COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISA

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant disruption in schooling worldwide. Global test score data is used to estimate learning losses by modeling the effect of school closures on achievement by predicting the deviation of the most recent results from a linear trend using data from all...

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Main Authors: Maciej Jakubowski, Tomasz Gajderowicz, Harry Anthony Patrinos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:npj Science of Learning
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41539-025-00297-3
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author Maciej Jakubowski
Tomasz Gajderowicz
Harry Anthony Patrinos
author_facet Maciej Jakubowski
Tomasz Gajderowicz
Harry Anthony Patrinos
author_sort Maciej Jakubowski
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant disruption in schooling worldwide. Global test score data is used to estimate learning losses by modeling the effect of school closures on achievement by predicting the deviation of the most recent results from a linear trend using data from all rounds of PISA. Mathematics scores declined an average of 14 percent of a standard deviation, roughly equal to seven months of learning. Losses are greater for students in schools that faced relatively longer closures, for boys, immigrants, and disadvantaged students. Educational losses may translate into significant national income losses over time.
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spelling doaj-art-26ed3839b2ff40b08d7d0d80d0f06a892025-01-26T12:15:49ZengNature Portfolionpj Science of Learning2056-79362025-01-011011710.1038/s41539-025-00297-3COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISAMaciej Jakubowski0Tomasz Gajderowicz1Harry Anthony Patrinos2Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of WarsawFaculty of Economic Sciences, University of WarsawDepartment of Education Reform, University of Arkansas, 1 University of ArkansasAbstract The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant disruption in schooling worldwide. Global test score data is used to estimate learning losses by modeling the effect of school closures on achievement by predicting the deviation of the most recent results from a linear trend using data from all rounds of PISA. Mathematics scores declined an average of 14 percent of a standard deviation, roughly equal to seven months of learning. Losses are greater for students in schools that faced relatively longer closures, for boys, immigrants, and disadvantaged students. Educational losses may translate into significant national income losses over time.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41539-025-00297-3
spellingShingle Maciej Jakubowski
Tomasz Gajderowicz
Harry Anthony Patrinos
COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISA
npj Science of Learning
title COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISA
title_full COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISA
title_fullStr COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISA
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISA
title_short COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISA
title_sort covid 19 school closures and student learning outcomes new global evidence from pisa
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41539-025-00297-3
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AT tomaszgajderowicz covid19schoolclosuresandstudentlearningoutcomesnewglobalevidencefrompisa
AT harryanthonypatrinos covid19schoolclosuresandstudentlearningoutcomesnewglobalevidencefrompisa