Are rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFA

Abstract This study investigates the weak-form efficiency and asymmetric multifractal scaling behavior of rare earth stock indices in the global, U.S. and Chinese markets during the trade war and the COVID-19 period. We examine the scaling behavior across overall, upward (bullish), and downward (bea...

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Main Authors: Pengbo Wan, Ghulam Mujtaba, Saira Ashfaq, Song Liangrong, Rana Muhammad Nasir
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-01-01
Series:Financial Innovation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00744-x
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author Pengbo Wan
Ghulam Mujtaba
Saira Ashfaq
Song Liangrong
Rana Muhammad Nasir
author_facet Pengbo Wan
Ghulam Mujtaba
Saira Ashfaq
Song Liangrong
Rana Muhammad Nasir
author_sort Pengbo Wan
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study investigates the weak-form efficiency and asymmetric multifractal scaling behavior of rare earth stock indices in the global, U.S. and Chinese markets during the trade war and the COVID-19 period. We examine the scaling behavior across overall, upward (bullish), and downward (bearish) market states from 2013 to 2021, employing an asymmetric multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis approach. Our findings indicate asymmetric multifractality in U.S. rare earth stock prices, caused by fat tails and long-range correlations. Weak-form price inefficiency and asymmetry in U.S. rare earth stock prices are prominent during market downturns, such as the trade war and COVID-19 periods. Chinese rare earth stocks demonstrate greater efficiency than U.S. and global stocks; thus, the latter markets provide arbitrage opportunities during upward and downward trends.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2199-4730
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher SpringerOpen
record_format Article
series Financial Innovation
spelling doaj-art-1f174bd9c05f4c798f5835ee605cfa932025-01-19T12:36:03ZengSpringerOpenFinancial Innovation2199-47302025-01-0111111710.1186/s40854-024-00744-xAre rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFAPengbo Wan0Ghulam Mujtaba1Saira Ashfaq2Song Liangrong3Rana Muhammad Nasir4School of Finance, Hubei University of EconomicsBusiness and Health Studies, York St John UniversityBusiness and Health Studies, York St John UniversityBusiness School, University of Shanghai for Science & TechnologySchool of Economics & Management, University of Science & TechnologyAbstract This study investigates the weak-form efficiency and asymmetric multifractal scaling behavior of rare earth stock indices in the global, U.S. and Chinese markets during the trade war and the COVID-19 period. We examine the scaling behavior across overall, upward (bullish), and downward (bearish) market states from 2013 to 2021, employing an asymmetric multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis approach. Our findings indicate asymmetric multifractality in U.S. rare earth stock prices, caused by fat tails and long-range correlations. Weak-form price inefficiency and asymmetry in U.S. rare earth stock prices are prominent during market downturns, such as the trade war and COVID-19 periods. Chinese rare earth stocks demonstrate greater efficiency than U.S. and global stocks; thus, the latter markets provide arbitrage opportunities during upward and downward trends.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00744-xRare earth stocksLong memoryEfficiencyAsymmetric MF-DFACOVID-19Trade war
spellingShingle Pengbo Wan
Ghulam Mujtaba
Saira Ashfaq
Song Liangrong
Rana Muhammad Nasir
Are rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFA
Financial Innovation
Rare earth stocks
Long memory
Efficiency
Asymmetric MF-DFA
COVID-19
Trade war
title Are rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFA
title_full Are rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFA
title_fullStr Are rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFA
title_full_unstemmed Are rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFA
title_short Are rare earth stocks efficient? Novel insights using asymmetric MF-DFA
title_sort are rare earth stocks efficient novel insights using asymmetric mf dfa
topic Rare earth stocks
Long memory
Efficiency
Asymmetric MF-DFA
COVID-19
Trade war
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00744-x
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