Evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long-term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node-positive bladder cancer: a SEER population-based study with external validation

Abstract Background The lymph node ratio (LNR) has been recognized as an emerging prognostic biomarker in various malignant tumors. Our study aimed to investigate the prognostic role of LNR in postoperative patients with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. Methods This study comprised a total of 391...

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Main Authors: Tao Chen, Xinchang Zou, Yihe Li, Lifen Peng, Zhen Song, Haichao Chao, Bin Fu, Tao Zeng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:BMC Cancer
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-13384-2
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author Tao Chen
Xinchang Zou
Yihe Li
Lifen Peng
Zhen Song
Haichao Chao
Bin Fu
Tao Zeng
author_facet Tao Chen
Xinchang Zou
Yihe Li
Lifen Peng
Zhen Song
Haichao Chao
Bin Fu
Tao Zeng
author_sort Tao Chen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The lymph node ratio (LNR) has been recognized as an emerging prognostic biomarker in various malignant tumors. Our study aimed to investigate the prognostic role of LNR in postoperative patients with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. Methods This study comprised a total of 3911 eligible patients diagnosed with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. This included 3767 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 144 patients from two Chinese hospitals forming the external validation cohort. We used X-tile software to identify the optimal cut-off value for LNR. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model were utilized to evaluate the association between LNR and overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Based on the LNR index, two nomograms were constructed to estimate the prognosis of patients with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. The discriminant ability and accuracy of the nomogram were tested using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves and decision curve analysis. Results The Kaplan-Meier survival curves, stratified by LNR, demonstrated significant differences in overall and cancer-specific survival rates (P < 0.05). After adjusting for clinical and tumor factors, including AJCC N staging, patients with an LNR greater than 0.3 exhibited significantly worse OS and CSS compared to those with an LNR less than 0.1 in both the SEER and external validation cohorts. Furthermore, the nomogram, which incorporated LNR, showed satisfactory discriminative ability, and the calibration curves confirmed favorable consistency. Conclusion LNR proves to be an independent prognostic factor for postoperative patients with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. These findings highlight LNR’s potential as a prognostic indicator, which could be beneficial in patient consultations and guiding treatment decisions.
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spelling doaj-art-2807ebfd79d34849a0df5b6e379b97212025-01-26T12:37:51ZengBMCBMC Cancer1471-24072025-01-0125111210.1186/s12885-024-13384-2Evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long-term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node-positive bladder cancer: a SEER population-based study with external validationTao Chen0Xinchang Zou1Yihe Li2Lifen Peng3Zhen Song4Haichao Chao5Bin Fu6Tao Zeng7Department of Urology, The second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang UniversityDepartment of Urology, The second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang UniversityDepartment of Urology, The first Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang UniversityDepartment of Urology, Jiangxi Provincial People’s Hospital (The first Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang Medical College)Department of Urology, The second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang UniversityDepartment of Urology, The second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang UniversityDepartment of Urology, The first Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang UniversityDepartment of Urology, The second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang UniversityAbstract Background The lymph node ratio (LNR) has been recognized as an emerging prognostic biomarker in various malignant tumors. Our study aimed to investigate the prognostic role of LNR in postoperative patients with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. Methods This study comprised a total of 3911 eligible patients diagnosed with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. This included 3767 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 144 patients from two Chinese hospitals forming the external validation cohort. We used X-tile software to identify the optimal cut-off value for LNR. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model were utilized to evaluate the association between LNR and overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Based on the LNR index, two nomograms were constructed to estimate the prognosis of patients with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. The discriminant ability and accuracy of the nomogram were tested using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves and decision curve analysis. Results The Kaplan-Meier survival curves, stratified by LNR, demonstrated significant differences in overall and cancer-specific survival rates (P < 0.05). After adjusting for clinical and tumor factors, including AJCC N staging, patients with an LNR greater than 0.3 exhibited significantly worse OS and CSS compared to those with an LNR less than 0.1 in both the SEER and external validation cohorts. Furthermore, the nomogram, which incorporated LNR, showed satisfactory discriminative ability, and the calibration curves confirmed favorable consistency. Conclusion LNR proves to be an independent prognostic factor for postoperative patients with lymph node-positive bladder cancer. These findings highlight LNR’s potential as a prognostic indicator, which could be beneficial in patient consultations and guiding treatment decisions.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-13384-2Lymph node-positive bladder cancerLymph node ratioPrognosisNomogram
spellingShingle Tao Chen
Xinchang Zou
Yihe Li
Lifen Peng
Zhen Song
Haichao Chao
Bin Fu
Tao Zeng
Evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long-term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node-positive bladder cancer: a SEER population-based study with external validation
BMC Cancer
Lymph node-positive bladder cancer
Lymph node ratio
Prognosis
Nomogram
title Evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long-term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node-positive bladder cancer: a SEER population-based study with external validation
title_full Evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long-term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node-positive bladder cancer: a SEER population-based study with external validation
title_fullStr Evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long-term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node-positive bladder cancer: a SEER population-based study with external validation
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long-term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node-positive bladder cancer: a SEER population-based study with external validation
title_short Evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long-term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node-positive bladder cancer: a SEER population-based study with external validation
title_sort evaluation of the association between lymph node ratio and long term survival in patients after surgery for lymph node positive bladder cancer a seer population based study with external validation
topic Lymph node-positive bladder cancer
Lymph node ratio
Prognosis
Nomogram
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-13384-2
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