Crisis Monitoring in Financial Sectors Using CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis Model

This study presents the CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis (CPTA) model, which combines CAMEL methodology with Partial Triadic Analysis (PTA) to evaluate financial indicators on a quarterly basis and delineate risk levels. By analyzing symmetries in data matrices and quantifying vector correlations, the...

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Main Authors: Rody Guzman-Garzon, Purificacion Galindo-Villardon, Purificacion Vicente-Galindo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10838559/
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author Rody Guzman-Garzon
Purificacion Galindo-Villardon
Purificacion Vicente-Galindo
author_facet Rody Guzman-Garzon
Purificacion Galindo-Villardon
Purificacion Vicente-Galindo
author_sort Rody Guzman-Garzon
collection DOAJ
description This study presents the CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis (CPTA) model, which combines CAMEL methodology with Partial Triadic Analysis (PTA) to evaluate financial indicators on a quarterly basis and delineate risk levels. By analyzing symmetries in data matrices and quantifying vector correlations, the model provides detailed insight into financial trends during recessionary periods, which is useful for financial regulators, public policy makers, and private banking institutions. The CPTA incorporates the commitment matrix, which synthesizes indicator values and provides stability in data matrices in adverse environments. Furthermore, the Fibonacci retracements technique was utilized to categorize variables, identify upward and downward trends, and estimate the solvency of each bank in relation to its respective segment. These results are contrasted using the HJ-Biplot and the dynamic HJ-Biplot, which allow for the evaluation of banking scenarios in the context of financial turbulence. When applied to the Ecuadorian banking sector, the model identified significant fluctuations in three key periods: pre-pandemic, pandemic, and the territorial crisis between Russia and Ukraine. Future research could extend the model by integrating all balance sheet variables against the base CPTA model through the application of Hidden Markov models.
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issn 2169-3536
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publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher IEEE
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spelling doaj-art-22d825e4e18e45c283ab8a9bc4e9ba432025-01-28T00:01:40ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113156501568210.1109/ACCESS.2025.352841210838559Crisis Monitoring in Financial Sectors Using CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis ModelRody Guzman-Garzon0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0471-3505Purificacion Galindo-Villardon1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6977-7545Purificacion Vicente-Galindo2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5854-273XDepartment of Statistics, University of Salamanca, Salamanca, SpainDepartment of Statistics, University of Salamanca, Salamanca, SpainDepartment of Statistics, University of Salamanca, Salamanca, SpainThis study presents the CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis (CPTA) model, which combines CAMEL methodology with Partial Triadic Analysis (PTA) to evaluate financial indicators on a quarterly basis and delineate risk levels. By analyzing symmetries in data matrices and quantifying vector correlations, the model provides detailed insight into financial trends during recessionary periods, which is useful for financial regulators, public policy makers, and private banking institutions. The CPTA incorporates the commitment matrix, which synthesizes indicator values and provides stability in data matrices in adverse environments. Furthermore, the Fibonacci retracements technique was utilized to categorize variables, identify upward and downward trends, and estimate the solvency of each bank in relation to its respective segment. These results are contrasted using the HJ-Biplot and the dynamic HJ-Biplot, which allow for the evaluation of banking scenarios in the context of financial turbulence. When applied to the Ecuadorian banking sector, the model identified significant fluctuations in three key periods: pre-pandemic, pandemic, and the territorial crisis between Russia and Ukraine. Future research could extend the model by integrating all balance sheet variables against the base CPTA model through the application of Hidden Markov models.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10838559/CAMEL partial triadic analysis (CPTA)bankruptcy of banksfinancial crisesanalysis of three-way tablesSTATIS
spellingShingle Rody Guzman-Garzon
Purificacion Galindo-Villardon
Purificacion Vicente-Galindo
Crisis Monitoring in Financial Sectors Using CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis Model
IEEE Access
CAMEL partial triadic analysis (CPTA)
bankruptcy of banks
financial crises
analysis of three-way tables
STATIS
title Crisis Monitoring in Financial Sectors Using CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis Model
title_full Crisis Monitoring in Financial Sectors Using CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis Model
title_fullStr Crisis Monitoring in Financial Sectors Using CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis Model
title_full_unstemmed Crisis Monitoring in Financial Sectors Using CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis Model
title_short Crisis Monitoring in Financial Sectors Using CAMEL Partial Triadic Analysis Model
title_sort crisis monitoring in financial sectors using camel partial triadic analysis model
topic CAMEL partial triadic analysis (CPTA)
bankruptcy of banks
financial crises
analysis of three-way tables
STATIS
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10838559/
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AT purificaciongalindovillardon crisismonitoringinfinancialsectorsusingcamelpartialtriadicanalysismodel
AT purificacionvicentegalindo crisismonitoringinfinancialsectorsusingcamelpartialtriadicanalysismodel