStr | Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_short | Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_sort | projection of korean probable maximum precipitation under future climate change scenarios |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3818236 |
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