High prediction skill of decadal tropical cyclone variability in the North Atlantic and East Pacific in the met office decadal prediction system DePreSys4

Abstract The UK Met Office decadal prediction system DePreSys4 shows skill in predicting the number of tropical cyclones (TCs) and TC track density over the eastern Pacific and tropical Atlantic Ocean on the decadal timescale (up to ACC = 0.93 and ACC = 0.83, respectively, as measured by the anomaly...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Paul-Arthur Monerie, Xiangbo Feng, Kevin Hodges, Ralf Toumi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-00919-y
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