Designing A New Fuzzy Expert System for Project Portfolio Risk Management
Purpose: This study aimed to design a new fuzzy expert system for project portfolio risk management in ongoing projects of a first mobile holding. Methodology: To identify the risks from the DEMATEL method developed, to evaluate and determine the most critical risks from the fuzzy FMEA methods and t...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | fas |
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Ayandegan Institute of Higher Education, Tonekabon,
2021-02-01
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| Series: | مدیریت نوآوری و راهبردهای عملیاتی |
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| Online Access: | http://www.journal-imos.ir/article_126642_c53ad5c763fa1d8bd3271f43622ff8ac.pdf |
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| _version_ | 1832577795678535680 |
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| author | Masoumeh Zahedi Mohamad Khalilzadeh Hasan Javanshir |
| author_facet | Masoumeh Zahedi Mohamad Khalilzadeh Hasan Javanshir |
| author_sort | Masoumeh Zahedi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Purpose: This study aimed to design a new fuzzy expert system for project portfolio risk management in ongoing projects of a first mobile holding. Methodology: To identify the risks from the DEMATEL method developed, to evaluate and determine the most critical risks from the fuzzy FMEA methods and the AHP method in Expert Choice software, and to select the optimal risk response, a proposed mathematical model is used and solved in Gamz software. Findings: The research findings showed 23 risks in the studied projects, 8 of which were highly important and impacted. Risk prioritization and determining their impact level were also performed using the integrated AHP-FMEA method. Findings obtained from solving and implementing the mathematical model in Gamz software also showed that the proposed model of efficiency and capability for selecting optimal risk response strategies is established. Originality/Value: The general findings indicate that the proposed new fuzzy expert system also has the capability and efficiency to manage the portfolio risk in the study holding. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-27c954e8cbbb4daa89f88bacfa8ab5f6 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2783-1345 2717-4581 |
| language | fas |
| publishDate | 2021-02-01 |
| publisher | Ayandegan Institute of Higher Education, Tonekabon, |
| record_format | Article |
| series | مدیریت نوآوری و راهبردهای عملیاتی |
| spelling | doaj-art-27c954e8cbbb4daa89f88bacfa8ab5f62025-01-30T14:59:20ZfasAyandegan Institute of Higher Education, Tonekabon,مدیریت نوآوری و راهبردهای عملیاتی2783-13452717-45812021-02-011440342110.22105/imos.2021.271975.1029126642Designing A New Fuzzy Expert System for Project Portfolio Risk ManagementMasoumeh Zahedi0Mohamad Khalilzadeh1Hasan Javanshir2Department of Industrial Engineering, Research Sciences Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.Department of Industrial Engineering, Research Sciences Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.Department of Industrial Engineering, Research Sciences Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.Purpose: This study aimed to design a new fuzzy expert system for project portfolio risk management in ongoing projects of a first mobile holding. Methodology: To identify the risks from the DEMATEL method developed, to evaluate and determine the most critical risks from the fuzzy FMEA methods and the AHP method in Expert Choice software, and to select the optimal risk response, a proposed mathematical model is used and solved in Gamz software. Findings: The research findings showed 23 risks in the studied projects, 8 of which were highly important and impacted. Risk prioritization and determining their impact level were also performed using the integrated AHP-FMEA method. Findings obtained from solving and implementing the mathematical model in Gamz software also showed that the proposed model of efficiency and capability for selecting optimal risk response strategies is established. Originality/Value: The general findings indicate that the proposed new fuzzy expert system also has the capability and efficiency to manage the portfolio risk in the study holding.http://www.journal-imos.ir/article_126642_c53ad5c763fa1d8bd3271f43622ff8ac.pdfrisk managementproject portfoliofuzzy expert systemmulti-objective mathematical modeldeveloped dematel methodahp methodfema method |
| spellingShingle | Masoumeh Zahedi Mohamad Khalilzadeh Hasan Javanshir Designing A New Fuzzy Expert System for Project Portfolio Risk Management مدیریت نوآوری و راهبردهای عملیاتی risk management project portfolio fuzzy expert system multi-objective mathematical model developed dematel method ahp method fema method |
| title | Designing A New Fuzzy Expert System for Project Portfolio Risk Management |
| title_full | Designing A New Fuzzy Expert System for Project Portfolio Risk Management |
| title_fullStr | Designing A New Fuzzy Expert System for Project Portfolio Risk Management |
| title_full_unstemmed | Designing A New Fuzzy Expert System for Project Portfolio Risk Management |
| title_short | Designing A New Fuzzy Expert System for Project Portfolio Risk Management |
| title_sort | designing a new fuzzy expert system for project portfolio risk management |
| topic | risk management project portfolio fuzzy expert system multi-objective mathematical model developed dematel method ahp method fema method |
| url | http://www.journal-imos.ir/article_126642_c53ad5c763fa1d8bd3271f43622ff8ac.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT masoumehzahedi designinganewfuzzyexpertsystemforprojectportfolioriskmanagement AT mohamadkhalilzadeh designinganewfuzzyexpertsystemforprojectportfolioriskmanagement AT hasanjavanshir designinganewfuzzyexpertsystemforprojectportfolioriskmanagement |