Water Inrush Risk Assessment Based on AHP and Advance Forecast Approach: A Case Study in the Micangshan Tunnel

Water inrush is a serious geological disaster in tunnel. For the effective prevention and control of the occurrence of water inrush, a static-dynamic water inrush risk assessment method is proposed by considering the Micangshan tunnel as an example. First, four possible types of water inrush phenome...

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Main Authors: Tao Song, Jun Zeng, Jiaji Ma, Chunchi Ma, Tianbin Li, Tao Xia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Advances in Civil Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/9750447
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author Tao Song
Jun Zeng
Jiaji Ma
Chunchi Ma
Tianbin Li
Tao Xia
author_facet Tao Song
Jun Zeng
Jiaji Ma
Chunchi Ma
Tianbin Li
Tao Xia
author_sort Tao Song
collection DOAJ
description Water inrush is a serious geological disaster in tunnel. For the effective prevention and control of the occurrence of water inrush, a static-dynamic water inrush risk assessment method is proposed by considering the Micangshan tunnel as an example. First, four possible types of water inrush phenomenon are identified based on the geological and hydrogeological conditions of the tunnel: water inrush in water-bearing cracks, fault fracture zones, karst pipelines, and karst caves. Next, evaluation indexes that affect water inrush are determined. By combining the index weight value calculated by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with the index quantitative value, the static water inrush disaster evaluation model is established, which provides a basis for tunnel design. Finally, with the combination of the static evaluation model and advanced forecast method, a dynamic risk prediction method of water inrush is established, which provides guidance for safe construction. The results confirm that the proposed method is a reliable theoretical basis for early assessment and prediction of tunnel water inrush disasters.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-8094
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Advances in Civil Engineering
spelling doaj-art-280582e10cd04e2894614f48db0e60bc2025-02-03T05:49:26ZengWileyAdvances in Civil Engineering1687-80942021-01-01202110.1155/2021/9750447Water Inrush Risk Assessment Based on AHP and Advance Forecast Approach: A Case Study in the Micangshan TunnelTao Song0Jun Zeng1Jiaji Ma2Chunchi Ma3Tianbin Li4Tao Xia5College of Environment and Civil EngineeringCollege of Environment and Civil EngineeringCollege of Environment and Civil EngineeringCollege of Environment and Civil EngineeringCollege of Environment and Civil EngineeringThe Civil Engineering Group Corporation of China Construction Second Engineering Bureau Ltd.Water inrush is a serious geological disaster in tunnel. For the effective prevention and control of the occurrence of water inrush, a static-dynamic water inrush risk assessment method is proposed by considering the Micangshan tunnel as an example. First, four possible types of water inrush phenomenon are identified based on the geological and hydrogeological conditions of the tunnel: water inrush in water-bearing cracks, fault fracture zones, karst pipelines, and karst caves. Next, evaluation indexes that affect water inrush are determined. By combining the index weight value calculated by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with the index quantitative value, the static water inrush disaster evaluation model is established, which provides a basis for tunnel design. Finally, with the combination of the static evaluation model and advanced forecast method, a dynamic risk prediction method of water inrush is established, which provides guidance for safe construction. The results confirm that the proposed method is a reliable theoretical basis for early assessment and prediction of tunnel water inrush disasters.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/9750447
spellingShingle Tao Song
Jun Zeng
Jiaji Ma
Chunchi Ma
Tianbin Li
Tao Xia
Water Inrush Risk Assessment Based on AHP and Advance Forecast Approach: A Case Study in the Micangshan Tunnel
Advances in Civil Engineering
title Water Inrush Risk Assessment Based on AHP and Advance Forecast Approach: A Case Study in the Micangshan Tunnel
title_full Water Inrush Risk Assessment Based on AHP and Advance Forecast Approach: A Case Study in the Micangshan Tunnel
title_fullStr Water Inrush Risk Assessment Based on AHP and Advance Forecast Approach: A Case Study in the Micangshan Tunnel
title_full_unstemmed Water Inrush Risk Assessment Based on AHP and Advance Forecast Approach: A Case Study in the Micangshan Tunnel
title_short Water Inrush Risk Assessment Based on AHP and Advance Forecast Approach: A Case Study in the Micangshan Tunnel
title_sort water inrush risk assessment based on ahp and advance forecast approach a case study in the micangshan tunnel
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/9750447
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