The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion Morphology

With the rapid development of urbanization, the urban expansion morphology has been changing with complex driving mechanisms behind the urban evolution process. This article simulates the results of urban land development contingent upon decision-makers’ risk preferences and reveals the inherent law...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhangwei Lu, Lihua Xu, Yaqi Wu, Yijun Shi, Jinyang Deng, Xiaoqiang Shen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8341217
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832547621019844608
author Zhangwei Lu
Lihua Xu
Yaqi Wu
Yijun Shi
Jinyang Deng
Xiaoqiang Shen
author_facet Zhangwei Lu
Lihua Xu
Yaqi Wu
Yijun Shi
Jinyang Deng
Xiaoqiang Shen
author_sort Zhangwei Lu
collection DOAJ
description With the rapid development of urbanization, the urban expansion morphology has been changing with complex driving mechanisms behind the urban evolution process. This article simulates the results of urban land development contingent upon decision-makers’ risk preferences and reveals the inherent law of the effect of risk preferences on urban expansion morphology. Results show that cautious decision-makers lead to the urban expansion morphology being relatively compact, and the reckless decision-makers lead the urban expansion to sprawl. Moreover, there are obvious differences in strengths of planning constraints on the decision-makers with different risk preferences. The reckless decision-makers, driven by the economic interests, are more likely to break through the planning, especially when the planning is not reasonable. It is also found that enhancing executive ability of planning for the reckless decision-makers can promote compactness of the urban expansion morphology. However, the effect of enhancing executive ability of planning on the cautious decision-makers is limited. Thus, in the case of unreasonable planning, the executive ability of planning to the reckless decision-makers should be enhanced so as to avoid urban sprawl.
format Article
id doaj-art-216083d947a44fe681a931ebcb2d92e1
institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-216083d947a44fe681a931ebcb2d92e12025-02-03T06:43:55ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/83412178341217The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion MorphologyZhangwei Lu0Lihua Xu1Yaqi Wu2Yijun Shi3Jinyang Deng4Xiaoqiang Shen5School of Landscape Architecture, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, ChinaSchool of Landscape Architecture, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, ChinaSchool of Landscape Architecture, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, ChinaSchool of Landscape Architecture, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, ChinaSchool of Natural Resources, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV 26506, USASchool of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, ChinaWith the rapid development of urbanization, the urban expansion morphology has been changing with complex driving mechanisms behind the urban evolution process. This article simulates the results of urban land development contingent upon decision-makers’ risk preferences and reveals the inherent law of the effect of risk preferences on urban expansion morphology. Results show that cautious decision-makers lead to the urban expansion morphology being relatively compact, and the reckless decision-makers lead the urban expansion to sprawl. Moreover, there are obvious differences in strengths of planning constraints on the decision-makers with different risk preferences. The reckless decision-makers, driven by the economic interests, are more likely to break through the planning, especially when the planning is not reasonable. It is also found that enhancing executive ability of planning for the reckless decision-makers can promote compactness of the urban expansion morphology. However, the effect of enhancing executive ability of planning on the cautious decision-makers is limited. Thus, in the case of unreasonable planning, the executive ability of planning to the reckless decision-makers should be enhanced so as to avoid urban sprawl.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8341217
spellingShingle Zhangwei Lu
Lihua Xu
Yaqi Wu
Yijun Shi
Jinyang Deng
Xiaoqiang Shen
The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion Morphology
Complexity
title The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion Morphology
title_full The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion Morphology
title_fullStr The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion Morphology
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion Morphology
title_short The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion Morphology
title_sort impact of risk preference in decision behavior on urban expansion morphology
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8341217
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangweilu theimpactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT lihuaxu theimpactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT yaqiwu theimpactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT yijunshi theimpactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT jinyangdeng theimpactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT xiaoqiangshen theimpactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT zhangweilu impactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT lihuaxu impactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT yaqiwu impactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT yijunshi impactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT jinyangdeng impactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology
AT xiaoqiangshen impactofriskpreferenceindecisionbehavioronurbanexpansionmorphology