A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression

Abstract Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) may progress to ipsilateral invasive breast cancer (iIBC), but often never will. Because DCIS is treated as early breast cancer, many women with harmless DCIS face overtreatment. To identify features associated with progression, we developed an artificial int...

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Main Authors: Marcelo Sobral-Leite, Simon P. Castillo, Shiva Vonk, Hendrik A. Messal, Xenia Melillo, Noomie Lam, Brandi de Bruijn, Yeman B. Hagos, Myrna van den Bos, Joyce Sanders, Mathilde Almekinders, Lindy L. Visser, Emma J. Groen, Petra Kristel, Caner Ercan, Leyla Azarang, Jacco van Rheenen, E. Shelley Hwang, Yinyin Yuan, Grand Challenge PRECISION Consortium, Renee Menezes, Esther H. Lips, Jelle Wesseling
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:npj Precision Oncology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41698-024-00769-6
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author Marcelo Sobral-Leite
Simon P. Castillo
Shiva Vonk
Hendrik A. Messal
Xenia Melillo
Noomie Lam
Brandi de Bruijn
Yeman B. Hagos
Myrna van den Bos
Joyce Sanders
Mathilde Almekinders
Lindy L. Visser
Emma J. Groen
Petra Kristel
Caner Ercan
Leyla Azarang
Jacco van Rheenen
E. Shelley Hwang
Yinyin Yuan
Grand Challenge PRECISION Consortium
Renee Menezes
Esther H. Lips
Jelle Wesseling
author_facet Marcelo Sobral-Leite
Simon P. Castillo
Shiva Vonk
Hendrik A. Messal
Xenia Melillo
Noomie Lam
Brandi de Bruijn
Yeman B. Hagos
Myrna van den Bos
Joyce Sanders
Mathilde Almekinders
Lindy L. Visser
Emma J. Groen
Petra Kristel
Caner Ercan
Leyla Azarang
Jacco van Rheenen
E. Shelley Hwang
Yinyin Yuan
Grand Challenge PRECISION Consortium
Renee Menezes
Esther H. Lips
Jelle Wesseling
author_sort Marcelo Sobral-Leite
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) may progress to ipsilateral invasive breast cancer (iIBC), but often never will. Because DCIS is treated as early breast cancer, many women with harmless DCIS face overtreatment. To identify features associated with progression, we developed an artificial intelligence-based DCIS morphometric analysis pipeline (AIDmap) on hematoxylin-eosin-stained (H&E) tissue sections. We analyzed 689 digitized H&Es of pure primary DCIS of which 226 were diagnosed with subsequent iIBC and 463 were not. The distribution of 15 duct morphological measurements was summarized in 55 morphometric variables. A ridge regression classifier with cross validation predicted 5-years-free of iIBC with an area-under the curve of 0.67 (95% CI 0.57–0.77). A combined clinical-morphometric signature, characterized by small-sized ducts, a low number of cells and a low DCIS/stroma ratio, was associated with outcome (HR = 0.56; 95% CI 0.28–0.78). AIDmap has potential to identify harmless DCIS that may not need treatment.
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spelling doaj-art-29d313b94b7744e9a3d2b9c1f4e25bfe2025-02-02T12:06:34ZengNature Portfolionpj Precision Oncology2397-768X2025-01-019111310.1038/s41698-024-00769-6A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progressionMarcelo Sobral-Leite0Simon P. Castillo1Shiva Vonk2Hendrik A. Messal3Xenia Melillo4Noomie Lam5Brandi de Bruijn6Yeman B. Hagos7Myrna van den Bos8Joyce Sanders9Mathilde Almekinders10Lindy L. Visser11Emma J. Groen12Petra Kristel13Caner Ercan14Leyla Azarang15Jacco van Rheenen16E. Shelley Hwang17Yinyin Yuan18Grand Challenge PRECISION ConsortiumRenee Menezes19Esther H. Lips20Jelle Wesseling21Division of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Department of Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer CenterDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteSarcoma Molecular Pathology Team, The Institute of Cancer ResearchDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Department of Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer CenterBiostatistics Centre and Division of Psychosocial Research and Epidemiology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Comprehensive Cancer CenterDivision of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Department of Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer CenterBiostatistics Centre and Division of Psychosocial Research and Epidemiology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer InstituteAbstract Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) may progress to ipsilateral invasive breast cancer (iIBC), but often never will. Because DCIS is treated as early breast cancer, many women with harmless DCIS face overtreatment. To identify features associated with progression, we developed an artificial intelligence-based DCIS morphometric analysis pipeline (AIDmap) on hematoxylin-eosin-stained (H&E) tissue sections. We analyzed 689 digitized H&Es of pure primary DCIS of which 226 were diagnosed with subsequent iIBC and 463 were not. The distribution of 15 duct morphological measurements was summarized in 55 morphometric variables. A ridge regression classifier with cross validation predicted 5-years-free of iIBC with an area-under the curve of 0.67 (95% CI 0.57–0.77). A combined clinical-morphometric signature, characterized by small-sized ducts, a low number of cells and a low DCIS/stroma ratio, was associated with outcome (HR = 0.56; 95% CI 0.28–0.78). AIDmap has potential to identify harmless DCIS that may not need treatment.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41698-024-00769-6
spellingShingle Marcelo Sobral-Leite
Simon P. Castillo
Shiva Vonk
Hendrik A. Messal
Xenia Melillo
Noomie Lam
Brandi de Bruijn
Yeman B. Hagos
Myrna van den Bos
Joyce Sanders
Mathilde Almekinders
Lindy L. Visser
Emma J. Groen
Petra Kristel
Caner Ercan
Leyla Azarang
Jacco van Rheenen
E. Shelley Hwang
Yinyin Yuan
Grand Challenge PRECISION Consortium
Renee Menezes
Esther H. Lips
Jelle Wesseling
A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression
npj Precision Oncology
title A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression
title_full A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression
title_fullStr A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression
title_full_unstemmed A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression
title_short A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression
title_sort morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41698-024-00769-6
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