Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Commercial Lending Rates in Peru, 2010–2022

Short- and long-term interest rates are crucial for investment and, thus, business dynamism. The injection of money depends on the ability to promote cash flows through credit which boosts productive sectors. In the last decade, among Latin American countries, Peru has stood out for its key financi...

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Main Author: Sergio Bravo Orellana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius University Press 2023-12-01
Series:Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.journals.vu.lt/omee/article/view/32559
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author Sergio Bravo Orellana
author_facet Sergio Bravo Orellana
author_sort Sergio Bravo Orellana
collection DOAJ
description Short- and long-term interest rates are crucial for investment and, thus, business dynamism. The injection of money depends on the ability to promote cash flows through credit which boosts productive sectors. In the last decade, among Latin American countries, Peru has stood out for its key financial system and macroeconomic stability characteristics. The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) plays a key role in setting the reference rate given its autonomy and strong institutional trust. However, the mixed pension system injects liquidity into the financial system through its private contributions. For the purposes of this study, an autoregressive econometric model of distributed lags (ARDL) was employed. The findings reveal that the reference rate set by the BCRP establishes a long-term relationship for both short and long-term rates, empirically demonstrating the effectiveness of monetary policy. Additionally, the liquidity provided by the pension system triggers an immediate shock response in determining the short-term rate. It is also observed that the issuance of sovereign bonds is a robust tool in determining the long-term rate due to its facilitation of credit access. This research is relevant for identifying macroeconomic and financial variables and guiding the formulation of macroeconomic policies.
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spelling doaj-art-29471b700e914e8aa415ea65a043f5662025-01-20T18:21:43ZengVilnius University PressOrganizations and Markets in Emerging Economies2029-45812345-00372023-12-0114310.15388/omee.2023.14.13Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Commercial Lending Rates in Peru, 2010–2022Sergio Bravo Orellana0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7168-4257ESAN University, Peru Short- and long-term interest rates are crucial for investment and, thus, business dynamism. The injection of money depends on the ability to promote cash flows through credit which boosts productive sectors. In the last decade, among Latin American countries, Peru has stood out for its key financial system and macroeconomic stability characteristics. The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) plays a key role in setting the reference rate given its autonomy and strong institutional trust. However, the mixed pension system injects liquidity into the financial system through its private contributions. For the purposes of this study, an autoregressive econometric model of distributed lags (ARDL) was employed. The findings reveal that the reference rate set by the BCRP establishes a long-term relationship for both short and long-term rates, empirically demonstrating the effectiveness of monetary policy. Additionally, the liquidity provided by the pension system triggers an immediate shock response in determining the short-term rate. It is also observed that the issuance of sovereign bonds is a robust tool in determining the long-term rate due to its facilitation of credit access. This research is relevant for identifying macroeconomic and financial variables and guiding the formulation of macroeconomic policies. https://www.journals.vu.lt/omee/article/view/32559Interest ratesmonetary politicsPeruvian marketexchange rate and multivariate analysisshort commercial lending rates and long commercial lending rates
spellingShingle Sergio Bravo Orellana
Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Commercial Lending Rates in Peru, 2010–2022
Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies
Interest rates
monetary politics
Peruvian market
exchange rate and multivariate analysis
short commercial lending rates and long commercial lending rates
title Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Commercial Lending Rates in Peru, 2010–2022
title_full Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Commercial Lending Rates in Peru, 2010–2022
title_fullStr Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Commercial Lending Rates in Peru, 2010–2022
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Commercial Lending Rates in Peru, 2010–2022
title_short Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Commercial Lending Rates in Peru, 2010–2022
title_sort determinants of short and long term commercial lending rates in peru 2010 2022
topic Interest rates
monetary politics
Peruvian market
exchange rate and multivariate analysis
short commercial lending rates and long commercial lending rates
url https://www.journals.vu.lt/omee/article/view/32559
work_keys_str_mv AT sergiobravoorellana determinantsofshortandlongtermcommerciallendingratesinperu20102022