Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.

The acceptance of students to a medical school places a considerable emphasis on performance in standardized tests and undergraduate grade point average (uGPA). Traditionally, applicants may be judged as a homogeneous population according to simple quantitative thresholds that implicitly assume a li...

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Main Authors: Tal Baron, Robert I Grossman, Steven B Abramson, Martin V Pusic, Rafael Rivera, Marc M Triola, Itai Yanai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2020-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0227108&type=printable
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author Tal Baron
Robert I Grossman
Steven B Abramson
Martin V Pusic
Rafael Rivera
Marc M Triola
Itai Yanai
author_facet Tal Baron
Robert I Grossman
Steven B Abramson
Martin V Pusic
Rafael Rivera
Marc M Triola
Itai Yanai
author_sort Tal Baron
collection DOAJ
description The acceptance of students to a medical school places a considerable emphasis on performance in standardized tests and undergraduate grade point average (uGPA). Traditionally, applicants may be judged as a homogeneous population according to simple quantitative thresholds that implicitly assume a linear relationship between scores and academic success. This 'one-size-fits-all' approach ignores the notion that individuals may show distinct patterns of achievement and follow diverse paths to success. In this study, we examined a dataset composed of 53 variables extracted from the admissions application records of 1,088 students matriculating to NYU School of Medicine between the years 2006-2014. We defined training and test groups and applied K-means clustering to search for distinct groups of applicants. Building an optimized logistic regression model, we then tested the predictive value of this clustering for estimating the success of applicants in medical school, aggregating eight performance measures during the subsequent medical school training as a success factor. We found evidence for four distinct clusters of students-we termed 'signatures'-which differ most substantially according to the absolute level of the applicant's uGPA and its trajectory over the course of undergraduate education. The 'risers' signature showed a relatively higher uGPA and also steeper trajectory; the other signatures showed each remaining combination of these two main factors: 'improvers' relatively lower uGPA, steeper trajectory; 'solids' higher uGPA, flatter trajectory; 'statics' both lower uGPA and flatter trajectory. Examining the success index across signatures, we found that the risers and the statics have significantly higher and lower likelihood of quantifiable success in medical school, respectively. We also found that each signature has a unique set of features that correlate with its success in medical school. The big data approach presented here can more sensitively uncover success potential since it takes into account the inherent heterogeneity within the student population.
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spelling doaj-art-1ee40887f4fa40299eb8ea4263692c242025-08-20T02:54:53ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032020-01-01151e022710810.1371/journal.pone.0227108Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.Tal BaronRobert I GrossmanSteven B AbramsonMartin V PusicRafael RiveraMarc M TriolaItai YanaiThe acceptance of students to a medical school places a considerable emphasis on performance in standardized tests and undergraduate grade point average (uGPA). Traditionally, applicants may be judged as a homogeneous population according to simple quantitative thresholds that implicitly assume a linear relationship between scores and academic success. This 'one-size-fits-all' approach ignores the notion that individuals may show distinct patterns of achievement and follow diverse paths to success. In this study, we examined a dataset composed of 53 variables extracted from the admissions application records of 1,088 students matriculating to NYU School of Medicine between the years 2006-2014. We defined training and test groups and applied K-means clustering to search for distinct groups of applicants. Building an optimized logistic regression model, we then tested the predictive value of this clustering for estimating the success of applicants in medical school, aggregating eight performance measures during the subsequent medical school training as a success factor. We found evidence for four distinct clusters of students-we termed 'signatures'-which differ most substantially according to the absolute level of the applicant's uGPA and its trajectory over the course of undergraduate education. The 'risers' signature showed a relatively higher uGPA and also steeper trajectory; the other signatures showed each remaining combination of these two main factors: 'improvers' relatively lower uGPA, steeper trajectory; 'solids' higher uGPA, flatter trajectory; 'statics' both lower uGPA and flatter trajectory. Examining the success index across signatures, we found that the risers and the statics have significantly higher and lower likelihood of quantifiable success in medical school, respectively. We also found that each signature has a unique set of features that correlate with its success in medical school. The big data approach presented here can more sensitively uncover success potential since it takes into account the inherent heterogeneity within the student population.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0227108&type=printable
spellingShingle Tal Baron
Robert I Grossman
Steven B Abramson
Martin V Pusic
Rafael Rivera
Marc M Triola
Itai Yanai
Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.
PLoS ONE
title Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.
title_full Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.
title_fullStr Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.
title_full_unstemmed Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.
title_short Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.
title_sort signatures of medical student applicants and academic success
url https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0227108&type=printable
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