Exoplanet Occurrence Rate with Age for FGK Stars in Kepler

We measure the exoplanet occurrence rate as a function of isochrone and gyrochronology ages using confirmed and candidate planets identified in Q1–17 DR25 Kepler data. We employ Kepler's pipeline detection efficiency to correct for the expected number of planets in each age bin. We examine the...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Maryum Sayeed, Ruth Angus, Travis A. Berger, Yuxi(Lucy) Lu, Jessie L. Christiansen, Daniel Foreman-Mackey, Melissa K. Ness
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:The Astronomical Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/ada8a1
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832542879375949824
author Maryum Sayeed
Ruth Angus
Travis A. Berger
Yuxi(Lucy) Lu
Jessie L. Christiansen
Daniel Foreman-Mackey
Melissa K. Ness
author_facet Maryum Sayeed
Ruth Angus
Travis A. Berger
Yuxi(Lucy) Lu
Jessie L. Christiansen
Daniel Foreman-Mackey
Melissa K. Ness
author_sort Maryum Sayeed
collection DOAJ
description We measure the exoplanet occurrence rate as a function of isochrone and gyrochronology ages using confirmed and candidate planets identified in Q1–17 DR25 Kepler data. We employ Kepler's pipeline detection efficiency to correct for the expected number of planets in each age bin. We examine the occurrence rates for planets with radii 0.2 ≤ Rp ≤ 20 R _⊕ and orbital periods 0.2 ≤ P ≤ 100 days for FGK stars with ages between 1.5 and 8 Gyr using the inverse detection-efficiency method. We find no significant trend between the occurrence rate and stellar age; a slight decreasing trend (within 1.5 σ –2.5 σ ) only emerges for the low-mass and metal-rich stars that dominate our sample. We isolate the effects of mass and metallicity on the occurrence rate trend with age, but find the results to be inconclusive, due to weak trends and the small sample size. Our results hint that the exoplanet occurrence rate may decrease over time due to dynamical instability from planet–planet scattering or planet ejection, but accurate ages and larger sample sizes are needed to resolve a clear relation between the occurrence rate and age.
format Article
id doaj-art-248c4ebffbbd416b9e2dbe0f1c31ce3f
institution Kabale University
issn 1538-3881
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher IOP Publishing
record_format Article
series The Astronomical Journal
spelling doaj-art-248c4ebffbbd416b9e2dbe0f1c31ce3f2025-02-03T13:46:42ZengIOP PublishingThe Astronomical Journal1538-38812025-01-01169211210.3847/1538-3881/ada8a1Exoplanet Occurrence Rate with Age for FGK Stars in KeplerMaryum Sayeed0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6180-8482Ruth Angus1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4540-5661Travis A. Berger2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2580-3614Yuxi(Lucy) Lu3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4769-3273Jessie L. Christiansen4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8035-4778Daniel Foreman-Mackey5https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9328-5652Melissa K. Ness6https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5082-6693Department of Astronomy, Columbia University , 550 West 120th Street, NY 10027, USA ; maryum.sayeed@columbia.eduDepartment of Astronomy, Columbia University , 550 West 120th Street, NY 10027, USA ; maryum.sayeed@columbia.edu; Department of Astrophysics, American Museum of Natural History , 200 Central Park West, Manhattan, NY 10024, USA; Center for Computational Astrophysics, Flatiron Institute , 162 5th Avenue, Manhattan, NY, USASpace Telescope Science Institute , 3700 San Martin Drive, Baltimore, MD 21218, USADepartment of Astrophysics, American Museum of Natural History , 200 Central Park West, Manhattan, NY 10024, USA; Department of Astronomy, The Ohio State University , Columbus, 140 W 18th Avenue, OH 43210, USANASA Exoplanet Science Institute , IPAC, MS 100-22, Caltech, 1200 E. California Boulevard, Pasadena, CA 91125, USACenter for Computational Astrophysics, Flatiron Institute , 162 5th Avenue, Manhattan, NY, USADepartment of Astronomy, Columbia University , 550 West 120th Street, NY 10027, USA ; maryum.sayeed@columbia.edu; Research School of Astronomy & Astrophysics, Australian National University , Canberra, ACT 2611, AustraliaWe measure the exoplanet occurrence rate as a function of isochrone and gyrochronology ages using confirmed and candidate planets identified in Q1–17 DR25 Kepler data. We employ Kepler's pipeline detection efficiency to correct for the expected number of planets in each age bin. We examine the occurrence rates for planets with radii 0.2 ≤ Rp ≤ 20 R _⊕ and orbital periods 0.2 ≤ P ≤ 100 days for FGK stars with ages between 1.5 and 8 Gyr using the inverse detection-efficiency method. We find no significant trend between the occurrence rate and stellar age; a slight decreasing trend (within 1.5 σ –2.5 σ ) only emerges for the low-mass and metal-rich stars that dominate our sample. We isolate the effects of mass and metallicity on the occurrence rate trend with age, but find the results to be inconclusive, due to weak trends and the small sample size. Our results hint that the exoplanet occurrence rate may decrease over time due to dynamical instability from planet–planet scattering or planet ejection, but accurate ages and larger sample sizes are needed to resolve a clear relation between the occurrence rate and age.https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/ada8a1Exoplanet astronomyExoplanet dynamicsExoplanet evolution
spellingShingle Maryum Sayeed
Ruth Angus
Travis A. Berger
Yuxi(Lucy) Lu
Jessie L. Christiansen
Daniel Foreman-Mackey
Melissa K. Ness
Exoplanet Occurrence Rate with Age for FGK Stars in Kepler
The Astronomical Journal
Exoplanet astronomy
Exoplanet dynamics
Exoplanet evolution
title Exoplanet Occurrence Rate with Age for FGK Stars in Kepler
title_full Exoplanet Occurrence Rate with Age for FGK Stars in Kepler
title_fullStr Exoplanet Occurrence Rate with Age for FGK Stars in Kepler
title_full_unstemmed Exoplanet Occurrence Rate with Age for FGK Stars in Kepler
title_short Exoplanet Occurrence Rate with Age for FGK Stars in Kepler
title_sort exoplanet occurrence rate with age for fgk stars in kepler
topic Exoplanet astronomy
Exoplanet dynamics
Exoplanet evolution
url https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/ada8a1
work_keys_str_mv AT maryumsayeed exoplanetoccurrenceratewithageforfgkstarsinkepler
AT ruthangus exoplanetoccurrenceratewithageforfgkstarsinkepler
AT travisaberger exoplanetoccurrenceratewithageforfgkstarsinkepler
AT yuxilucylu exoplanetoccurrenceratewithageforfgkstarsinkepler
AT jessielchristiansen exoplanetoccurrenceratewithageforfgkstarsinkepler
AT danielforemanmackey exoplanetoccurrenceratewithageforfgkstarsinkepler
AT melissakness exoplanetoccurrenceratewithageforfgkstarsinkepler