Harvesting Solar Energy: Prediction of Daily Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Artificial Neural Networks and Assessment of Electrical Energy of Photovoltaic at North Eastern Ethiopia

ABSTRACT The difficulty and high price of measuring devices make the utilization of solar energy impractical, particularly in developing countries like Ethiopia. Because of its variability and nonlinear characteristics, it needs accurate prediction techniques in a specific location. Thus, the object...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tegenu A. Woldegiyorgis, Abera D. Assamnew, Gezahegn A. Desalegn, Sentayehu Y. Mossie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Energy Science & Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.1996
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832592270113636352
author Tegenu A. Woldegiyorgis
Abera D. Assamnew
Gezahegn A. Desalegn
Sentayehu Y. Mossie
author_facet Tegenu A. Woldegiyorgis
Abera D. Assamnew
Gezahegn A. Desalegn
Sentayehu Y. Mossie
author_sort Tegenu A. Woldegiyorgis
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT The difficulty and high price of measuring devices make the utilization of solar energy impractical, particularly in developing countries like Ethiopia. Because of its variability and nonlinear characteristics, it needs accurate prediction techniques in a specific location. Thus, the objectives of this article were: (i) assessing daily global horizontal irradiance using network types‐activation functions of artificial neural network (ANN); and (ii) evaluating the daily energy delivered to and available on photovoltaic (PV) cells of GaAs at Kemissie, Woldiya, and Hayk, in the northeastern part of Ethiopia. Nine parameters were used in the input layer, and daily GHI was the output result. Feed forward back propagation (FFBP) and cascade forward back propagation (CFBP) with tansig, logsig, and purelin of ANNs were used. The best pairs were FFBP‐logsig, CFBP‐logsig, and CFBP‐tangsig, with 0.8882 ≤ r ≤ 0.9833, respectively. The average values were (4.374 kWh/m2/day ≤ GHI ≤ 6.805 kWh/m2/day) at Kemissie, (4.246 kWh/m2/day ≤ GHI ≤ 7.116 kWh/m2/day) at Hayk, and (4.479 kWh/m2/day ≤ GHI ≤ 7.011 kWh/m2/day) at Woldiya. The energy delivered to and obtainable from PV cells varied between 0.1274 and 0.2135 kWh and 0.1101 and 0.1844 kWh, respectively, for all sites. This bears out the suitability of the site for the installation of a solar energy system.
format Article
id doaj-art-28ecbaa6eb184f16985a4330e17df0f0
institution Kabale University
issn 2050-0505
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Energy Science & Engineering
spelling doaj-art-28ecbaa6eb184f16985a4330e17df0f02025-01-21T11:38:24ZengWileyEnergy Science & Engineering2050-05052025-01-0113125526710.1002/ese3.1996Harvesting Solar Energy: Prediction of Daily Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Artificial Neural Networks and Assessment of Electrical Energy of Photovoltaic at North Eastern EthiopiaTegenu A. Woldegiyorgis0Abera D. Assamnew1Gezahegn A. Desalegn2Sentayehu Y. Mossie3Department of Physics, College of Natural Sciences Wollo University Dessie EthiopiaDepartment of Physics, College of Natural Sciences Wollo University Dessie EthiopiaDepartment of Physics, College of Natural Sciences Wollo University Dessie EthiopiaDepartment of Physics, College of Natural Sciences Wollo University Dessie EthiopiaABSTRACT The difficulty and high price of measuring devices make the utilization of solar energy impractical, particularly in developing countries like Ethiopia. Because of its variability and nonlinear characteristics, it needs accurate prediction techniques in a specific location. Thus, the objectives of this article were: (i) assessing daily global horizontal irradiance using network types‐activation functions of artificial neural network (ANN); and (ii) evaluating the daily energy delivered to and available on photovoltaic (PV) cells of GaAs at Kemissie, Woldiya, and Hayk, in the northeastern part of Ethiopia. Nine parameters were used in the input layer, and daily GHI was the output result. Feed forward back propagation (FFBP) and cascade forward back propagation (CFBP) with tansig, logsig, and purelin of ANNs were used. The best pairs were FFBP‐logsig, CFBP‐logsig, and CFBP‐tangsig, with 0.8882 ≤ r ≤ 0.9833, respectively. The average values were (4.374 kWh/m2/day ≤ GHI ≤ 6.805 kWh/m2/day) at Kemissie, (4.246 kWh/m2/day ≤ GHI ≤ 7.116 kWh/m2/day) at Hayk, and (4.479 kWh/m2/day ≤ GHI ≤ 7.011 kWh/m2/day) at Woldiya. The energy delivered to and obtainable from PV cells varied between 0.1274 and 0.2135 kWh and 0.1101 and 0.1844 kWh, respectively, for all sites. This bears out the suitability of the site for the installation of a solar energy system.https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.1996activation factionsGallium arsenide global horizontal irradianceinput parametersnetwork typesphotovoltaic cell
spellingShingle Tegenu A. Woldegiyorgis
Abera D. Assamnew
Gezahegn A. Desalegn
Sentayehu Y. Mossie
Harvesting Solar Energy: Prediction of Daily Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Artificial Neural Networks and Assessment of Electrical Energy of Photovoltaic at North Eastern Ethiopia
Energy Science & Engineering
activation factions
Gallium arsenide global horizontal irradiance
input parameters
network types
photovoltaic cell
title Harvesting Solar Energy: Prediction of Daily Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Artificial Neural Networks and Assessment of Electrical Energy of Photovoltaic at North Eastern Ethiopia
title_full Harvesting Solar Energy: Prediction of Daily Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Artificial Neural Networks and Assessment of Electrical Energy of Photovoltaic at North Eastern Ethiopia
title_fullStr Harvesting Solar Energy: Prediction of Daily Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Artificial Neural Networks and Assessment of Electrical Energy of Photovoltaic at North Eastern Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Harvesting Solar Energy: Prediction of Daily Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Artificial Neural Networks and Assessment of Electrical Energy of Photovoltaic at North Eastern Ethiopia
title_short Harvesting Solar Energy: Prediction of Daily Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Artificial Neural Networks and Assessment of Electrical Energy of Photovoltaic at North Eastern Ethiopia
title_sort harvesting solar energy prediction of daily global horizontal irradiance using artificial neural networks and assessment of electrical energy of photovoltaic at north eastern ethiopia
topic activation factions
Gallium arsenide global horizontal irradiance
input parameters
network types
photovoltaic cell
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.1996
work_keys_str_mv AT tegenuawoldegiyorgis harvestingsolarenergypredictionofdailyglobalhorizontalirradianceusingartificialneuralnetworksandassessmentofelectricalenergyofphotovoltaicatnortheasternethiopia
AT aberadassamnew harvestingsolarenergypredictionofdailyglobalhorizontalirradianceusingartificialneuralnetworksandassessmentofelectricalenergyofphotovoltaicatnortheasternethiopia
AT gezahegnadesalegn harvestingsolarenergypredictionofdailyglobalhorizontalirradianceusingartificialneuralnetworksandassessmentofelectricalenergyofphotovoltaicatnortheasternethiopia
AT sentayehuymossie harvestingsolarenergypredictionofdailyglobalhorizontalirradianceusingartificialneuralnetworksandassessmentofelectricalenergyofphotovoltaicatnortheasternethiopia