HESPERIA REleASE+: Improving Solar Proton Event Forecasting by Means of Automated Recognition of Type‐III Radio Bursts
Abstract This work reports on an attempt toward improving the Relativistic Electron Alert System for Exploration (REleASE): the occurrence of a type‐III radio burst as a precondition for a REleASE forecast. REleASE forecasts are based on the detection of early arrival of near‐relativistic electrons...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2024-12-01
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| Series: | Space Weather |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW004013 |
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| author | Arik Posner Olga Ε. Malandraki Michalis Karavolos Kostas Tziotziou Fanis Smanis Bernd Heber Henrik Dröge Patrick Kühl Giorgos P. Veldes |
| author_facet | Arik Posner Olga Ε. Malandraki Michalis Karavolos Kostas Tziotziou Fanis Smanis Bernd Heber Henrik Dröge Patrick Kühl Giorgos P. Veldes |
| author_sort | Arik Posner |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract This work reports on an attempt toward improving the Relativistic Electron Alert System for Exploration (REleASE): the occurrence of a type‐III radio burst as a precondition for a REleASE forecast. REleASE forecasts are based on the detection of early arrival of near‐relativistic electrons ahead of more hazardous protons from Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events. The goal is to allow astronauts on a Lunar or Mars mission sufficient advance warning to reach a radiation shelter to minimize radiation dose exposure. We test a new system that sets a condition of the occurrence of a type‐III radio burst, thus adding independent evidence of particle escape from the Sun, with the aim of reducing known sources of false‐alarms of the existing REleASE system. The High Energy Solar Particle Events foRecastIng and Analysis (HESPERIA) REleASE+ system, which takes advantage of availability of real‐time solar radio observations during the passage of STEREO‐A by Earth in 2023, has now been incorporated in the HESPERIA framework. We discuss the techniques used for automatic detection of type‐III radio bursts preparing for its real‐time implementation, the determination of selection criteria for type‐III bursts that are candidates for solar proton events in the Earth‐moon system, and first results of the combined system. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-2a149570021243e79558d6756ee19d83 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1542-7390 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Space Weather |
| spelling | doaj-art-2a149570021243e79558d6756ee19d832025-02-01T08:10:33ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902024-12-012212n/an/a10.1029/2024SW004013HESPERIA REleASE+: Improving Solar Proton Event Forecasting by Means of Automated Recognition of Type‐III Radio BurstsArik Posner0Olga Ε. Malandraki1Michalis Karavolos2Kostas Tziotziou3Fanis Smanis4Bernd Heber5Henrik Dröge6Patrick Kühl7Giorgos P. Veldes8NASA Headquarters Washington DC USANational Observatory of Athens IAASARS Athens GreeceNational Observatory of Athens IAASARS Athens GreeceNational Observatory of Athens IAASARS Athens GreeceNational Observatory of Athens IAASARS Athens GreeceChristian‐Albrechts‐Universität zu Kiel Kiel GermanyChristian‐Albrechts‐Universität zu Kiel Kiel GermanyChristian‐Albrechts‐Universität zu Kiel Kiel GermanyUniversity of Thessaly Volos GreeceAbstract This work reports on an attempt toward improving the Relativistic Electron Alert System for Exploration (REleASE): the occurrence of a type‐III radio burst as a precondition for a REleASE forecast. REleASE forecasts are based on the detection of early arrival of near‐relativistic electrons ahead of more hazardous protons from Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events. The goal is to allow astronauts on a Lunar or Mars mission sufficient advance warning to reach a radiation shelter to minimize radiation dose exposure. We test a new system that sets a condition of the occurrence of a type‐III radio burst, thus adding independent evidence of particle escape from the Sun, with the aim of reducing known sources of false‐alarms of the existing REleASE system. The High Energy Solar Particle Events foRecastIng and Analysis (HESPERIA) REleASE+ system, which takes advantage of availability of real‐time solar radio observations during the passage of STEREO‐A by Earth in 2023, has now been incorporated in the HESPERIA framework. We discuss the techniques used for automatic detection of type‐III radio bursts preparing for its real‐time implementation, the determination of selection criteria for type‐III bursts that are candidates for solar proton events in the Earth‐moon system, and first results of the combined system.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW004013forecasting techniques |
| spellingShingle | Arik Posner Olga Ε. Malandraki Michalis Karavolos Kostas Tziotziou Fanis Smanis Bernd Heber Henrik Dröge Patrick Kühl Giorgos P. Veldes HESPERIA REleASE+: Improving Solar Proton Event Forecasting by Means of Automated Recognition of Type‐III Radio Bursts Space Weather forecasting techniques |
| title | HESPERIA REleASE+: Improving Solar Proton Event Forecasting by Means of Automated Recognition of Type‐III Radio Bursts |
| title_full | HESPERIA REleASE+: Improving Solar Proton Event Forecasting by Means of Automated Recognition of Type‐III Radio Bursts |
| title_fullStr | HESPERIA REleASE+: Improving Solar Proton Event Forecasting by Means of Automated Recognition of Type‐III Radio Bursts |
| title_full_unstemmed | HESPERIA REleASE+: Improving Solar Proton Event Forecasting by Means of Automated Recognition of Type‐III Radio Bursts |
| title_short | HESPERIA REleASE+: Improving Solar Proton Event Forecasting by Means of Automated Recognition of Type‐III Radio Bursts |
| title_sort | hesperia release improving solar proton event forecasting by means of automated recognition of type iii radio bursts |
| topic | forecasting techniques |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW004013 |
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