Generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demand

I present a model of stock market price fluctuations incorporating effects of share supply as a history-dependent function of previous purchases and share demand as a function of price deviation from moving averages. Price charts generated show intervals of oscillations switching amplitude and freq...

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Main Author: J. K. Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2001-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/S1026022601000048
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author J. K. Wang
author_facet J. K. Wang
author_sort J. K. Wang
collection DOAJ
description I present a model of stock market price fluctuations incorporating effects of share supply as a history-dependent function of previous purchases and share demand as a function of price deviation from moving averages. Price charts generated show intervals of oscillations switching amplitude and frequency suddenly in time, forming price and trading volume patterns well-known in market technical analysis. Ultimate price trends agree with traditional predictions for specific patterns. The consideration of dynamically evolving supply and demand in this model resolves the apparent contradiction with the Efficient Market Hypothesis: perceptions of imprecise equity values by a world of investors evolve over non-negligible periods of time, with dependence on price history.
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spelling doaj-art-1e3e7cc99866446e8e2916aabdcf345f2025-02-03T06:06:09ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2001-01-0161374710.1155/S1026022601000048Generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demandJ. K. Wang0Pinetree Management, Inc., 460West Mountain Road, Sparta NJ 07871, GreeceI present a model of stock market price fluctuations incorporating effects of share supply as a history-dependent function of previous purchases and share demand as a function of price deviation from moving averages. Price charts generated show intervals of oscillations switching amplitude and frequency suddenly in time, forming price and trading volume patterns well-known in market technical analysis. Ultimate price trends agree with traditional predictions for specific patterns. The consideration of dynamically evolving supply and demand in this model resolves the apparent contradiction with the Efficient Market Hypothesis: perceptions of imprecise equity values by a world of investors evolve over non-negligible periods of time, with dependence on price history.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/S1026022601000048
spellingShingle J. K. Wang
Generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demand
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demand
title_full Generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demand
title_fullStr Generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demand
title_full_unstemmed Generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demand
title_short Generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demand
title_sort generation of predictive price and trading volume patterns in a model of dynamically evolving free market supply and demand
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/S1026022601000048
work_keys_str_mv AT jkwang generationofpredictivepriceandtradingvolumepatternsinamodelofdynamicallyevolvingfreemarketsupplyanddemand