COVID-19, school closures, and student learning outcomes. New global evidence from PISA

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant disruption in schooling worldwide. Global test score data is used to estimate learning losses by modeling the effect of school closures on achievement by predicting the deviation of the most recent results from a linear trend using data from all...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Maciej Jakubowski, Tomasz Gajderowicz, Harry Anthony Patrinos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:npj Science of Learning
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41539-025-00297-3
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Summary:Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant disruption in schooling worldwide. Global test score data is used to estimate learning losses by modeling the effect of school closures on achievement by predicting the deviation of the most recent results from a linear trend using data from all rounds of PISA. Mathematics scores declined an average of 14 percent of a standard deviation, roughly equal to seven months of learning. Losses are greater for students in schools that faced relatively longer closures, for boys, immigrants, and disadvantaged students. Educational losses may translate into significant national income losses over time.
ISSN:2056-7936