Evaluation of critical factors for typhoon-triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the Philippines using physically based models

This study employs physically based modeling techniques to evaluate factors that triggered the catastrophic landslide that occurred in Kantagnos Village, Baybay City, Leyte, Philippines, during Typhoon Megi in 2022. The TRIGRS and DEBRIS-2D models simulated transient infiltration effects from four d...

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Main Authors: Christian Gaviola John, Chieh Chao Kuo, Bencure Jannet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2025-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/04/e3sconf_icdm2024_01001.pdf
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author Christian Gaviola John
Chieh Chao Kuo
Bencure Jannet
author_facet Christian Gaviola John
Chieh Chao Kuo
Bencure Jannet
author_sort Christian Gaviola John
collection DOAJ
description This study employs physically based modeling techniques to evaluate factors that triggered the catastrophic landslide that occurred in Kantagnos Village, Baybay City, Leyte, Philippines, during Typhoon Megi in 2022. The TRIGRS and DEBRIS-2D models simulated transient infiltration effects from four days of continuous rainfall, assessing pore water pressure changes and delineating hazard zones. Parametric analyses on critical parameters—such as fstrength characteristics, soil thickness, and water table conditions—were conducted to predict spatiotemporal changes in the factor of safety. The results of the analyses indicated that the accuracy of the model could reach up to 79.23%, as evaluated by receiver operating characteristic analysis, with area zoning based on bedding plane orientation improving this by 8.23%. DEBRIS-2D effectively simulated debris flow motion and deposition areas validated against field observations. The combined use of TRIGRS and DEBRIS-2D delineated hazard zones, with 93.97% of the area within the actual debris flow boundary predicted. Key parameters, including slope geometry, material yield stress, and the quality of the digital terrain model, are crucial for predicting debris flow distance and velocity. These findings offer a valuable benchmark for developing a framework for slope disaster analysis and risk management in the region.
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language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
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series E3S Web of Conferences
spelling doaj-art-1d9a55861b9d4f8c8e34d2879a5fb9a22025-02-05T10:47:52ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422025-01-016040100110.1051/e3sconf/202560401001e3sconf_icdm2024_01001Evaluation of critical factors for typhoon-triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the Philippines using physically based modelsChristian Gaviola John0Chieh Chao Kuo1Bencure Jannet2Department of Civil Engineering, Visayas State UniversityDepartment of Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, Asian Institute of TechnologyDepartment of Geodetic Engineering, Visayas State UniversityThis study employs physically based modeling techniques to evaluate factors that triggered the catastrophic landslide that occurred in Kantagnos Village, Baybay City, Leyte, Philippines, during Typhoon Megi in 2022. The TRIGRS and DEBRIS-2D models simulated transient infiltration effects from four days of continuous rainfall, assessing pore water pressure changes and delineating hazard zones. Parametric analyses on critical parameters—such as fstrength characteristics, soil thickness, and water table conditions—were conducted to predict spatiotemporal changes in the factor of safety. The results of the analyses indicated that the accuracy of the model could reach up to 79.23%, as evaluated by receiver operating characteristic analysis, with area zoning based on bedding plane orientation improving this by 8.23%. DEBRIS-2D effectively simulated debris flow motion and deposition areas validated against field observations. The combined use of TRIGRS and DEBRIS-2D delineated hazard zones, with 93.97% of the area within the actual debris flow boundary predicted. Key parameters, including slope geometry, material yield stress, and the quality of the digital terrain model, are crucial for predicting debris flow distance and velocity. These findings offer a valuable benchmark for developing a framework for slope disaster analysis and risk management in the region.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/04/e3sconf_icdm2024_01001.pdf
spellingShingle Christian Gaviola John
Chieh Chao Kuo
Bencure Jannet
Evaluation of critical factors for typhoon-triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the Philippines using physically based models
E3S Web of Conferences
title Evaluation of critical factors for typhoon-triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the Philippines using physically based models
title_full Evaluation of critical factors for typhoon-triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the Philippines using physically based models
title_fullStr Evaluation of critical factors for typhoon-triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the Philippines using physically based models
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of critical factors for typhoon-triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the Philippines using physically based models
title_short Evaluation of critical factors for typhoon-triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the Philippines using physically based models
title_sort evaluation of critical factors for typhoon triggered landslide and subsequent debris flow in the philippines using physically based models
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/04/e3sconf_icdm2024_01001.pdf
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AT chiehchaokuo evaluationofcriticalfactorsfortyphoontriggeredlandslideandsubsequentdebrisflowinthephilippinesusingphysicallybasedmodels
AT bencurejannet evaluationofcriticalfactorsfortyphoontriggeredlandslideandsubsequentdebrisflowinthephilippinesusingphysicallybasedmodels