The impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low-latitude mountainous areas
IntroductionEpidemiological evidence suggests cerebrovascular disease (CVD) incidence is correlated to meteorological conditions. However, research on the primary meteorological factors influencing the incidence of CVD and their influence thresholds in low-latitude mountainous regions remains insuff...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Frontiers Media S.A.
2024-12-01
|
| Series: | Frontiers in Public Health |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2024.1447910/full |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1850117647207759872 |
|---|---|
| author | Zhengjing Du Fang Xiong Yanjing Tang Xiaoling Xia Yuandong Hu Fangfang Wang |
| author_facet | Zhengjing Du Fang Xiong Yanjing Tang Xiaoling Xia Yuandong Hu Fangfang Wang |
| author_sort | Zhengjing Du |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | IntroductionEpidemiological evidence suggests cerebrovascular disease (CVD) incidence is correlated to meteorological conditions. However, research on the primary meteorological factors influencing the incidence of CVD and their influence thresholds in low-latitude mountainous regions remains insufficient. We aimed to investigate the association between meteorological conditions and CVD occurrence in Guizhou province.MethodsUtilizing daily incidence cases for CVD alongside concurrent meteorological data from four microclimate representative stations in Guizhou Province during 2021-2022, we firstly performed random forest and decision tree analysis to identify the significant meteorological factors influencing the incidence of CVD, and then we applied distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to assess the effect of meteorological factors on CVD incidence.ResultsCritical meteorological factors associated with CVD incidence include diurnal temperature range (DTR), temperature change between neighboring days (TCN), diurnal pressure range (DPR), pressure change between neighboring days (PCN), and minimum temperature. The risk of CVD incidence markedly increased with narrow DTR, positive TCN, and colder conditions. The thresholds of minimum temperature and TCN droped with the decrease of annual average temperature in microclimate zone. In the middle subtropical region of Jiangkou, the northern subtropical region of Xishui, and the warm temperate region of Shuicheng, there was a risk of CVD when the minimum temperature falled below 12.2°C, 10.7°C, and 6.7°C, respectively. When TCN exceeded the critical threshold (0.2°C in Shuicheng, 0.3°C in Xishui, and 0.4°C in Jiangkou and Ceheng), the risk of CVD incidence increased linearly. DPR and PCN displayed varied thresholds across different microclimate without consistent patterns. DPR in middle subtropical region of Jiangkou and warm temperate region of Shuicheng played a protective role, while the risk of the disease increased linearly when DPR was lower than 3.2 hPa and 2.7 hPa in south subtropical region of Ceheng and north subtropical region of Xishui, respectively. The short-term effects within 5 days with small DTR and narrow positive TCN were more obvious. The thresholds and lag times of other meteorological environmental factors remained indistinct in the four microclimate zones.DiscussionOur findings delineated the common characteristics of the effect on the incidence of CVD of meteorological environments in various microclimate zones, and clarified the influence of minimum temperature and TCN exhibited spatial heterogeneity, Which may be assistance for meteorological risk forecasting in CVD prevention and control. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-22a7bcdb4e77435793670c207fb92f52 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2296-2565 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Frontiers in Public Health |
| spelling | doaj-art-22a7bcdb4e77435793670c207fb92f522025-08-20T02:36:03ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Public Health2296-25652024-12-011210.3389/fpubh.2024.14479101447910The impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low-latitude mountainous areasZhengjing Du0Fang Xiong1Yanjing Tang2Xiaoling Xia3Yuandong Hu4Fangfang Wang5Guizhou Mountainous Meteorological Science Research Institute, Guiyang, Guizhou, ChinaGuizhou Meteorological Data Center, Guiyang, Guizhou, ChinaGuizhou Meteorological Service Center, Guiyang, Guizhou, ChinaGuizhou Meteorological Service Center, Guiyang, Guizhou, ChinaGuizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang, Guizhou, ChinaGuizhou Mountainous Meteorological Science Research Institute, Guiyang, Guizhou, ChinaIntroductionEpidemiological evidence suggests cerebrovascular disease (CVD) incidence is correlated to meteorological conditions. However, research on the primary meteorological factors influencing the incidence of CVD and their influence thresholds in low-latitude mountainous regions remains insufficient. We aimed to investigate the association between meteorological conditions and CVD occurrence in Guizhou province.MethodsUtilizing daily incidence cases for CVD alongside concurrent meteorological data from four microclimate representative stations in Guizhou Province during 2021-2022, we firstly performed random forest and decision tree analysis to identify the significant meteorological factors influencing the incidence of CVD, and then we applied distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to assess the effect of meteorological factors on CVD incidence.ResultsCritical meteorological factors associated with CVD incidence include diurnal temperature range (DTR), temperature change between neighboring days (TCN), diurnal pressure range (DPR), pressure change between neighboring days (PCN), and minimum temperature. The risk of CVD incidence markedly increased with narrow DTR, positive TCN, and colder conditions. The thresholds of minimum temperature and TCN droped with the decrease of annual average temperature in microclimate zone. In the middle subtropical region of Jiangkou, the northern subtropical region of Xishui, and the warm temperate region of Shuicheng, there was a risk of CVD when the minimum temperature falled below 12.2°C, 10.7°C, and 6.7°C, respectively. When TCN exceeded the critical threshold (0.2°C in Shuicheng, 0.3°C in Xishui, and 0.4°C in Jiangkou and Ceheng), the risk of CVD incidence increased linearly. DPR and PCN displayed varied thresholds across different microclimate without consistent patterns. DPR in middle subtropical region of Jiangkou and warm temperate region of Shuicheng played a protective role, while the risk of the disease increased linearly when DPR was lower than 3.2 hPa and 2.7 hPa in south subtropical region of Ceheng and north subtropical region of Xishui, respectively. The short-term effects within 5 days with small DTR and narrow positive TCN were more obvious. The thresholds and lag times of other meteorological environmental factors remained indistinct in the four microclimate zones.DiscussionOur findings delineated the common characteristics of the effect on the incidence of CVD of meteorological environments in various microclimate zones, and clarified the influence of minimum temperature and TCN exhibited spatial heterogeneity, Which may be assistance for meteorological risk forecasting in CVD prevention and control.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2024.1447910/fullmeteorological conditionsmicroclimatecardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseasesdistributed lag non-linear modeltemperature variation |
| spellingShingle | Zhengjing Du Fang Xiong Yanjing Tang Xiaoling Xia Yuandong Hu Fangfang Wang The impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low-latitude mountainous areas Frontiers in Public Health meteorological conditions microclimate cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases distributed lag non-linear model temperature variation |
| title | The impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low-latitude mountainous areas |
| title_full | The impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low-latitude mountainous areas |
| title_fullStr | The impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low-latitude mountainous areas |
| title_full_unstemmed | The impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low-latitude mountainous areas |
| title_short | The impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low-latitude mountainous areas |
| title_sort | impact of meteorological conditions on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in different microclimatic zones of low latitude mountainous areas |
| topic | meteorological conditions microclimate cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases distributed lag non-linear model temperature variation |
| url | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2024.1447910/full |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT zhengjingdu theimpactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT fangxiong theimpactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT yanjingtang theimpactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT xiaolingxia theimpactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT yuandonghu theimpactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT fangfangwang theimpactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT zhengjingdu impactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT fangxiong impactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT yanjingtang impactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT xiaolingxia impactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT yuandonghu impactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas AT fangfangwang impactofmeteorologicalconditionsoncardiovascularandcerebrovasculardiseasesindifferentmicroclimaticzonesoflowlatitudemountainousareas |