Structural resilience of climate regime in the global conflicts

The intensification of geopolitical tensions and great power rivalries have disrupted global climate actions. In the era of global conflicts, the effectiveness of current climate regime has been questioned. How to measure the stability of the climate regime under diverse shocks becomes the new issue...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chuanjing Guan, Jialian Meng, Qinyi Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ada5b6
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Summary:The intensification of geopolitical tensions and great power rivalries have disrupted global climate actions. In the era of global conflicts, the effectiveness of current climate regime has been questioned. How to measure the stability of the climate regime under diverse shocks becomes the new issue to be analyzed. The article finds that global climate actions have formed an institutional network that involves the basic (state-dominated), central (UNFCCC centered) and extended (non-climate multilateral organization) layers of climate governance. We argue that the measurement towards the resilience of such structure shall be based on the evaluation of the ‘three-layer stability’. As proposed in the article, the three-layer structure in the global climate governance system is more resilient to shocks, presented with the two features of structural heterogeneity and institutional redundancy. Due to structural heterogeneity, shocks have performed differentiated effects across layers that allow certain autonomy to exist within layers. Based on structural redundancy, the extended layer is reinforced by the steady increase in climate reform and institutionalization in international organizations to sustain the system while the central layer is experiencing dysfunction in international affairs. The growth of climate finance from Multilateral Development Banks and global renewable energy investment indicates the function of three-layered institutional complex that mitigates shocks.
ISSN:2515-7620