General practitioners’ clinical decision-making in patients that could have cancer: a vignette study comparing the Baltic states with four Nordic countries

Objective Relative one-year cancer survival rates in the Baltic states are lower than the European mean; in the Nordic countries they are higher than the mean. This study investigated the likelihood of General Practitioners (GPs) investigating or referring patients with a low but significant risk of...

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Main Authors: Alexander Rosendahl, Anet Vanaveski, Liina Pilv-Toom, Jānis Blumfelds, Vija Siliņa, Mette Brekke, Tuomas Koskela, Aurimas Rapalavičius, Hans Thulesius, Peter Vedsted, Michael Harris
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-01-01
Series:Scandinavian Journal of Primary Health Care
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/02813432.2025.2451653
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author Alexander Rosendahl
Anet Vanaveski
Liina Pilv-Toom
Jānis Blumfelds
Vija Siliņa
Mette Brekke
Tuomas Koskela
Aurimas Rapalavičius
Hans Thulesius
Peter Vedsted
Michael Harris
author_facet Alexander Rosendahl
Anet Vanaveski
Liina Pilv-Toom
Jānis Blumfelds
Vija Siliņa
Mette Brekke
Tuomas Koskela
Aurimas Rapalavičius
Hans Thulesius
Peter Vedsted
Michael Harris
author_sort Alexander Rosendahl
collection DOAJ
description Objective Relative one-year cancer survival rates in the Baltic states are lower than the European mean; in the Nordic countries they are higher than the mean. This study investigated the likelihood of General Practitioners (GPs) investigating or referring patients with a low but significant risk of cancer in these two regions, and how this was affected by GP demographics.Design A survey of GPs using clinical vignettes.Setting General Practice in Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway, and Sweden.Subjects General Practitioners.Outcome measures A regional comparison of GPs’ stated immediate diagnostic actions (whether or not they would perform a key diagnostic test and/or refer to a specialist) for patients with a low but significant risk of cancer (between 1.2 and 3.6%).Results Of the 427 GPs that completed the questionnaire, those in the Baltic states, and GPs that were more experienced, were more likely to arrange a key diagnostic test and/or refer their patient to a specialist than those in Nordic Countries or who were less experienced (p < 0.001 for both measures). Neither GP sex nor practice location within a country showed a significant association with these measures.Conclusion While relative one-year cancer survival rates are lower in the Baltic states than in four Nordic countries, we found no evidence that this is due to their GPs’ reluctance to take immediate diagnostic action, as GPs in the Baltic states were more likely to investigate and/or refer at the first consultation. Research on patient and secondary care factors is needed to explain the survival differences.
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spelling doaj-art-1fd06a122c6241a7be5c184589c861122025-01-22T04:35:07ZengTaylor & Francis GroupScandinavian Journal of Primary Health Care0281-34321502-77242025-01-011810.1080/02813432.2025.2451653General practitioners’ clinical decision-making in patients that could have cancer: a vignette study comparing the Baltic states with four Nordic countriesAlexander Rosendahl0Anet Vanaveski1Liina Pilv-Toom2Jānis Blumfelds3Vija Siliņa4Mette Brekke5Tuomas Koskela6Aurimas Rapalavičius7Hans Thulesius8Peter Vedsted9Michael Harris10Institute of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, EstoniaFamily Medicine Residency, University of Tartu, Tartu, EstoniaInstitute of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, EstoniaDepartment of Family Medicine, Riga Stradiņš University, Riga, LatviaDepartment of Family Medicine, Riga Stradiņš University, Riga, LatviaDepartment of General Practice, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, NorwayFaculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, FinlandDepartment of Family Medicine, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, LithuaniaDepartment of Family Medicine, Riga Stradiņš University, Riga, LatviaResearch Unit for General Practice, Aarhus, DenmarkDepartment of Family Medicine, Riga Stradiņš University, Riga, LatviaObjective Relative one-year cancer survival rates in the Baltic states are lower than the European mean; in the Nordic countries they are higher than the mean. This study investigated the likelihood of General Practitioners (GPs) investigating or referring patients with a low but significant risk of cancer in these two regions, and how this was affected by GP demographics.Design A survey of GPs using clinical vignettes.Setting General Practice in Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway, and Sweden.Subjects General Practitioners.Outcome measures A regional comparison of GPs’ stated immediate diagnostic actions (whether or not they would perform a key diagnostic test and/or refer to a specialist) for patients with a low but significant risk of cancer (between 1.2 and 3.6%).Results Of the 427 GPs that completed the questionnaire, those in the Baltic states, and GPs that were more experienced, were more likely to arrange a key diagnostic test and/or refer their patient to a specialist than those in Nordic Countries or who were less experienced (p < 0.001 for both measures). Neither GP sex nor practice location within a country showed a significant association with these measures.Conclusion While relative one-year cancer survival rates are lower in the Baltic states than in four Nordic countries, we found no evidence that this is due to their GPs’ reluctance to take immediate diagnostic action, as GPs in the Baltic states were more likely to investigate and/or refer at the first consultation. Research on patient and secondary care factors is needed to explain the survival differences.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/02813432.2025.2451653Cancergeneral practiceprimary health careearly diagnosisgeography
spellingShingle Alexander Rosendahl
Anet Vanaveski
Liina Pilv-Toom
Jānis Blumfelds
Vija Siliņa
Mette Brekke
Tuomas Koskela
Aurimas Rapalavičius
Hans Thulesius
Peter Vedsted
Michael Harris
General practitioners’ clinical decision-making in patients that could have cancer: a vignette study comparing the Baltic states with four Nordic countries
Scandinavian Journal of Primary Health Care
Cancer
general practice
primary health care
early diagnosis
geography
title General practitioners’ clinical decision-making in patients that could have cancer: a vignette study comparing the Baltic states with four Nordic countries
title_full General practitioners’ clinical decision-making in patients that could have cancer: a vignette study comparing the Baltic states with four Nordic countries
title_fullStr General practitioners’ clinical decision-making in patients that could have cancer: a vignette study comparing the Baltic states with four Nordic countries
title_full_unstemmed General practitioners’ clinical decision-making in patients that could have cancer: a vignette study comparing the Baltic states with four Nordic countries
title_short General practitioners’ clinical decision-making in patients that could have cancer: a vignette study comparing the Baltic states with four Nordic countries
title_sort general practitioners clinical decision making in patients that could have cancer a vignette study comparing the baltic states with four nordic countries
topic Cancer
general practice
primary health care
early diagnosis
geography
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/02813432.2025.2451653
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