Inconsistent ENSO teleconnections over East Asia in early and late winter: role of Siberian land-atmosphere coupling

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections over East Asia display inconsistency between early and late winter, yet the undering physical mechanisms remain unclear. Employing causal inference analysis, including Liang-Kleeman information flow and PC-MCI causal discovery, our study reveal...

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Main Authors: Xiadong An, Wen Chen, Tianjiao Ma, Lifang Sheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adab08
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author Xiadong An
Wen Chen
Tianjiao Ma
Lifang Sheng
author_facet Xiadong An
Wen Chen
Tianjiao Ma
Lifang Sheng
author_sort Xiadong An
collection DOAJ
description The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections over East Asia display inconsistency between early and late winter, yet the undering physical mechanisms remain unclear. Employing causal inference analysis, including Liang-Kleeman information flow and PC-MCI causal discovery, our study reveals a stable information flow from ENSO to the upper tropospheric atmospheric circulation (250 hPa) over southern East Asia. Building on this, we explore the reason behind the differences in ENSO teleconnections during early and late winter. Findings indicate that Siberian snow water equivalent acts as a ‘land bridge’, storing ENSO signals from early to late winter, which are then released via an ‘atmospheric bridge’ in late winter. Specifically, reduced snow water equivalent from early to late winter facilitates lower surface temperatures in late winter, serving as a cooling source to initiate an ENSO-related wave train over Eurasia. This leads to an inconsistent ENSO teleconnection in late winter, contrasting with early winter, and vice versa.
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spelling doaj-art-2a65dd3553a347bc8098c5cc86385df62025-01-24T11:58:17ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262025-01-0120202403010.1088/1748-9326/adab08Inconsistent ENSO teleconnections over East Asia in early and late winter: role of Siberian land-atmosphere couplingXiadong An0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8992-0406Wen Chen1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9327-9079Tianjiao Ma2https://orcid.org/0009-0005-5493-230XLifang Sheng3Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yunnan University , Kunming, People’s Republic of China; Yunnan Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disasters and Climate Resources in the Greater Mekong Subregion, Yunnan University , Kunming, People’s Republic of China; Department of Marine Meteorology, College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences , Ocean University of China, Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, Yunnan University , Kunming, People’s Republic of China; Yunnan Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disasters and Climate Resources in the Greater Mekong Subregion, Yunnan University , Kunming, People’s Republic of ChinaDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, Yunnan University , Kunming, People’s Republic of China; Yunnan Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disasters and Climate Resources in the Greater Mekong Subregion, Yunnan University , Kunming, People’s Republic of ChinaDepartment of Marine Meteorology, College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences , Ocean University of China, Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaThe El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections over East Asia display inconsistency between early and late winter, yet the undering physical mechanisms remain unclear. Employing causal inference analysis, including Liang-Kleeman information flow and PC-MCI causal discovery, our study reveals a stable information flow from ENSO to the upper tropospheric atmospheric circulation (250 hPa) over southern East Asia. Building on this, we explore the reason behind the differences in ENSO teleconnections during early and late winter. Findings indicate that Siberian snow water equivalent acts as a ‘land bridge’, storing ENSO signals from early to late winter, which are then released via an ‘atmospheric bridge’ in late winter. Specifically, reduced snow water equivalent from early to late winter facilitates lower surface temperatures in late winter, serving as a cooling source to initiate an ENSO-related wave train over Eurasia. This leads to an inconsistent ENSO teleconnection in late winter, contrasting with early winter, and vice versa.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adab08ENSOteleconnectionland-atmosphere coupling
spellingShingle Xiadong An
Wen Chen
Tianjiao Ma
Lifang Sheng
Inconsistent ENSO teleconnections over East Asia in early and late winter: role of Siberian land-atmosphere coupling
Environmental Research Letters
ENSO
teleconnection
land-atmosphere coupling
title Inconsistent ENSO teleconnections over East Asia in early and late winter: role of Siberian land-atmosphere coupling
title_full Inconsistent ENSO teleconnections over East Asia in early and late winter: role of Siberian land-atmosphere coupling
title_fullStr Inconsistent ENSO teleconnections over East Asia in early and late winter: role of Siberian land-atmosphere coupling
title_full_unstemmed Inconsistent ENSO teleconnections over East Asia in early and late winter: role of Siberian land-atmosphere coupling
title_short Inconsistent ENSO teleconnections over East Asia in early and late winter: role of Siberian land-atmosphere coupling
title_sort inconsistent enso teleconnections over east asia in early and late winter role of siberian land atmosphere coupling
topic ENSO
teleconnection
land-atmosphere coupling
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adab08
work_keys_str_mv AT xiadongan inconsistentensoteleconnectionsovereastasiainearlyandlatewinterroleofsiberianlandatmospherecoupling
AT wenchen inconsistentensoteleconnectionsovereastasiainearlyandlatewinterroleofsiberianlandatmospherecoupling
AT tianjiaoma inconsistentensoteleconnectionsovereastasiainearlyandlatewinterroleofsiberianlandatmospherecoupling
AT lifangsheng inconsistentensoteleconnectionsovereastasiainearlyandlatewinterroleofsiberianlandatmospherecoupling